Pinheiros host Mogi on 9 November 2026 in the NBB, and the Pythia model names Pinheiros the clear favourite, giving them a 77% chance to win and a 78% probability of covering the 1.0-point line, a reflection of their 5-1 record, 86.8 points per game and 70.2 allowed per game, the best in the league and their unblemished 3-0 home record with 89.7 points per game and 67.7 allowed. Mogi, 4-1 with 80.8 points per game and 74.4 allowed, sits in fifth place and has a 23% chance of triumph; their road form is 1-1 with 76.5 points per game and 75.5 allowed. The teams have met ten times, Pinheiros winning seven, most recently 80-73 on 5 March 2026. Pythia projects an 81-73 score for the game, totalling 154.7 points, and a 4% chance of overtime. Pinheiros' recent victories include a 103-87 win over São José at home on 7 November and a 91-53 triumph over Caxias do Sul on 2 November, while Mogi's last five games feature wins over Cearense, Unifacisa and Bauru, the latter on the road on 23 October. The match will decide whether Pinheiros can maintain their dominant season form against a resilient Mogi side.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 86.8 | 70.2 | 157.0 | +16.7 | 83% |
| Season at home (3) | 89.7 | 67.7 | 157.3 | +22.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 84.0 | 72.7 | 156.7 | +11.3 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.9 | 75.8 | 159.7 | +8.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.2 | 68.0 | 159.2 | +23.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (7) | 78.4 | 83.3 | 161.7 | -4.9 | 29% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 87.7 | 74.3 | 161.9 | +13.4 | 87% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 80.8 | 74.4 | 155.2 | +6.4 | 80% |
| Season at home (3) | 83.7 | 73.7 | 157.3 | +10.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 76.5 | 75.5 | 152.0 | +1.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.3 | 81.8 | 163.1 | -0.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.8 | 74.4 | 155.2 | +6.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 79.0 | 85.8 | 164.8 | -6.8 | 25% |
| vs Similar (11) | 77.0 | 73.4 | 150.4 | +3.6 | 73% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 79.4 | 72.9 | 152.3 | +6.5 | 73% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.0 | 39.2 | 82.2 | +3.8 | 63% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.1 | 38.2 | 82.4 | +5.9 | 71% | 71% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.0 | 40.1 | 82.1 | +1.9 | 56% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.1 | 37.8 | 79.9 | +4.3 | 70% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.0 | 31.0 | 76.0 | +14.0 | 100% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (7) | 42.0 | 44.6 | 86.6 | -2.6 | 57% | 71% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 43.3 | 37.6 | 80.9 | +5.7 | 65% | 70% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.6 | 39.4 | 79.0 | +0.2 | 57% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.1 | 38.1 | 77.2 | +0.9 | 69% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.2 | 40.8 | 81.0 | -0.6 | 43% | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.8 | 44.4 | 85.2 | -3.6 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.2 | 40.8 | 81.0 | -0.6 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 41.2 | 45.9 | 87.1 | -4.6 | 25% | 88% |
| vs Similar (11) | 37.6 | 35.9 | 73.5 | +1.7 | 73% | 36% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 40.4 | 38.1 | 78.5 | +2.3 | 64% | 64% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinheiros (regulation) | 74.3% | 2.07 | 2.09 | 2.09 | 2.02 | - | - | +31.7pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros -1 | 76.1% | 2.05 | 2.05 | 2.05 | 2.05 | - | - | +30.8pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros -2 | 73.4% | 2.22 | 2.27 | 2.17 | - | - | - | +30.7pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +1 | 78.3% | 1.90 | 1.94 | 1.91 | 1.88 | 1.86 | - | +30.3pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros -1.5 | 74.4% | 2.12 | 2.17 | 2.14 | 2.12 | 2.10 | 2.07 | +30.3pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros win | 76.7% | 1.98 | 2.10 | 2.01 | 1.98 | 1.98 | 1.98 | +30.1pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +2 | 81.0% | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.81 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.75 | +29.9pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros -2.5 | 70.7% | 2.28 | 2.35 | 2.26 | 2.25 | 2.25 | - | +29.7pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +1.5 | 78.7% | 1.84 | 1.89 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.83 | +29.5pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +2.5 | 81.6% | 1.72 | 1.80 | 1.76 | 1.74 | 1.73 | 1.72 | +28.5pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +3 | 83.2% | 1.66 | 1.69 | 1.68 | 1.61 | - | - | +28.2pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +4 | 85.3% | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.58 | 1.51 | - | - | +26.7pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +3.5 | 83.5% | 1.60 | 1.64 | 1.63 | 1.62 | 1.57 | 1.54 | +26.7pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +5 | 87.3% | 1.49 | 1.52 | 1.46 | - | - | - | +26.1pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +4.5 | 85.7% | 1.51 | 1.55 | 1.54 | 1.52 | 1.47 | 1.46 | +25.6pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +6 | 89.1% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +24.9pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +5.5 | 87.6% | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.43 | 1.38 | - | +24.3pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +7 | 90.6% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +23.6pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +6.5 | 89.2% | 1.37 | 1.43 | 1.38 | 1.31 | - | - | +22.9pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +7.5 | 90.7% | 1.35 | 1.37 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +22.3pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +8 | 91.9% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +22.0pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +8.5 | 92.0% | 1.30 | 1.32 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +20.9pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +9 | 93.1% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +20.7pp | Lost |
| Mogi under 79 | 72.3% | 1.71 | 1.76 | 1.65 | - | - | - | +20.4pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +9.5 | 93.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +20.3pp | Lost |
| Mogi under 79.5 | 73.2% | 1.69 | 1.75 | 1.72 | 1.61 | - | - | +19.7pp | Lost |
| Mogi under 80.5 | 76.2% | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +19.1pp | Lost |
| Mogi under 81.5 | 79.0% | 1.49 | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.44 | - | - | +18.0pp | Lost |
| Mogi under 82.5 | 81.6% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +17.7pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros +11.5 | 95.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +17.2pp | Lost |
| Mogi under 83.5 | 84.0% | 1.35 | 1.38 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +17.2pp | Lost |
| Mogi under 84.5 | 86.1% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +16.6pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros over 74.5 | 75.6% | 1.50 | 1.55 | 1.50 | 1.45 | - | - | +15.8pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros over 75.5 | 72.4% | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.53 | - | - | - | +15.5pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros over 72.5 | 81.4% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +15.1pp | Lost |
| Mogi under 85.5 | 88.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +15.0pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 73.5 | 78.6% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +14.8pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros over 71.5 | 83.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros over 70.5 | 86.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +13.8pp | Lost |
| Mogi under 87.5 | 91.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +13.5pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 68.5 | 90.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 67.5 | 91.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Mogi under 88.5 | 92.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Pinheiros +16.5 | 97.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +11.7pp | Won |
| Mogi under 89.5 | 93.8% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +11.5pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 66.5 | 93.0% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Won |
| Mogi under 91.5 | 95.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Pinheiros +21.5 | 99.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Under 164 | 72.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | - |
| Under 164.5 | 72.8% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 93.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 70.8% | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Under 163 | 70.2% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 89.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Under 170.5 | 83.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Over 130.5 | 93.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Under 165.5 | 74.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Over 135.5 | 87.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Over 140.5 | 80.4% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Pinheiros under 94.5 | 90.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 70.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -1.5pp | Won |
| Mogi +23.5 | 90.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -1.6pp | Won |
| Pinheiros under 92.5 | 86.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -2.3pp | Won |
| Pinheiros under 90.5 | 81.6% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -5.0pp | Won |
| Mogi over 63.5 | 82.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -6.0pp | Won |
| Pinheiros under 88.5 | 75.8% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -7.3pp | Won |
| Mogi +18.5 | 81.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -7.6pp | Won |
| Pinheiros under 87.5 | 72.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -7.9pp | Won |
| Mogi over 65.5 | 77.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -8.9pp | Won |
| Mogi over 67.5 | 70.8% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | -11.5pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.3 | 16.7 | 49.8% | 33.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 32.3 | 11.1 | 31.6% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.4 | 12.7 | 71.3% | 12.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 18.7 | 49.8% | 37.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.8 | 10.5 | 31.6% | 31.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 14.0 | 10.6 | 71.3% | 10.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 | Mogi v Pinheiros | 73-80 |
| 10/12/25 | Pinheiros v Mogi | 84-69 |
| 12/03/25 | Pinheiros v Mogi | 91-77 |
| 02/12/24 | Mogi v Pinheiros | 53-73 |
| 09/01/24 | Mogi v Pinheiros | 75-76 |
| 07/12/23 | Pinheiros v Mogi | 75-69 |
| 11/04/22 | Pinheiros v Mogi | 69-90 |
| 22/12/21 | Mogi v Pinheiros | 65-82 |
| 30/01/21 | Pinheiros v Mogi | 77-81 |
| 29/12/20 | Mogi v Pinheiros | 74-68 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Sao Jose | 103-87 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Caxias do Sul | 91-53 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Osasco | 89-74 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Uniao Corinthians | 75-63 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Cearense | 98-63 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Unifacisa | 65-81 |
| 07/06/26 | A | Franca | 76-85 |
| 04/06/26 | H | Franca | 94-92 |
| 02/06/26 | H | Franca | 75-78 |
| 31/05/26 | A | Franca | 73-82 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 83% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LWW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 86.8 | 89.7 | 84.0 |
| Allowed / game | 70.2 | 67.7 | 72.7 |
| Point differential | +16.7 | +22.0 | +11.3 |
| Avg total | 157.0 | 157.3 | 156.7 |
| Over 155.5 | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 80% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 80.8 | 83.7 | 76.5 |
| Allowed / game | 74.4 | 73.7 | 75.5 |
| Point differential | +6.4 | +10.0 | +1.0 |
| Avg total | 155.2 | 157.3 | 152.0 |
| Over 155.5 | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 86.0 | 67.2 | +18.8 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 86.8 | 70.2 | +16.7 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 82.2 | 71.7 | +10.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 83.2 | 73.0 | +10.2 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 80.8 | 74.4 | +6.4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 77.3 | 73.3 | +4.0 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.6 | 79.8 | +0.9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.2 | 78.8 | -2.7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 70.3 | 73.0 | -2.7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 73.2 | 76.8 | -3.7 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.7 | 77.7 | -1.0 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 79.4 | 77.6 | +1.8 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 80.0 | 83.0 | -3.0 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.5 | 84.5 | -4.0 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 79.5 | 86.0 | -6.5 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 73.3 | 84.7 | -11.3 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 66.0 | 84.8 | -18.8 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 62.7 | 79.7 | -17.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 20 | 24 | 12 | 70 | |
| 22 | 15 | 23 | 25 | 85 |
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