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Elbasani vs Pogradeci Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 98-64
28-11 17-14 25-20 28-19
Position#8
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#11
Record-
Form-
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AlbaniaSuperliga· Hoxha G.
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elbasani winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pogradeci winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormElbasani
Date
Competition
Skenderbeu
#11
W
96-74
96
74
+22
no box
A10/02
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
100-130
100
130
-30
no box
H01/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
58-103
58
103
-45
no box
A09/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
86-108
86
108
-22
no box
H13/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
L
71-89
71
89
-18
no box
A24/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
74-148
74
148
-74
no box
H03/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#5
L
93-144
93
144
-51
no box
A07/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
98-113
98
113
-15
no box
H12/04
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
58-140
58
140
-82
28avg 35
A12/04
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
55-103
55
103
-48
42avg 35
H16/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
31-14
25-17
18-27
25-31
23-23
27-43
25-33
6-38
22-28
15-16
15-21
21-24
20-33
26-25
19-26
17-17
30-22
14-35
10-15
13-35
17-33
25-45
19-35
20-38
26-40
25-27
22-39
22-35
20-23
24-31
32-24
11-29
9-30
22-36
16-45
11-41
16-20
14-20
14-22
194.1Avg total
78.9Scored
115.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.9115.2194.1-36.310%
Last 5 (5)75.6129.6205.2-54.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.7107.2181.9-32.56%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (4)100.566.0166.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PogradeciAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
No recent games.
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10no games
Last 5no games
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Elbasani) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-17-8+0+8+17Q1Q1: -13.6-13.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: -9.7-9.7
-17-8+0+8+17Q1Q1: -13.6-13.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: -9.7-9.7
ElbasaniPogradeci
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skenderbeu
#11
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A10/02
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H01/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
28-66
28
66
-38
A09/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H13/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
30-68
30
68
-38
H03/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#5
L
46-78
46
78
-32
A07/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H12/04
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
20-59
20
59
-39
A12/04
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
27-61
27
61
-34
H16/04
Superliga
95.2Avg total
38.2Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)40.248.488.5-8.236%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.046.389.3-3.336%-
Last 30 away (11)37.450.587.8-13.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.257.095.2-18.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.064.897.8-31.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.252.990.1-15.722%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (4)53.828.081.8+25.8100%-
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PogradeciLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
No period scores for these games.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.424.0
52.9%
56.4%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.05.9
23.6%
34.4%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.212.2
63.5%
67.8%12.2
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pogradecitheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Elbasani wins
0
Pogradeci wins
No previous meetings.
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25HTirana55-103
12/04/25ATirana58-140
12/04/24HVllaznia98-113
07/04/24AApolonia Fier93-144
03/04/24HBeselidhja74-148
24/03/24APBC Flamurtari71-89
13/03/24HKamza Basket86-108
09/03/24ATeuta Durres58-103
01/03/24HTirana100-130
10/02/24ASkenderbeu96-74
Pogradecilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Elbasani
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pogradeci
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Losses (last 0)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Apolonia Fier110100%81.068.0+13.0
2 Tirana110100%94.084.0+10.0
3 Fieri1010%84.094.0-10.0
4 Skenderbeu1010%68.081.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Elbasani2817252898
Pogradeci1114201964
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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