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Pistoia vs NPC Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-81
23-28 18-16 12-21 15-16
Position#17
Record7-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#25
Record5-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game77.3
ItalySerie A2Round 16
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NPC Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chieti Basket
#21
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A09/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A13/12
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H20/12
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A03/01
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H06/01
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A10/01
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H17/01
Serie A2
Forli
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H20/01
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#21
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H24/01
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A27/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
24-23
16-24
16-12
14-17
18-21
18-20
17-20
21-15
12-18
11-25
19-17
23-14
12-20
18-20
21-18
22-20
17-17
14-18
17-11
16-13
27-12
23-24
14-23
21-14
15-23
24-15
16-24
19-18
11-21
18-10
31-26
23-21
18-13
25-22
20-18
20-35
21-20
24-15
21-22
154.1Avg total
76.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.076.1151.1-1.154%
Season at home (6)78.274.5152.7+3.783%
Season away (7)72.377.4149.7-5.129%
Last 10 (10)76.777.4154.1-0.760%
Last 5 (5)84.280.0164.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.582.2155.7-8.835%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.077.0154.0+0.060%
vs Weaker (3)77.075.0152.0+2.067%
This opponent (NPC Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NPC RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ravenna
#10
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A09/12
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H13/12
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#21
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A19/12
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A23/12
Serie A2
Latina
#24
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H27/12
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H03/01
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A06/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H10/01
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
A17/01
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
H24/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
13-21
17-17
23-27
19-16
20-29
20-16
15-18
21-16
15-19
13-14
17-22
17-20
18-24
19-20
21-20
26-21
12-19
20-21
24-16
18-27
22-14
16-14
19-24
10-17
22-31
19-15
16-18
21-13
15-28
15-17
28-16
15-24
13-15
23-17
18-13
18-21
23-20
20-20
23-23
156.3Avg total
76.2Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.277.3151.5-3.238%
Season at home (7)77.476.6154.0+0.957%
Season away (6)70.378.2148.5-7.817%
Last 10 (10)76.280.1156.3-3.930%
Last 5 (5)78.481.4159.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.782.8158.4-7.122%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.473.2146.6+0.159%
vs Weaker (4)71.563.5135.0+8.075%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
PistoiaNPC Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chieti Basket
#21
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A09/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A13/12
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/12
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A03/01
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/01
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A10/01
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H17/01
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H20/01
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#21
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H24/01
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A27/01
Serie A2
74.9Avg total
37.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.740.776.4-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.438.775.1-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.042.777.7-7.720%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.974.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.076.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.242.276.4-7.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.939.577.4-1.650%-
vs Weaker (3)36.736.072.7+0.733%-
This opponent (NPC Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NPC RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ravenna
#10
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/12
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H13/12
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/12
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A23/12
Serie A2
Latina
#24
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/12
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H03/01
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A06/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H10/01
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A17/01
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/01
Serie A2
77.1Avg total
35.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.639.275.9-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.938.775.6-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)36.339.876.1-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.377.1-5.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.077.4-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.642.376.9-7.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.038.275.2-1.247%-
vs Weaker (4)39.836.576.2+3.250%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.8%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NPC Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pistoia wins
1
NPC Rieti wins
DateGameScore
22/11/20NPC Rieti v Pistoia71-67
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/21AEurobasket Roma86-92
24/01/21HChieti Basket86-74
20/01/21HForli79-75
17/01/21HFerrara90-87 OT
10/01/21AStella Azzurra80-72
06/01/21HEurobasket Roma70-66
03/01/21ARavenna74-72
20/12/20HBaltur Cento63-75
13/12/20AScafati67-78
09/12/20AChieti Basket72-83
NPC Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21HRavenna91-96 OT
17/01/21ABasket Napoli80-77 OT
10/01/21HScafati79-74
06/01/21AStella Azzurra67-81
03/01/21HBaltur Cento75-79
27/12/20HLatina82-77
23/12/20AFerrara75-84
19/12/20AChieti Basket66-71
13/12/20HForli74-79
09/12/20ARavenna73-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL54%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game75.078.272.3
Allowed / game76.174.577.4
Point differential-1.1+3.7-5.1
Avg total151.1152.7149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
NPC Rieti
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%57%17%
Points / game74.277.470.3
Allowed / game77.376.678.2
Point differential-3.2+0.9-7.8
Avg total151.5154.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tortona12120100%82.067.0+15.0
2 Forli1211192%80.268.6+11.6
3 Basket Napoli1411379%81.568.1+13.4
4 Scafati118373%79.672.5+7.1
5 Ferrara139469%75.874.9+0.9
6 Orzinuovi128467%88.580.6+7.9
7 Assigeco Piacenza128467%83.381.6+1.8
8 Basket Torino85362%78.067.0+11.0
9 Monferrato138562%75.878.4-2.5
10 Eurobasket Roma137654%76.775.1+1.6
11 Udine137654%78.478.7-0.3
12 Pistoia137654%75.076.1-1.1
13 Capo d'Orlando137654%86.989.5-2.6
14 Urania Milano126650%76.876.5+0.3
15 Verona115645%79.980.6-0.7
16 Baltur Cento115645%69.872.0-2.2
17 Chieti Basket125742%76.878.0-1.2
18 Treviglio125742%80.983.9-3.0
19 NPC Rieti135838%74.277.3-3.2
20 Ravenna114736%75.275.9-0.7
21 Mantova124833%76.280.0-3.8
22 Trapani134931%76.582.9-6.5
23 Latina134931%67.574.3-6.8
24 Biella123925%74.180.6-6.5
25 San Severo123925%64.273.4-9.2
26 Bergamo111109%73.679.6-6.0
27 Stella Azzurra121118%69.280.6-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 27 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2318121568
NPC Rieti2816211681
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