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Pogradeci vs Skenderbeu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 66-111
10-20 14-29 18-32 24-30
Position#11
Record0-4
FormLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game105.2
Pogradeci
Albania
vs
Skenderbeu 🏆
Albania
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game86.0
AlbaniaSuperliga· Pallati I Sportit
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pogradeci winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Skenderbeu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PogradeciAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPogradeci
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#8
L
64-98
64
98
-34
34avg 57
A05/10
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
75-110
75
110
-35
68avg 57
H12/10
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 57
H19/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
76-124
76
124
-48
61avg 57
A26/10
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-28
14-17
20-25
19-28
17-40
21-25
17-28
20-17
13-26
17-21
23-17
19-25
16-31
26-31
13-36
21-26
177.0Avg total
71.8Scored
105.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.8105.2177.0-33.50%
Season at home (2)73.599.5173.0-26.00%
Season away (2)70.0111.0181.0-41.00%
Last 10 (4)71.8105.2177.0-33.50%
Last 5 (4)71.8105.2177.0-33.50%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.3107.7182.0-33.30%
vs Similar (1)64.098.0162.0-34.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Skenderbeu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SkenderbeuAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkenderbeu
Date
Competition
Tirana
#3
L
42-151
42
151
-109
no box
A09/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
72-115
72
115
-43
no box
H13/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
49-103
49
103
-54
no box
A15/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
L
79-98
79
98
-19
no box
A03/04
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
55-117
55
117
-62
no box
H06/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#5
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
H11/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
H05/10
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 84
A11/10
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
49avg 84
A18/10
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
122-93
122
93
+29
120avg 84
H26/10
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-42
5-43
18-32
13-34
19-24
17-28
17-31
19-32
10-29
13-17
14-29
12-28
27-32
16-20
19-20
17-26
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
17-12
24-16
22-29
24-19
15-25
19-24
17-18
16-27
33-20
29-19
30-29
30-25
172.2Avg total
70.5Scored
101.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.086.0172.0+0.050%
Season at home (2)95.087.0182.0+8.050%
Season away (2)77.085.0162.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)70.5101.7172.2-31.220%
Last 5 (5)81.686.6168.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)62.4105.9168.3-43.50%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)104.584.5189.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-21-11+0+11+21Q1Q1: -17.0-17.0Q1: -8.1-8.1Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -8.6-8.6
-21-11+0+11+21Q1Q1: -17.0-17.0Q1: -8.1-8.1Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -8.6-8.6
PogradeciSkenderbeu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PogradeciLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#8
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A05/10
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
38-65
38
65
-27
H12/10
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H19/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A26/10
Superliga
88.5Avg total
33.8Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)33.854.888.5-21.00%-
Last 30 at home (2)34.056.090.0-22.00%-
Last 30 away (2)33.553.587.0-20.00%-
Last 10 (4)33.854.888.5-21.00%-
Last 5 (4)33.854.888.5-21.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.758.094.7-21.30%-
vs Similar (1)25.045.070.0-20.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Skenderbeu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SkenderbeuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tirana
#3
L
11-85
11
85
-74
A09/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H13/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A15/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A03/04
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A11/10
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A18/10
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H26/10
Superliga
85.9Avg total
35.7Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)29.754.283.8-24.511%-
Last 30 at home (7)34.448.182.6-13.714%-
Last 30 away (12)26.957.784.6-30.78%-
Last 10 (7)35.750.185.9-14.429%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.883.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)27.156.683.7-29.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)51.533.585.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pogradecitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pogradeci: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.5
49.7%
56.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.26.5
23.0%
34.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.812.2
59.0%
67.8%12.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Skenderbeutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Skenderbeu: 65.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.6
47.8%
56.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.3
26.6%
34.4%18.9
🏀 Free throws13.79.3
67.9%
67.8%9.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pogradeci
LLLL
Skenderbeu
WLWLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#7
-40.6
Net rating
-37.1
84.5
Offensive rating
85.8
125.2
Defensive rating
122.9
43.3%
Effective FG%
44.8%
59.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
21.0%
Turnover %
20.6%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
23.0%
3-point %
26.6%
65.4%
Assist %
53.8%
0%
Form (last 4/10)
20%

Profile

Offence84.5 · 85.8Defence125.2 · 122.9Shooting43.3% · 44.8%3-point %23.0% · 26.6%Ball care21.0% · 20.6%Off. rebounds24.0% · 20.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 4/10)0% · 20%
■ Pogradeci   ■ Skenderbeu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pogradeci wins
0
Skenderbeu wins
No previous meetings.
Pogradecilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25ABeselidhja76-124
19/10/25HFieri72-89
12/10/25HKamza Basket75-110
05/10/25AElbasani64-98
Skenderbeulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HElbasani122-93
18/10/25ATirana67-94
11/10/25APartizani Tirana87-76
05/10/25HApolonia Fier68-81
11/04/24HApolonia Fier64-89
06/04/24HBeselidhja55-117
03/04/24APBC Flamurtari79-98
15/03/24AKamza Basket49-103
13/03/24HTeuta Durres72-115
09/03/24ATirana42-151

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pogradeci
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.873.570.0
Allowed / game105.299.5111.0
Point differential-33.5-26.0-41.0
Avg total177.0173.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Skenderbeu
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.095.077.0
Allowed / game86.087.085.0
Point differential+0.0+8.0-8.0
Avg total172.0182.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja440100%123.574.2+49.2
2 Apolonia Fier440100%88.567.0+21.5
3 Kamza Basket43175%93.871.0+22.8
4 Teuta Durres43175%76.568.0+8.5
5 Tirana43175%84.084.5-0.5
6 Vllaznia42250%84.277.2+7.0
7 Fieri42250%81.880.5+1.2
8 Skenderbeu42250%86.086.0+0.0
9 Elbasani41325%86.8105.2-18.5
10 Partizani Tirana4040%73.889.2-15.5
11 Pogradeci4040%71.8105.2-33.5
12 PBC Flamurtari4040%54.897.0-42.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pogradeci1014182466
Skenderbeu20293230111
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