Pinheiros vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Pinheiros host São José on 7 November 2026 in the NBB, and the Pythia model names Pinheiros the clear favourite, rating them 85% to win largely because of their 4-1 record, 83.6 points scored and 66.8 points allowed per game, and a league position of 2; São José, by contrast, sit 10th with a 2-3 record, 79.2 points scored and 80.8 points allowed. Pinheiros have gone 2-0 at home, averaging 83.0 points and allowing only 58.0, and have won four of their last five games, including a 91-53 home win over Caxias do Sul, a 89-74 away win over Osasco, and a 75-63 home win over Uniao Corinthians. São José have a 1-2 road record, averaging 72.3 points and conceding 84.7, and have won two of their last five, with a 90-81 away win over Osasco and a 96-53 home win over Cearense, but also a 83-97 home loss to Unifacisa. Historically, Pinheiros have won 7 of 10 meetings, though São José last beat them 76-75 on 10 April 2026. The model projects a 86-74 score, 159.6 total points, a 12-point home line with a 49% chance of covering, a 157.5 over line with a 55% over probability, and a 3% chance of overtime. Pinheiros' recent dominance and defensive edge suggest they will likely keep the margin wide.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winWon

85.0%fair 1.18

Best odds1.13

Implied84.0%

Edge+0.9pp

Sao Jose winLost

15.0%fair 6.66

Best odds6.00

Implied16.0%

Edge-0.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pinheiros

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPinheiros

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

88-76

+12

77avg 77

H26/05

NBB

Franca

73-82

-9

56avg 77

A31/05

NBB

Franca

75-78

-3

57avg 77

H02/06

NBB

Franca

94-92

83avg 77

H04/06

NBB

Franca

76-85

-9

69avg 77

A07/06

NBB

Unifacisa

65-81

-16

49avg 77

A19/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

98-63

+35

102avg 77

A22/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#10

75-63

+12

68avg 77

H27/10

NBB

Osasco

#15

89-74

+15

74avg 77

A29/10

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#18

91-53

+38

no box

H02/11

NBB

21-18

35-20

23-13

9-25

27-20

18-23

11-26

17-13

21-24

7-21

17-11

30-22

19-24

28-19

27-32

20-17

24-18

22-32

8-10

22-25

19-19

11-23

15-19

20-20

24-15

22-17

26-18

26-13

22-13

13-10

24-22

16-18

25-21

24-18

26-19

14-16

25-6

20-15

23-14

23-18

157.1Avg total

82.4Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	83.6	66.8	150.4	+16.8	80%
Season at home (2)	83.0	58.0	141.0	+25.0	100%
Season away (3)	84.0	72.7	156.7	+11.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	74.7	157.1	+7.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	66.8	150.4	+16.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	78.4	83.3	161.7	-4.9	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	86.7	73.7	160.3	+13.0	87%

This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao Jose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJose

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#13

68-65

62avg 72

A15/04

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

88-97

-9

79avg 72

A17/04

NBB

Mogi

70-75

-5

56avg 72

H22/04

NBB

Mogi

75-79

-4

59avg 72

A25/04

NBB

Mogi

70-81

-11

60avg 72

A27/04

NBB

Franca

59-90

-31

42avg 72

A19/10

NBB

Bauru

#11

68-83

-15

54avg 72

A21/10

NBB

Unifacisa

83-97

-14

72avg 72

H28/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

96-53

+43

no box

H02/11

NBB

Osasco

#15

90-81

no box

A05/11

NBB

15-16

20-12

16-26

17-11

20-30

29-23

20-29

19-15

25-16

14-21

16-20

15-18

17-16

21-25

18-15

19-23

18-25

17-17

22-19

13-20

15-17

17-25

12-23

15-25

22-23

20-11

17-25

9-24

16-26

27-23

17-23

23-25

27-11

31-12

24-15

14-15

31-16

19-17

28-13

12-35

156.8Avg total

76.7Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	79.2	80.8	160.0	-1.6	40%
Season at home (2)	89.5	75.0	164.5	+14.5	50%
Season away (3)	72.3	84.7	157.0	-12.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	80.1	156.8	-3.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	80.8	160.0	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	78.9	89.6	168.5	-10.8	12%
vs Similar (11)	77.3	81.8	159.1	-4.5	36%
vs Weaker (11)	88.6	79.4	168.0	+9.3	82%

This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 151.5Actual: Over 151.5

Over 151.5

68.6%

@ 1.47+5.3pp

Under 151.5

31.4%

@ 2.60-5.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

Bet365

1.45

Under

Bet365

2.60

Betano

2.45

Over/Under 156.5 · main lineActual: Over 156.5

Over 156.5

57.0%

@ 1.88+7.3pp

Under 156.5

43.0%

@ 1.95-7.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.88

WilliamHill

1.85

SBO

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.80

Under

Bet365

1.95

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.87

Marathon Be

1.86

Pinnacle

1.86

Over/Under 161.5Actual: Over 161.5

Over 161.5

44.8%

@ 2.32+4.9pp

Under 161.5

55.2%

@ 1.55-4.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.32

Bet365

2.30

Under

Marathon Be

1.55

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Pinheiros total 80.5Actual: Pinheiros over 80.5

Over 80.5

69.9%

@ 1.40+5.5pp

Under 80.5

30.1%

@ 2.65-5.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.38

Under

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.40

Pinheiros total 84.5 · main lineActual: Pinheiros over 84.5

Over 84.5

54.8%

@ 1.83+4.8pp

Under 84.5

45.2%

@ 1.91-4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.72

Under

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.83

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.72

Pinheiros total 88.5Actual: Pinheiros over 88.5

Over 88.5

38.9%

@ 2.52+2.4pp

Under 88.5

61.1%

@ 1.44-2.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.40

Under

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.38

Sao Jose total 69.5Actual: Sao Jose over 69.5

Over 69.5

66.2%

@ 1.52+5.8pp

Under 69.5

33.8%

@ 2.50-5.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.52

Bet365

1.50

1xBet

1.46

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.32

1xBet

2.16

Sao Jose total 73.5 · main lineActual: Sao Jose over 73.5

Over 73.5

50.9%

@ 2.05+5.2pp

Under 73.5

49.1%

@ 1.83-5.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.05

1xBet

1.89

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.67

1xBet

1.59

Sao Jose total 77.5Actual: Sao Jose over 77.5

Over 77.5

35.5%

@ 2.75+2.4pp

Under 77.5

64.5%

@ 1.40-2.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.75

1xBet

2.72

Under

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.31

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Pinheiros -15Actual: Pinheiros -15

PINH -15

38.2%

@ 2.20-3.9pp

SAO +15

61.8%

@ 1.60+3.9pp

Best 5 market prices

PINH

Bet365

2.20

SAO

Bet365

1.60

Spread Pinheiros -12 · main lineActual: Pinheiros -12

PINH -12

49.1%

@ 1.88-0.5pp

SAO +12

50.9%

@ 1.86+0.5pp

Best 5 market prices

PINH

Pinnacle

1.88

SBO

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.81

Bet365

1.80

SAO

Bet365

1.86

Pinnacle

1.85

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.84

SBO

1.83

Spread Pinheiros -9Actual: Pinheiros -9

PINH -9

60.3%

@ 1.52-0.9pp

SAO +9

39.7%

@ 2.40+0.9pp

Best 5 market prices

PINH

Marathon Be

1.52

Bet365

1.52

SAO

Bet365

2.40

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PinheirosSao Jose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.2	60%	60%
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.5	69%	46%
Last 30 away (17)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.2	53%	71%
Last 10 (10)	22.7	17.8	40.5	+4.9	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.0	14.8	37.8	+8.2	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	24.1	21.0	45.1	+3.1	57%	86%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	61%	52%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.4	43.7	-1.1	33%	73%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	23.7	47.3	-0.1	43%	86%
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.9	25%	62%
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.6	24.6	45.2	-4.0	12%	88%
vs Similar (11)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	45%	73%
vs Weaker (11)	22.7	21.2	43.9	+1.5	36%	64%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	63%	50%
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	19.7	41.5	+2.2	69%	69%
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.5	59%	35%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.6	34.6	+1.4	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	17.9	23.6	41.4	-5.7	14%	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.8	18.5	40.3	+3.3	78%	48%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	57%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	18.6	38.3	+1.2	62%	38%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+2.9	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.6	40.4	+5.2	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.5	22.2	41.8	-2.8	50%	75%
vs Similar (11)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	64%	27%
vs Weaker (11)	22.3	17.9	40.2	+4.4	64%	55%

PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

56-38

+18

H26/05

NBB

Franca

45-43

A31/05

NBB

Franca

28-45

-17

H02/06

NBB

Franca

47-43

H04/06

NBB

Franca

46-50

-4

A07/06

NBB

Unifacisa

30-42

-12

A19/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

46-32

+14

A22/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#10

35-23

+12

H27/10

NBB

Osasco

#15

49-39

+10

A29/10

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#18

45-21

+24

H02/11

NBB

80.3Avg total

42.7Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.25
Last 30 (30)	42.8	39.4	82.1	+3.4	60%	57%
Last 30 at home (13)	43.7	38.1	81.8	+5.6	69%	62%
Last 30 away (17)	42.1	40.4	82.4	+1.7	53%	53%
Last 10 (10)	42.7	37.6	80.3	+5.1	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	41.0	31.4	72.4	+9.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	42.0	44.6	86.6	-2.6	57%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	43.0	37.8	80.8	+5.2	61%	52%

This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#13

35-28

A15/04

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

49-53

-4

A17/04

NBB

Mogi

39-37

H22/04

NBB

Mogi

38-41

-3

A25/04

NBB

Mogi

35-42

-7

A27/04

NBB

Franca

32-42

-10

A19/10

NBB

Bauru

#11

42-34

A21/10

NBB

Unifacisa

43-49

-6

H28/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

58-23

+35

H02/11

NBB

Osasco

#15

50-33

+17

A05/11

NBB

80.3Avg total

42.1Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.25
Last 30 (30)	42.0	41.6	83.6	+0.4	50%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	45.3	43.6	88.9	+1.6	57%	93%
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	39.8	78.9	-0.7	44%	38%
Last 10 (10)	42.1	38.2	80.3	+3.9	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	45.0	36.2	81.2	+8.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	40.1	46.9	87.0	-6.8	38%	75%
vs Similar (11)	40.4	40.3	80.6	+0.1	55%	45%
vs Weaker (11)	45.0	39.1	84.1	+5.9	55%	73%

This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Pinheiros win

PINH win

no forecast

@ 1.28

SAO win

no forecast

@ 4.25

1st half Spread Pinheiros -7 · main lineActual: Pinheiros -7

PINH -7

no forecast

@ 1.91

SAO +7

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 80.25 · main lineActual: Over 80.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Pinheiros 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Pinheiros over 43

Over

no forecast

@ 1.84

Under

no forecast

@ 1.82

Sao Jose 1st half total 36 · main lineActual: Sao Jose over 36

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.84

1st half: PINH + total 79.5

PINH & over

no forecast

@ 2.45

PINH & under

no forecast

@ 2.65

1st half: Draw + total 79.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 34.00

1st half: SAO + total 79.5

SAO & over

no forecast

@ 6.25

SAO & under

no forecast

@ 6.75

1st half Over/Under 79Actual: Over 79

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.84

1st half Spread Pinheiros -8Actual: Pinheiros -8

PINH -8

no forecast

@ 2.10

SAO +8

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Pinheiros -6Actual: Pinheiros -6

PINH -6

no forecast

@ 1.75

SAO +6

no forecast

@ 2.01

1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Over 77.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Spread Pinheiros -9.5Actual: Pinheiros -9.5

PINH -9.5

no forecast

@ 2.32

SAO +9.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half Spread Pinheiros -4.5Actual: Pinheiros -4.5

PINH -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.64

SAO +4.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Spread Pinheiros -10.5Actual: Sao Jose +10.5

PINH -10.5

no forecast

@ 2.65

SAO +10.5

no forecast

@ 1.43

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Pinheiros (regulation)

PINH

no forecast

@ 1.32

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.50

SAO

no forecast

@ 4.00

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.1	38.5	+4.3	67%	50%
Last 30 at home (13)	24.0	17.8	41.8	+6.2	85%	62%
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	53%	41%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.4	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	15.6	18.4	34.0	-2.9	29%	14%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.2	16.7	39.9	+6.5	78%	61%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.2	57%	77%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	57%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	21.3	42.5	-0.1	56%	75%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.6	21.9	38.5	-5.2	25%	62%
vs Similar (11)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	64%	73%
vs Weaker (11)	23.9	21.6	45.5	+2.3	73%	91%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	50%	47%
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	62%	54%
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.2	41%	41%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.7	38.4	+1.0	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	20.9	20.3	41.1	+0.6	43%	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.0	18.4	37.3	+0.6	52%	43%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.4	42.5	+1.6	50%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	16.3	20.3	36.6	-4.0	38%	31%
Last 10 (10)	15.6	21.1	36.7	-5.5	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	14.6	24.8	39.4	-10.2	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	22.1	20.9	43.0	+1.2	62%	75%
vs Similar (11)	16.0	21.7	37.7	-5.7	18%	45%
vs Weaker (11)	19.7	18.6	38.4	+1.1	55%	45%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77
Last 30 (30)	40.8	35.9	76.8	+4.9	63%	43%
Last 30 at home (13)	44.6	36.8	81.4	+7.8	69%	69%
Last 30 away (17)	37.9	35.3	73.2	+2.6	59%	24%
Last 10 (10)	39.7	37.1	76.8	+2.6	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	42.6	35.4	78.0	+7.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	36.4	38.7	75.1	-2.3	29%	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.2	35.1	77.3	+7.1	74%	48%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77
Last 30 (30)	39.9	41.4	81.3	-1.5	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	41.1	83.7	+1.4	57%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	41.6	79.1	-4.1	31%	50%
Last 10 (10)	34.6	41.9	76.5	-7.3	10%	30%
Last 5 (5)	34.2	44.6	78.8	-10.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	38.8	42.8	81.5	-4.0	38%	62%
vs Similar (11)	36.9	41.5	78.5	-4.6	27%	36%
vs Weaker (11)	43.6	40.3	83.9	+3.4	64%	82%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

PINH win + total 156.5

🔒 Pro

SAO win + total 156.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PINH leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SAO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (PINH:SAO ): PINH wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Pinheiros over 74.5	86.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Pinheiros over 75.5	84.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Sao Jose over 66.5	76.4%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Pinheiros over 77.5	79.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Pinheiros over 78.5	76.5%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Pinheiros over 73.5	88.9%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Pinheiros over 79.5	73.3%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Pinheiros over 69.5	94.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Pinheiros over 67.5	96.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Pinheiros over 71.5	92.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Sao Jose +20.5	78.1%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Sao Jose +20	77.5%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Sao Jose over 67.5	73.2%	1.34	Bet365 1.35	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Over 149.5	72.9%	1.37	Betano 1.38	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Sao Jose +18	71.7%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Over 150.5	70.8%	1.41	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Over 150	72.3%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Sao Jose +19	74.7%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Over 151	70.1%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Sao Jose over 63.5	84.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Sao Jose +22.5	82.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Pinheiros +12.5	97.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Overtime: no	97.0%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	-
Over 132.5	95.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Sao Jose +18.5	72.6%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Over 142.5	85.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Sao Jose over 65.5	79.3%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Sao Jose +19.5	75.4%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Sao Jose over 62.5	86.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Over 147.5	76.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Pinheiros (regulation)	83.1%	1.13	Betano 1.14	1xBet 1.13	Marathon Bet 1.13	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Pinheiros +7.5	94.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Sao Jose under 91.5	95.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Over 137.5	91.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Pinheiros under 95.5	83.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 92.5	96.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Sao Jose under 89.5	93.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Pinheiros under 94.5	81.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Lost
Pinheiros under 93.5	78.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Lost
Pinheiros +2.5	88.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Under 182.5	91.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 87.5	90.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Pinheiros -2.5	80.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Pinheiros -5	74.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Pinheiros -5.5	71.9%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Pinheiros win	85.0%	1.11	Marathon Bet 1.13	1xBet 1.13	Betano 1.12	WilliamHill 1.12	Betfair 1.11	+0.9pp	Won
Pinheiros -6	70.9%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Pinheiros -4.5	75.0%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Pinheiros under 91.5	72.1%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 83.5	82.7%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 85.5	87.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 82.5	80.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 81.5	77.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Lost
Under 177.5	86.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 79.5	71.4%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Lost
Under 172.5	78.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 79.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.3	16.7	51.7%	49.8%	33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.3	11.1	34.4%	31.6%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.7	69.0%	71.3%	12.7

They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 72.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	16.8	42.7%	49.8%	33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.4	30.1%	31.6%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	20.7	14.1	68.1%	71.3%	14.1

They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.7	17.9	54.7%	49.8%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	7.2	27.7%	31.6%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.9	79.7%	71.3%	16.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.8	54.5%	49.8%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.8	31.5%	31.6%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.6	70.9%	71.3%	15.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.6	17.9	53.2%	49.8%	35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	10.3	33.7%	31.6%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.6	70.8%	71.3%	13.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	18.6	50.5%	49.8%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	8.6	31.6%	31.6%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.0	73.6%	71.3%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	17.0	48.7%	49.8%	34.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.4	31.5%	31.6%	25.3
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.0	75.4%	71.3%	16.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	18.5	49.5%	49.8%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	9.4	32.3%	31.6%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.3	73.3%	71.3%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Pinheiros

WWWWLLWLLW

Sao Jose

WWLLLLLLLW

League position

#14

+6.1

Net rating

-9.8

94.5

Offensive rating

82.2

88.4

Defensive rating

92.1

51.6%

Effective FG%

43.8%

48.9%

Opp. effective FG%

51.4%

15.6%

Turnover %

15.0%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.31

34.4%

3-point %

30.1%

53.2%

Assist %

63.9%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Pinheiros ■ Sao Jose

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pinheiros wins

Sao Jose wins

Date	Game	Score
10/04/26	Sao Jose v Pinheiros	76-75
23/12/25	Pinheiros v Sao Jose	98-83
17/03/25	Pinheiros v Sao Jose	89-80
17/12/24	Sao Jose v Pinheiros	76-77
15/01/24	Sao Jose v Pinheiros	71-73
09/12/23	Pinheiros v Sao Jose	73-71
06/02/23	Sao Jose v Pinheiros	94-92
10/12/22	Pinheiros v Sao Jose	98-90
12/02/20	Pinheiros v Sao Jose	83-92
30/10/19	Sao Jose v Pinheiros	84-89 OT

Pinheiroslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/26	H	Caxias do Sul	91-53
29/10/26	A	Osasco	89-74
27/10/26	H	Uniao Corinthians	75-63
22/10/26	A	Cearense	98-63
19/10/26	A	Unifacisa	65-81
07/06/26	A	Franca	76-85
04/06/26	H	Franca	94-92
02/06/26	H	Franca	75-78
31/05/26	A	Franca	73-82
26/05/26	H	Corinthians Paulista	88-76

Sao Joselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/26	A	Osasco	90-81
02/11/26	H	Cearense	96-53
28/10/26	H	Unifacisa	83-97
21/10/26	A	Bauru	68-83
19/10/26	A	Franca	59-90
27/04/26	A	Mogi	70-81
25/04/26	A	Mogi	75-79
22/04/26	H	Mogi	70-75
17/04/26	A	Uniao Corinthians	88-97
15/04/26	A	Caxias do Sul	68-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	80%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	80%	100%	67%
Points / game	83.6	83.0	84.0
Allowed / game	66.8	58.0	72.7
Point differential	+16.8	+25.0	+11.3
Avg total	150.4	141.0	156.7
Over 156.5	40%	0%	67%
Win by 10+	80%	100%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sao Jose

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	40%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	79.2	89.5	72.3
Allowed / game	80.8	75.0	84.7
Point differential	-1.6	+14.5	-12.3
Avg total	160.0	164.5	157.0
Over 156.5	40%	50%	33%
Win by 10+	20%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	6	6	0	100%	86.0	67.2	+18.8
2	Unifacisa	6	5	1	83%	83.2	73.0	+10.2
3	Pinheiros	5	4	1	80%	83.6	66.8	+16.8
4	Flamengo	5	4	1	80%	82.6	72.8	+9.8
5	Mogi	5	4	1	80%	80.8	74.4	+6.4
6	Paulistano	5	3	2	60%	72.8	74.6	-1.8
7	Franca	6	3	3	50%	77.3	73.3	+4.0
8	Brasilia	6	3	3	50%	84.7	85.5	-0.8
9	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	50%	76.2	78.8	-2.7
10	Sao Jose	5	2	3	40%	79.2	80.8	-1.6
11	Botafogo	5	2	3	40%	80.0	83.0	-3.0
12	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	40%	73.8	80.0	-6.2
13	Bauru	6	2	4	33%	73.2	77.7	-4.5
14	Corinthians Paulista	4	1	3	25%	80.5	80.0	+0.5
15	Osasco	4	1	3	25%	79.5	86.0	-6.5
16	Pato	4	1	3	25%	74.0	82.5	-8.5
17	Caxias do Sul	5	0	5	0%	64.2	80.4	-16.2
18	Cearense	4	0	4	0%	65.8	94.0	-28.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pinheiros	22	28	30	23	103
Sao Jose	21	19	16	31	87

← all games of the day

Pinheiros vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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