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Pistoia vs Brindisi Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 77-75
Projected total 151.8
Scheduled
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game69.1
Vs
58%
42%
■ PIS 58%■ BRI 42%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game73.9
ItalySerie A2Round 11· PalaCarrara
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pistoia v Brindisi
22 Nov 2026
PIS v BRI
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
PIS79
BRI71
21 Apr 2024
PIS90
BRI96
22 Mar 2020
PIS v BRI
upcoming
28 Oct 2018
PIS74
BRI90
09 Oct 2017
PIS83
BRI77
09 Oct 2016
PIS89
BRI81
04 Oct 2015
PIS85
BRI78
13 Dec 2014
PIS70
BRI83
30 Mar 2014
PIS65
BRI75
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Pistoia host Brindisi in the Serie A2. Pythia makes Pistoia the favourite at 58% and projects 77-75, about 152 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Pistoia are 6-4 this season (77.6 scored, 69.1 allowed a game), form WLWWW; Brindisi are 6-3 this season (77.4 scored, 73.9 allowed a game), form LWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia win
57.8%fair 1.73
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi win
42.2%fair 2.37
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
62-63
62
63
-1
49avg 67
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
28avg 67
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 67
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
89-70
89
70
+19
84avg 67
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-52
96
52
+44
103avg 67
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 67
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
64-66
64
66
-2
54avg 67
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A14/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
18-18
15-11
13-15
20-30
23-19
20-18
14-17
23-24
15-21
12-12
20-21
21-18
27-15
21-20
20-17
24-10
25-13
23-20
24-9
21-20
15-21
14-12
25-19
21-16
17-25
13-13
13-12
14-18
12-22
31-16
29-15
21-22
15-14
20-14
22-20
14-21
13-16
24-16
28-12
146.7Avg total
77.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.669.1146.7+8.560%
Season at home (4)77.072.5149.5+4.550%
Season away (6)78.066.8144.8+11.267%
Last 10 (10)77.669.1146.7+8.560%
Last 5 (5)76.468.8145.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.683.0156.6-9.420%
vs Similar (12)78.382.7161.0-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.270.2151.5+11.075%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
62avg 70
H14/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
66-59
66
59
+7
61avg 70
A27/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
84-81
84
81
+3
35avg 70
H04/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
96-78
96
78
+18
92avg 70
A11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
75avg 70
H17/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
63-70
63
70
-7
66avg 70
A21/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
83-70
83
70
+13
85avg 70
H25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
63-70
63
70
-7
no box
A31/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
14-24
23-21
10-17
15-18
17-14
16-13
18-14
29-21
19-18
21-21
15-21
18-19
31-16
28-18
19-25
27-20
24-22
18-20
12-23
17-18
20-18
15-13
11-21
27-19
24-18
17-23
15-10
24-18
15-18
16-13
8-21
23-20
15-9
29-23
13-22
22-19
19-18
20-14
20-27
150.8Avg total
76.6Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.473.9151.3+3.667%
Season at home (4)82.077.5159.5+4.575%
Season away (5)73.871.0144.8+2.860%
Last 10 (10)76.674.2150.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)74.072.4146.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)81.078.0159.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (17)77.877.8155.6-0.141%
vs Weaker (12)76.574.1150.6+2.458%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 148
Over 148
58.7%
Under 148
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 153
Over 153
46.4%
Under 153
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158
Over 158
34.5%
Under 158
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Pistoia total 74.5
Over 74.5
59.6%
Under 74.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pistoia total 78.5
Over 78.5
44.1%
Under 78.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pistoia total 82.5
Over 82.5
29.6%
Under 82.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brindisi total 70.5
Over 70.5
65.9%
Under 70.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brindisi total 74.5
Over 74.5
50.9%
Under 74.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brindisi total 78.5
Over 78.5
35.8%
Under 78.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Pistoia -3
PIS -3
48.8%
BRI +3
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
PIS
No market prices yet.
BRI
No market prices yet.
Spread Pistoia 0
PIS 0
57.8%
BRI 0
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
PIS
No market prices yet.
BRI
No market prices yet.
Spread Pistoia +3
PIS +3
66.6%
BRI -3
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
PIS
No market prices yet.
BRI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -6.0-6.0
PistoiaBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H11/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/11
Serie A2
75.7Avg total
37.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.480.1-2.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.680.5-0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.842.179.8-4.312%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.275.7-0.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.639.071.6-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.240.376.5-4.120%-
vs Similar (12)41.544.586.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.938.075.9-0.125%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A27/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H17/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A21/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A31/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A11/11
Serie A2
78.4Avg total
42.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.677.8+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.435.478.8+7.979%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.677.0-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.278.4+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.076.2+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)41.037.078.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (17)40.938.379.2+2.659%-
vs Weaker (12)39.236.875.9+2.450%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.3
50.6%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
34.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
71.0%16.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.017.0
54.8%
51.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.7
34.1%
34.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.313.0
79.8%
71.0%13.0
They take 53.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WWWLWWWLLL
Brindisi
WWLWLLWWWL
#8
League position
#6
+12.8
Net rating
-1.8
98.5
Offensive rating
93.5
85.6
Defensive rating
95.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
53.3%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
8.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.5%
3-point %
34.1%
54.0%
Assist %
56.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 93.5Defence85.6 · 95.3Shooting48.1% · 53.3%3-point %29.5% · 34.1%Ball care8.8% · 13.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Pistoia   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
7
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Pistoia v Brindisi79-71
21/12/25Brindisi v Pistoia76-68
21/04/24Pistoia v Brindisi90-96
29/10/23Brindisi v Pistoia72-78
24/11/19Brindisi v Pistoia100-67
10/02/19Brindisi v Pistoia80-70
28/10/18Pistoia v Brindisi74-90
28/01/18Brindisi v Pistoia88-74
09/10/17Pistoia v Brindisi83-77
29/01/17Brindisi v Pistoia86-85
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUrania Milano79-65
11/11/26HCaserta78-70
08/11/26AMontecatini86-71
01/11/26HFortitudo Bologna64-66
25/10/26AJuVi Cremona75-72
21/10/26ACento96-52
18/10/26HVigevano89-70
11/10/26ASebastiani Rieti70-78
04/10/26HBasket Torino77-84
27/09/26ALibertas Livorno62-63
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ALibertas Livorno81-78
07/11/26HForli80-74
31/10/26AMestre63-70
25/10/26HAvellino Basket83-70
21/10/26ASebastiani Rieti63-70
17/10/26HBasket Torino81-85
11/10/26AMontecatini96-78
04/10/26HUrania Milano84-81
27/09/26AJuVi Cremona66-59
14/05/26HVerona69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game77.677.078.0
Allowed / game69.172.566.8
Point differential+8.5+4.5+11.2
Avg total146.7149.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brindisi
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game77.482.073.8
Allowed / game73.977.571.0
Point differential+3.6+4.5+2.8
Avg total151.3159.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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