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Pogradeci vs Elbasani Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 113-111 (OT)
28-18 17-22 36-33 24-32 8-6
Position#11
Record1-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game98.7
Pogradeci 🏆
Albania
vs
Elbasani
Albania
Position#8
Record3-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game102.0
AlbaniaSuperliga
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pogradeci winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Elbasani winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PogradeciAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPogradeci
Date
Competition
Kamza Basket
#5
L
75-110
75
110
-35
68avg 62
H12/10
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 62
H19/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
76-124
76
124
-48
61avg 62
A26/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
66-111
66
111
-45
54avg 62
H01/11
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
60-80
60
80
-20
50avg 62
A08/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
82avg 62
H15/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
93-74
93
74
+19
92avg 62
A06/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
67-100
67
100
-33
48avg 62
A14/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 62
A18/12
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
73-124
73
124
-51
57avg 62
A11/01
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-40
21-25
17-28
20-17
13-26
17-21
23-17
19-25
16-31
26-31
13-36
21-26
10-20
14-29
18-32
24-30
11-20
18-22
15-19
16-19
19-20
17-28
24-22
24-20
24-7
25-23
20-17
24-27
18-18
21-22
10-27
18-33
15-16
21-20
18-29
18-21
18-40
21-22
13-27
21-35
172.6Avg total
73.8Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.998.7171.6-25.89%
Season at home (4)74.2100.0174.2-25.80%
Season away (7)72.198.0170.1-25.914%
Last 10 (10)73.898.8172.6-25.010%
Last 5 (5)77.894.8172.6-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.6103.5175.1-31.90%
vs Similar ◀ (1)64.098.0162.0-34.00%
vs Weaker (2)82.580.0162.5+2.550%
This opponent (Elbasani) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormElbasani
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 68
A12/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
74-144
74
144
-70
63avg 68
H17/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
93-122
93
122
-29
81avg 68
A26/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
60avg 68
H01/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
85-97
85
97
-12
75avg 68
H10/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
107-78
107
78
+29
108avg 68
A15/11
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
80-111
80
111
-31
71avg 68
H05/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
70avg 68
A12/12
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
76-124
76
124
-48
63avg 68
H18/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
75-125
75
125
-50
52avg 68
A10/01
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
26-29
22-16
12-24
14-28
14-38
17-45
29-33
20-33
19-29
29-30
25-30
21-24
20-31
11-24
22-22
21-24
22-22
18-25
24-26
22-26
29-13
33-22
23-17
26-23
15-31
17-24
22-33
18-20
19-16
19-15
27-14
15-33
18-35
22-28
21-28
26-24
17-32
15-37
17-32
188.7Avg total
82.9Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.3102.0186.3-17.727%
Season at home (6)81.2106.8188.0-25.717%
Season away (5)88.096.2184.2-8.240%
Last 10 (10)82.9105.8188.7-22.920%
Last 5 (5)84.2100.6184.8-16.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)76.1110.6186.7-34.60%
vs Similar ◀ (1)98.064.0162.0+34.0100%
vs Weaker (4)92.873.8166.5+19.0100%
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: -8.3-8.3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: -8.3-8.3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
PogradeciElbasani
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PogradeciLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kamza Basket
#5
L
38-65
38
65
-27
H12/10
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H19/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A26/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H01/11
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A08/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H15/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A06/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A11/01
Superliga
84.3Avg total
36.2Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)35.247.883.0-12.69%-
Last 30 at home (4)32.052.284.2-20.20%-
Last 30 away (7)37.045.382.3-8.314%-
Last 10 (10)36.248.184.3-11.910%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.283.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.651.986.5-17.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)25.045.070.0-20.00%-
vs Weaker (2)42.533.075.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Elbasani) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
28-66
28
66
-38
H17/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A26/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H01/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A15/11
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H05/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A12/12
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
33-68
33
68
-35
H18/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A10/01
Superliga
93.7Avg total
40.4Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.151.490.5-12.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.852.090.8-13.220%-
Last 30 away (15)39.350.890.1-11.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.453.393.7-12.920%-
Last 5 (5)41.050.691.6-9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)37.854.992.8-17.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)45.025.070.0+20.0100%-
vs Weaker (4)45.236.081.2+9.2100%-
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pogradecitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pogradeci: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.5
56.1%
56.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.1
25.7%
34.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws14.78.9
60.5%
67.8%8.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.5
52.0%
56.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
34.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.611.5
65.3%
67.8%11.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pogradeci
LLLWLLLLLL
Elbasani
LLWLWLLLLL
#11
League position
#8
-33.7
Net rating
-27.1
91.1
Offensive rating
98.2
124.9
Defensive rating
125.3
48.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
60.3%
Opp. effective FG%
60.6%
20.2%
Turnover %
19.9%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
25.7%
3-point %
36.8%
53.8%
Assist %
41.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 98.2Defence124.9 · 125.3Shooting48.8% · 53.1%3-point %25.7% · 36.8%Ball care20.2% · 19.9%Off. rebounds24.7% · 25.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Pogradeci   ■ Elbasani
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pogradeci wins
1
Elbasani wins
DateGameScore
05/10/25Elbasani v Pogradeci98-64
Pogradecilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ATirana73-124
18/12/25APartizani Tirana72-86
14/12/25AApolonia Fier67-100
06/12/25APBC Flamurtari93-74
15/11/25HTeuta Durres84-90
08/11/25AVllaznia60-80
01/11/25HSkenderbeu66-111
26/10/25ABeselidhja76-124
19/10/25HFieri72-89
12/10/25HKamza Basket75-110
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AKamza Basket75-125
18/12/25HTirana76-124
12/12/25APartizani Tirana83-65
05/12/25HApolonia Fier80-111
15/11/25APBC Flamurtari107-78
10/11/25HTeuta Durres85-97
01/11/25HVllaznia74-101
26/10/25ASkenderbeu93-122
17/10/25HBeselidhja74-144
12/10/25AFieri82-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pogradeci
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL9%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %9%0%14%
Points / game72.974.272.1
Allowed / game98.7100.098.0
Point differential-25.8-25.8-25.9
Avg total171.6174.2170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Elbasani
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL27%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%17%40%
Points / game84.381.288.0
Allowed / game102.0106.896.2
Point differential-17.7-25.7-8.2
Avg total186.3188.0184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja12120100%114.864.8+50.0
2 Tirana1211192%100.077.7+22.3
3 Apolonia Fier119282%95.274.5+20.6
4 Vllaznia118373%84.574.5+9.9
5 Teuta Durres117464%80.180.9-0.8
6 Kamza Basket116555%89.878.9+10.9
7 Skenderbeu115645%87.685.6+2.0
8 Elbasani113827%84.3102.0-17.7
9 Fieri123925%74.291.0-16.8
10 Partizani Tirana1221017%69.893.0-23.2
11 Pogradeci111109%72.998.7-25.8
12 PBC Flamurtari111109%64.799.0-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pogradeci281736248113
Elbasani182233326111
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