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Podgorica vs Sutjeska Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-73
25-19 16-18 17-14 23-22
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game72.7
Podgorica 🏆
Montenegro
vs
Sutjeska
Montenegro
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game69.7
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 4· Sportsko turisticki centar Wai Tai
Other2023-24
Meetings · Podgorica v Sutjeska
22 Jan 2026
PODG77
SUT79
01 Nov 2024
PODG68
SUT67
12 May 2024
PODG81
SUT82
25 Dec 2023
PODG81
SUT73
10 Oct 2023
PODG91
SUT98
28 Apr 2023
PODG82
SUT83
30 Mar 2023
PODG90
SUT94
17 Oct 2022
PODG61
SUT64
26 Apr 2022
PODG77
SUT43
09 Apr 2022
PODG57
SUT75
26 Jan 2022
PODG76
SUT65
08 Feb 2021
PODG73
SUT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podgorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sutjeska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodgoricaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#10
L
91-98
91
98
-7
83avg 65
H10/10
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
67-66
67
66
+1
62avg 65
A12/10
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
91-74
91
74
+17
74avg 65
H13/11
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
W
78-67
78
67
+11
49avg 65
H15/11
ABA League 2
Sencur
#12
L
68-71
68
71
-3
59avg 65
A17/11
ABA League 2
Primorje
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
A04/12
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
H11/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
82-61
82
61
+21
no box
A16/12
Prva A Liga
MZT Skopje
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
62avg 65
H20/12
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 65
A22/12
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
18-31
30-24
17-23
17-23
20-11
23-18
7-14
29-23
32-11
20-25
10-15
23-22
19-12
21-16
15-17
19-22
22-23
7-19
20-7
22-15
29-21
21-27
22-16
23-21
17-22
19-18
26-17
15-14
28-16
22-19
17-12
21-18
8-21
22-18
23-21
21-23
16-17
20-21
20-10
155.0Avg total
80.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.072.7159.7+14.3100%
Season at home (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)88.070.0158.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.774.3155.0+6.470%
Last 5 (5)82.473.4155.8+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.272.0148.2+4.280%
vs Similar (9)79.278.7157.9+0.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.372.7159.9+14.693%
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SutjeskaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSutjeska
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#5
W
98-91
98
91
+7
94avg 69
A10/10
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 69
H12/10
ABA League 2
Sencur
#12
W
89-74
89
74
+15
80avg 69
A13/11
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#6
L
64-93
64
93
-29
52avg 69
H16/11
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
41avg 69
A19/11
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#9
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H02/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#11
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A09/12
Prva A Liga
Milenijum
#10
W
93-60
93
60
+33
no box
H15/12
Prva A Liga
TFT Skopje
#15
W
74-60
74
60
+14
76avg 69
H19/12
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 69
A21/12
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
31-18
24-30
23-17
25-19
18-32
16-15
22-23
18-24
24-13
26-14
21-23
14-28
17-21
19-18
14-26
14-28
11-24
22-18
15-9
25-16
25-12
21-25
26-17
17-25
31-18
21-20
22-16
21-12
24-20
20-15
28-13
17-17
20-7
17-14
20-22
20-27
13-24
20-15
19-18
160.0Avg total
82.1Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.769.7163.3+24.0100%
Season at home (2)95.065.0160.0+30.0100%
Season away (1)91.079.0170.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.177.9160.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)85.470.6156.0+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.887.4156.1-18.60%
vs Similar (7)84.981.9166.7+3.071%
vs Weaker (14)86.372.0158.3+14.386%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
PodgoricaSutjeska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H10/10
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/10
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H13/11
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/11
ABA League 2
Sencur
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/11
ABA League 2
Primorje
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A04/12
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A16/12
Prva A Liga
MZT Skopje
#6
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H20/12
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A22/12
ABA League 2
81.1Avg total
42.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.480.6+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.838.482.2+5.460%-
Last 30 away (15)40.738.479.1+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.681.1+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.677.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.438.878.2+0.640%-
vs Similar (9)39.941.281.1-1.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.536.280.7+8.367%-
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#5
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A10/10
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H12/10
ABA League 2
Sencur
#12
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A13/11
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#6
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H16/11
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A19/11
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#9
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H02/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A09/12
Prva A Liga
Milenijum
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H15/12
Prva A Liga
TFT Skopje
#15
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H19/12
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A21/12
ABA League 2
81.6Avg total
40.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.482.2-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.340.180.4+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)41.242.683.8-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.181.6-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.678.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.449.484.8-14.00%-
vs Similar (7)44.644.989.4-0.343%-
vs Weaker (14)42.434.777.1+7.779%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.1 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.6
53.9%
58.8%43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.4
27.6%
31.5%19.3
🏀 Free throws19.614.7
75.2%
69.7%14.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sutjeska: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.0
51.5%
58.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.0
30.8%
31.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.0
72.4%
69.7%15.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podgorica
WLWWWLWWWL
Sutjeska
LWWWWLLWLW
#3
League position
#1
+4.5
Net rating
-6.0
105.8
Offensive rating
99.9
101.3
Defensive rating
105.9
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.5%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
19.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.6%
3-point %
30.8%
44.4%
Assist %
59.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 99.9Defence101.3 · 105.9Shooting49.3% · 49.5%3-point %27.6% · 30.8%Ball care15.6% · 15.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Podgorica   ■ Sutjeska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Podgorica wins
8
Sutjeska wins
DateGameScore
10/10/23Podgorica v Sutjeska91-98
28/04/23Podgorica v Sutjeska82-83
26/04/23Sutjeska v Podgorica79-73
30/03/23Podgorica v Sutjeska90-94
14/12/22Sutjeska v Podgorica87-81
17/10/22Podgorica v Sutjeska61-64
29/04/22Sutjeska v Podgorica69-67
26/04/22Podgorica v Sutjeska77-43
09/04/22Podgorica v Sutjeska57-75
26/01/22Podgorica v Sutjeska76-65
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23AVojvodina Novi Sad77-71
20/12/23HMZT Skopje74-78
16/12/23AJedinstvo82-61
11/12/23HLovcen Cetinje85-78
04/12/23APrimorje94-79
17/11/23ASencur68-71
15/11/23HSpartak Subotica78-67
13/11/23HGKK Sibenka91-74
12/10/23ABorac Banja Luka67-66
10/10/23HSutjeska91-98
Sutjeskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23AZlatibor72-84
19/12/23HTFT Skopje74-60
15/12/23HMilenijum93-60
09/12/23ADecic91-79
02/12/23HIbar Rozaje97-70
19/11/23AVojvodina Novi Sad62-79
16/11/23HMZT Skopje64-93
13/11/23ASencur89-74
12/10/23HSpartak Subotica81-89
10/10/23APodgorica98-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podgorica
Prva A Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.085.088.0
Allowed / game72.778.070.0
Point differential+14.3+7.0+18.0
Avg total159.7163.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sutjeska
Prva A Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.795.091.0
Allowed / game69.765.079.0
Point differential+24.0+30.0+12.0
Avg total163.3160.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska330100%93.769.7+24.0
2 Tivat440100%93.879.0+14.8
3 Podgorica330100%87.072.7+14.3
4 Studentski Centar43175%87.872.5+15.2
5 Primorje43175%88.273.5+14.8
6 Lovcen Cetinje32167%84.777.3+7.3
7 Jedinstvo42250%80.585.2-4.8
8 Kotor31233%77.376.3+1.0
9 Decic41325%87.087.2-0.2
10 Danilovgrad41325%79.093.8-14.8
11 Milenijum41325%78.893.5-14.8
12 Pljevlja4040%74.896.8-22.0
13 Ibar Rozaje4040%66.589.8-23.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Podgorica2516172381
Sutjeska1918142273
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