PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mogi vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 73-80
25-21 20-22 11-27 17-10
Position#8
Record15-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game69.8
Mogi
Brazil
vs
Pinheiros 🏆
Brazil
Position#2
Record22-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game74.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mogi v Pinheiros
05 Mar 2026
MOGI73
PINH80
02 Dec 2024
MOGI53
PINH73
09 Jan 2024
MOGI75
PINH76
22 Dec 2021
MOGI65
PINH82
29 Dec 2020
MOGI74
PINH68
01 Nov 2019
MOGI73
PINH69
18 Oct 2018
MOGI77
PINH83
29 Mar 2018
MOGI69
PINH84
24 Mar 2017
MOGI90
PINH78
12 Nov 2015
MOGI86
PINH83
16 Nov 2014
MOGI83
PINH75
17 Apr 2014
MOGI86
PINH68
15 Apr 2014
MOGI85
PINH81
28 Nov 2013
MOGI80
PINH88
22 Dec 2012
MOGI76
PINH95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
71-56
71
56
+15
64avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
90-76
90
76
+14
80avg 67
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
67-60
67
60
+7
63avg 67
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 67
A22/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
63avg 67
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
88-76
88
76
+12
77avg 67
H09/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
67-61
67
61
+6
58avg 67
H11/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
69-70
69
70
-1
57avg 67
H16/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
63avg 67
A18/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
78-68
78
68
+10
76avg 67
H22/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
22-11
16-14
21-11
34-24
14-19
25-16
17-17
25-7
16-16
11-18
15-19
16-14
22-29
18-19
19-19
17-19
14-28
24-10
14-13
27-20
19-12
22-20
20-24
16-15
13-10
19-17
19-19
20-15
14-18
17-20
18-17
15-21
16-20
20-21
24-20
31-15
15-19
15-25
17-9
144.9Avg total
74.9Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.969.8145.6+6.154%
Season at home (14)78.764.3143.0+14.471%
Season away (14)73.075.3148.3-2.336%
Last 10 (10)74.970.0144.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)75.471.4146.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)65.780.5146.2-14.80%
vs Similar (11)69.571.7141.2-2.336%
vs Weaker (13)83.765.1148.8+18.685%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
77-64
77
64
+13
78avg 76
H27/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
94-67
94
67
+27
87avg 76
A29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
63avg 76
A10/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
94-101
94
101
-7
99avg 76
A12/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
H17/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
67avg 76
H21/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
95-73
95
73
+22
94avg 76
A04/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
69-62
69
62
+7
65avg 76
A11/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
70-77
70
77
-7
47avg 76
A13/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
80-68
80
68
+12
78avg 76
H19/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
25-16
20-13
11-10
27-18
25-15
21-16
21-18
19-26
14-26
21-20
27-23
33-29
15-30
18-16
28-26
24-13
24-17
27-13
18-22
21-17
18-12
18-30
13-5
30-19
23-14
22-16
20-24
15-19
17-14
21-13
16-16
17-18
18-24
11-19
24-16
26-11
15-25
20-14
19-18
155.9Avg total
82.3Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.074.4160.4+11.581%
Season at home (14)86.171.1157.1+15.093%
Season away (13)85.878.1163.9+7.869%
Last 10 (10)82.373.6155.9+8.770%
Last 5 (5)76.868.8145.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.380.3146.7-14.033%
vs Similar (6)75.576.2151.7-0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.074.0162.9+15.086%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
MogiPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H11/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A18/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
NBB
73.0Avg total
37.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.274.0+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.832.873.6+8.086%-
Last 30 away (16)35.239.274.4-4.025%-
Last 10 (10)37.835.273.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.070.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.341.572.8-10.20%-
vs Similar (11)34.535.970.5-1.445%-
vs Weaker (13)43.534.077.5+9.585%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A10/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A12/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H17/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H21/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A04/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A11/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/02
NBB
81.5Avg total
42.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.338.081.3+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.736.280.9+8.593%-
Last 30 away (15)42.039.781.7+2.340%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.881.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.674.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.336.370.7-2.033%-
vs Similar (6)38.339.077.3-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.037.984.0+8.176%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.1
50.5%
52.2%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.210.0
28.4%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.113.2
69.1%
72.8%13.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.7
53.1%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.59.8
30.2%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.815.8
76.0%
72.8%15.8
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WLLWWLLWWW
Pinheiros
WLWWWWLLWW
#8
League position
#2
+8.2
Net rating
+8.9
89.7
Offensive rating
96.4
81.5
Defensive rating
87.6
46.3%
Effective FG%
49.3%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
37.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.4%
3-point %
30.2%
59.8%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 96.4Defence81.5 · 87.6Shooting46.3% · 49.3%3-point %28.4% · 30.2%Ball care15.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds36.8% · 37.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Mogi   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mogi wins
7
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
10/12/25Pinheiros v Mogi84-69
12/03/25Pinheiros v Mogi91-77
02/12/24Mogi v Pinheiros53-73
09/01/24Mogi v Pinheiros75-76
07/12/23Pinheiros v Mogi75-69
11/04/22Pinheiros v Mogi69-90
22/12/21Mogi v Pinheiros65-82
30/01/21Pinheiros v Mogi77-81
29/12/20Mogi v Pinheiros74-68
25/01/20Pinheiros v Mogi110-106 OT
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HSao Jose78-68
18/02/26ACorinthians Paulista75-82
16/02/26HCruzeiro69-70
11/02/26HUnifacisa67-61
09/02/26HCearense88-76
05/02/26ABotafogo69-70
22/01/26AFlamengo75-81
20/01/26AVasco67-60
10/01/26HMinas90-76
29/12/25HCaxias do Sul71-56
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HPaulistano80-68
13/02/26AUniao Corinthians70-77
11/02/26ACaxias do Sul69-62
04/02/26AOsasco95-73
21/01/26HBrasilia70-64
17/01/26HRio Claro93-65
12/01/26ABauru94-101
10/01/26AFranca81-95
29/12/25APato94-67
27/12/25HBotafogo77-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%71%36%
Points / game75.978.773.0
Allowed / game69.864.375.3
Point differential+6.1+14.4-2.3
Avg total145.6143.0148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%64%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pinheiros
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %81%93%69%
Points / game86.086.185.8
Allowed / game74.471.178.1
Point differential+11.5+15.0+7.8
Avg total160.4157.1163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%86%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2722581%86.074.4+11.5
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Brasilia2820871%82.272.7+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2820871%83.878.0+5.8
7 Paulistano28171161%81.076.9+4.1
8 Sao Jose30181260%82.879.9+2.9
9 Bauru30181260%80.577.9+2.6
10 Mogi28151354%75.969.8+6.1
11 Uniao Corinthians28151354%79.581.4-1.9
12 Unifacisa27141352%80.179.2+0.9
13 Caxias do Sul28121643%72.877.3-4.5
14 Cruzeiro2791833%79.285.2-6.0
15 Rio Claro2882029%77.687.2-9.7
16 Pato2872125%73.379.4-6.1
17 Botafogo2862221%72.583.1-10.6
18 Cearense2862221%76.887.6-10.8
19 Vasco2842414%69.679.6-9.9
20 Osasco2842414%75.087.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi2520111773
Pinheiros2122271080
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.