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Pistoia vs Cividale Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 04 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#12
Record5-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game74.1
ItalySerie A2Round 33· PalaCarrara
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pistoia v Cividale
04 Apr 2027
PIS v CIVI
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
PIS78
CIVI81
23 Oct 2022
PIS80
CIVI61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cividale win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
62-63
62
63
-1
49avg 67
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
28avg 67
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 67
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
89-70
89
70
+19
84avg 67
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-52
96
52
+44
103avg 67
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 67
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
64-66
64
66
-2
54avg 67
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A14/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
18-18
15-11
13-15
20-30
23-19
20-18
14-17
23-24
15-21
12-12
20-21
21-18
27-15
21-20
20-17
24-10
25-13
23-20
24-9
21-20
15-21
14-12
25-19
21-16
17-25
13-13
13-12
14-18
12-22
31-16
29-15
21-22
15-14
20-14
22-20
14-21
13-16
24-16
28-12
146.7Avg total
77.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.669.1146.7+8.560%
Season at home (4)77.072.5149.5+4.550%
Season away (6)78.066.8144.8+11.267%
Last 10 (10)77.669.1146.7+8.560%
Last 5 (5)76.468.8145.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.683.0156.6-9.420%
vs Similar (12)78.382.7161.0-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.270.2151.5+11.075%
This opponent (Cividale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
66avg 63
A28/05
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
68-85
68
85
-17
6avg 63
H26/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-83
86
83
+3
16avg 63
A04/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
59-76
59
76
-17
51avg 63
A11/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
62-77
62
77
-15
64avg 63
H17/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
68-76
68
76
-8
45avg 63
A21/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
78-60
78
60
+18
74avg 63
H24/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
74-64
74
64
+10
57avg 63
A30/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
W
70-67
70
67
+3
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
22-24
12-24
17-18
15-27
8-21
23-16
22-21
23-19
19-23
18-22
26-19
25-23
10-15
17-19
7-19
13-31
16-20
14-14
19-12
21-22
18-20
15-13
14-21
15-17
23-12
17-15
23-16
16-18
21-13
23-21
14-12
14-15
22-25
13-17
21-10
15-26
23-18
23-22
20-13
147.6Avg total
72.2Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.874.1145.9-2.356%
Season at home (4)69.572.2141.8-2.850%
Season away (5)73.675.6149.2-2.060%
Last 10 (10)72.275.4147.6-3.250%
Last 5 (5)74.269.2143.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)65.081.0146.0-16.00%
vs Similar (18)75.976.4152.3-0.550%
vs Weaker (10)81.867.7149.5+14.180%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
PistoiaCividale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H11/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/11
Serie A2
75.7Avg total
37.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.480.1-2.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.680.5-0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.842.179.8-4.312%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.275.7-0.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.639.071.6-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.240.376.5-4.120%-
vs Similar (12)41.544.586.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.938.075.9-0.125%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/05
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H26/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A11/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H17/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H24/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H07/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A11/11
Serie A2
77.4Avg total
36.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.676.9-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.936.173.0+0.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.941.581.4-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.077.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.274.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)26.049.575.5-23.50%-
vs Similar (18)38.539.978.4-1.439%-
vs Weaker (10)40.434.274.6+6.270%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.3
50.6%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
34.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
71.0%16.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 57.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.314.3
52.4%
51.2%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.1
28.0%
34.5%18.3
🏀 Free throws15.111.0
72.8%
71.0%11.0
They take 49.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WWWLWWWLLL
Cividale
WWWWLLLWLL
#8
League position
#12
+12.8
Net rating
-15.8
98.5
Offensive rating
85.5
85.6
Defensive rating
101.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
47.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
8.8%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.5%
3-point %
28.0%
54.0%
Assist %
69.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 85.5Defence85.6 · 101.3Shooting48.1% · 47.8%3-point %29.5% · 28.0%Ball care8.8% · 11.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Cividale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pistoia wins
3
Cividale wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Cividale v Pistoia93-48
14/12/25Pistoia v Cividale78-81
14/01/23Cividale v Pistoia65-58
23/10/22Pistoia v Cividale80-61
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUrania Milano79-65
11/11/26HCaserta78-70
08/11/26AMontecatini86-71
01/11/26HFortitudo Bologna64-66
25/10/26AJuVi Cremona75-72
21/10/26ACento96-52
18/10/26HVigevano89-70
11/10/26ASebastiani Rieti70-78
04/10/26HBasket Torino77-84
27/09/26ALibertas Livorno62-63
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AMestre81-79
07/11/26HSassari70-67
30/10/26ACento74-64
24/10/26HUrania Milano78-60
21/10/26APesaro68-76
17/10/26HAvellino Basket62-77
11/10/26ABasket Torino59-76
04/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-83
26/09/26HForli68-85
28/05/26ARimini76-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game77.677.078.0
Allowed / game69.172.566.8
Point differential+8.5+4.5+11.2
Avg total146.7149.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cividale
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game71.869.573.6
Allowed / game74.172.275.6
Point differential-2.3-2.8-2.0
Avg total145.9141.8149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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