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Pogradeci vs Vllaznia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 72-98
10-28 13-25 18-24 31-21
Position#11
Record2-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game104.1
vs
Position#3
Record13-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game73.2
AlbaniaSuperliga· Pallati I Sportit
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pogradeci winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vllaznia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PogradeciAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPogradeci
Date
Competition
Teuta Durres
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
82avg 65
H15/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
93-74
93
74
+19
92avg 65
A06/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
67-100
67
100
-33
48avg 65
A14/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 65
A18/12
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
73-124
73
124
-51
57avg 65
A11/01
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
113-111 OT
113
111
+2
no box
H17/01
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
77-116
77
116
-39
62avg 65
A24/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
90avg 65
A31/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
79-145
79
145
-66
64avg 65
H06/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
86-105
86
105
-19
86avg 65
A15/02
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
17-28
24-22
24-20
24-7
25-23
20-17
24-27
18-18
21-22
10-27
18-33
15-16
21-20
18-29
18-21
18-40
21-22
13-27
21-35
28-18
17-22
36-33
24-32
22-27
21-26
19-32
15-31
20-24
13-20
25-33
34-25
13-43
21-37
20-37
25-28
15-28
27-25
21-29
23-23
188.9Avg total
83.6Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.1104.1182.1-26.012%
Season at home (6)81.5109.3190.8-27.817%
Season away (10)76.0100.9176.9-24.910%
Last 10 (10)83.6105.3188.9-21.720%
Last 5 (5)89.4115.8205.2-26.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.6108.0183.6-32.40%
vs Similar (2)88.5104.5193.0-16.050%
vs Weaker (2)82.580.0162.5+2.550%
This opponent (Vllaznia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VllazniaAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVllaznia
Date
Competition
Beselidhja
#1
L
47-94
47
94
-47
28avg 82
H06/12
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
94-77
94
77
+17
94avg 82
A14/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
H21/12
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
91avg 82
H10/01
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
A18/01
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 82
H24/01
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
102-51
102
51
+51
111avg 82
A01/02
Superliga
Tirana
#2
W
85-82
85
82
+3
78avg 82
H08/02
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
118-68
118
68
+50
127avg 82
H14/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
83-88
83
88
-5
no box
H18/02
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-18
11-24
12-22
18-30
27-17
21-24
21-23
25-13
–
–
–
–
25-12
18-19
27-21
18-21
22-23
18-12
19-11
19-15
22-19
20-18
17-18
20-20
24-10
35-11
28-18
15-12
17-26
22-17
23-19
23-20
34-14
29-3
26-28
29-23
19-29
22-22
20-20
22-17
158.4Avg total
84.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.773.2159.9+13.576%
Season at home (11)86.274.5160.7+11.682%
Season away (6)87.770.8158.5+16.867%
Last 10 (10)84.873.6158.4+11.280%
Last 5 (5)93.472.8166.2+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.684.8156.3-13.222%
vs Similar (6)81.377.7159.0+3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.471.3162.7+20.180%
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -8.0-8.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -8.0-8.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
PogradeciVllaznia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PogradeciLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Teuta Durres
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H15/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A06/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A11/01
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/01
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
34-80
34
80
-46
H06/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A15/02
Superliga
88.2Avg total
39.6Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)36.549.886.2-13.212%-
Last 30 at home (6)34.554.889.3-20.317%-
Last 30 away (10)37.746.784.4-9.010%-
Last 10 (10)39.648.688.2-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.454.093.4-14.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.853.889.5-18.00%-
vs Similar (2)35.042.577.5-7.550%-
vs Weaker (2)42.533.075.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Vllaznia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VllazniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beselidhja
#1
L
17-42
17
42
-25
H06/12
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A14/12
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H10/01
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A18/01
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H24/01
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
59-21
59
21
+38
A01/02
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H08/02
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
63-17
63
17
+46
H14/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H18/02
Superliga
78.9Avg total
43.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.737.080.7+6.766%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.836.279.9+7.656%-
Last 30 away (13)43.638.081.6+5.677%-
Last 10 (9)43.635.378.9+8.267%-
Last 5 (5)48.833.882.6+15.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.241.378.6-4.144%-
vs Similar (5)46.038.084.0+8.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.834.180.9+12.780%-
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pogradecitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pogradeci: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.2 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.722.1
58.6%
56.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.3
31.5%
34.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws10.06.2
62.0%
67.8%6.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vllazniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vllaznia: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.128.2
58.6%
56.4%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.1
32.7%
34.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.510.8
61.7%
67.8%10.8
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pogradeci
LLLLWLLLWL
Vllaznia
LWWWWWWWWL
#11
League position
#3
-32.6
Net rating
+18.8
94.9
Offensive rating
107.2
127.5
Defensive rating
88.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
55.7%
63.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
16.0%
Turnover %
12.1%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.15
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.5%
3-point %
32.7%
56.1%
Assist %
67.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 107.2Defence127.5 · 88.4Shooting53.6% · 55.7%3-point %31.5% · 32.7%Ball care16.0% · 12.1%Off. rebounds25.4% · 26.5%Free throws0.15 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Pogradeci   ■ Vllaznia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pogradeci wins
1
Vllaznia wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Vllaznia v Pogradeci80-60
Pogradecilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26ASkenderbeu86-105
06/02/26HBeselidhja79-145
31/01/26AFieri92-102
24/01/26AKamza Basket77-116
17/01/26HElbasani113-111 OT
11/01/26ATirana73-124
18/12/25APartizani Tirana72-86
14/12/25AApolonia Fier67-100
06/12/25APBC Flamurtari93-74
15/11/25HTeuta Durres84-90
Vllaznialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HTeuta Durres83-88
14/02/26HElbasani118-68
08/02/26HTirana85-82
01/02/26APartizani Tirana102-51
24/01/26HApolonia Fier79-75
18/01/26APBC Flamurtari78-61
10/01/26HTeuta Durres88-73
21/12/25HKamza Basket74-67
14/12/25ASkenderbeu94-77
06/12/25HBeselidhja47-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pogradeci
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %12%17%10%
Points / game78.181.576.0
Allowed / game104.1109.3100.9
Point differential-26.0-27.8-24.9
Avg total182.1190.8176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %6%17%0%
Vllaznia
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %76%82%67%
Points / game86.786.287.7
Allowed / game73.274.570.8
Point differential+13.5+11.6+16.8
Avg total159.9160.7158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%55%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja17170100%118.267.3+50.9
2 Tirana1613381%98.978.3+20.6
3 Vllaznia1713476%86.773.2+13.5
4 Apolonia Fier1711665%88.574.0+14.5
5 Kamza Basket1711665%91.178.1+13.1
6 Teuta Durres1711665%85.281.4+3.9
7 Skenderbeu169756%86.780.6+6.1
8 Elbasani1851328%83.9105.6-21.7
9 Fieri1741324%75.993.2-17.3
10 Partizani Tirana1831517%65.391.3-26.0
11 Pogradeci1621412%78.1104.1-26.0
12 PBC Flamurtari1621412%65.195.7-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pogradeci1013183172
Vllaznia2825242198
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