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Poitiers vs Quimper Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 87-79
Projected total 166.2
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game82.3
Poitiers
France
Vs
78%
22%
■ POI 78%■ QUIM 22%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Quimper
France
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game78.6
FrancePro BRound 10· Salle Saint-Éloi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Poitiers v Quimper
17 Nov 2026
POI v QUIM
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
POI93
QUIM70
04 May 2021
POI49
QUIM67
27 Dec 2019
POI64
QUIM91
26 Jan 2019
POI85
QUIM90
02 Feb 2018
POI76
QUIM84
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Poitiers host Quimper in the Pro B on 17 November 2026, with the model favouring Poitiers at 78% versus 22% for Quimper, a reflection of Poitiers' 6-3 record, 88.1 points per game and 82.3 allowed, placing them third in the league, compared with Quimper's 5-3 record, 80.6 points per game and 78.6 allowed, sixth in the standings. Poitiers have won 3 of 5 home games, scoring 88.2 and conceding 82.4, while Quimper have gone 2-2 on the road, averaging 77.0 points and allowing 84.2. In the last five outings each side has won four, with Poitiers' recent results including a narrow 90-91 loss to Antibes at home, a 101-83 win over Levallois away and a 89-85 victory over La Rochelle at home; Quimper's recent outings feature a 98-96 win over Ada Blois at home, a 71-100 loss to Orleans away and a 72-50 win over Fos-sur-Mer at home. Historically, Quimper leads 6-3 in nine meetings, most recently winning 82-72 on 13 March 2026. The Pythia model projects a 87-79 score for Poitiers, 166.2 total points, a 4% chance of overtime, and a 78% probability that Poitiers will cover the spread. Poitiers' strong home performance and higher scoring margin give them the edge in this encounter.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poitiers win
77.7%fair 1.29
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Quimper win
22.3%fair 4.49
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
60avg 78
A18/06
Pro B
Evreux
#5
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 78
H25/09
Pro B
Ada Blois
#8
L
92-105
92
105
-13
90avg 78
A03/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
W
90-73
90
73
+17
86avg 78
H09/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#7
W
92-77
92
77
+15
89avg 78
H16/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
80-67
80
67
+13
80avg 78
A21/10
Pro B
Caen
#17
W
79-74
79
74
+5
71avg 78
A23/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#18
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 78
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#14
W
101-83
101
83
+18
no box
A03/11
Pro B
Antibes
#2
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
17-19
24-18
10-24
24-23
20-28
20-18
16-17
22-29
19-23
30-17
21-36
18-22
26-16
32-12
14-23
12-18
27-18
25-24
28-17
18-22
23-11
20-18
19-16
14-17
26-21
22-14
17-22
25-23
26-23
13-22
25-17
23-19
15-20
33-22
30-22
18-23
22-24
17-24
33-20
169.3Avg total
86.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.182.3170.4+5.867%
Season at home (5)88.282.4170.6+5.860%
Season away (4)88.082.2170.2+5.875%
Last 10 (10)86.682.7169.3+3.960%
Last 5 (5)87.880.0167.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.784.1167.8-0.453%
vs Weaker (12)88.181.2169.2+6.983%
This opponent (Quimper) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuimperFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuimper
Date
Competition
Evreux
#19
W
102-83
102
83
+19
102avg 70
H08/05
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
62-75
62
75
-13
50avg 70
A15/05
Pro B
Levallois
#14
L
77-79
77
79
-2
70avg 70
H25/09
Pro B
Nantes
#9
L
62-76
62
76
-14
38avg 70
A02/10
Pro B
ASA
#16
W
90-67
90
67
+23
88avg 70
H10/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#15
W
94-89
94
89
+5
93avg 70
A16/10
Pro B
Caen
#17
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 70
A20/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
72-50
72
50
+22
63avg 70
H24/10
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
71-100
71
100
-29
62avg 70
A31/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#8
W
98-96
98
96
+2
no box
H07/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
34-17
22-20
16-23
18-22
25-13
15-18
4-22
14-26
20-22
24-16
19-15
15-19
15-12
15-21
17-24
22-21
22-16
15-18
31-12
33-23
21-30
20-13
20-23
15-19
20-23
20-15
26-15
16-14
15-10
21-8
20-18
26-21
15-21
14-29
16-29
26-30
12-25
27-21
33-20
159.6Avg total
80.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.678.6159.2+2.062%
Season at home (4)84.273.0157.2+11.275%
Season away (4)77.084.2161.2-7.250%
Last 10 (10)80.978.7159.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)83.281.4164.6+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.787.1161.8-12.415%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.885.3170.2-0.567%
vs Weaker (4)80.067.0147.0+13.075%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161.5
Over 161.5
60.7%
Under 161.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
48.6%
Under 166.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
36.8%
Under 171.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Poitiers total 80.5
Over 80.5
75.5%
Under 80.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Poitiers total 84.5
Over 84.5
61.5%
Under 84.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Poitiers total 88.5
Over 88.5
45.8%
Under 88.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Quimper total 78
Over 78
52.5%
Under 78
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Quimper total 82
Over 82
36.6%
Under 82
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Quimper total 86
Over 86
23.2%
Under 86
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Poitiers -3
POI -3
71.0%
QUIM +3
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
POI
No market prices yet.
QUIM
No market prices yet.
Spread Poitiers 0
POI 0
77.7%
QUIM 0
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
POI
No market prices yet.
QUIM
No market prices yet.
Spread Poitiers +3
POI +3
84.1%
QUIM -3
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
POI
No market prices yet.
QUIM
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
PoitiersQuimper
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A18/06
Pro B
Evreux
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H25/09
Pro B
Ada Blois
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H09/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/10
Pro B
Caen
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A23/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#18
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A03/11
Pro B
Antibes
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H06/11
Pro B
84.1Avg total
41.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.384.7+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.943.086.9+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.741.482.1-0.736%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.484.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.682.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.042.092.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.642.685.2+0.035%-
vs Weaker (12)41.641.883.4-0.250%-
This opponent (Quimper) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuimperLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#19
W
64-40
64
40
+24
H08/05
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A15/05
Pro B
Levallois
#14
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H25/09
Pro B
Nantes
#9
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A02/10
Pro B
ASA
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H10/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#15
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A16/10
Pro B
Caen
#17
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A20/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H24/10
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A31/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#8
L
38-55
38
55
-17
H07/11
Pro B
82.1Avg total
41.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.943.383.2-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.341.582.7-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)38.545.183.7-6.620%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.782.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.283.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.244.984.1-5.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.841.886.7+3.050%-
vs Weaker (4)36.037.873.8-1.850%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
33.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.517.4
74.0%
74.0%17.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Quimpertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quimper: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.1
53.1%
53.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.3
31.6%
33.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.717.4
73.4%
74.0%17.4
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poitiers
LWWWWWWLLL
Quimper
WLWWWWLLLW
#3
League position
#6
+4.1
Net rating
+0.0
96.8
Offensive rating
89.4
92.7
Defensive rating
89.4
53.1%
Effective FG%
50.6%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.4%
3-point %
31.6%
64.0%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 89.4Defence92.7 · 89.4Shooting53.1% · 50.6%3-point %35.4% · 31.6%Ball care15.9% · 18.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Poitiers   ■ Quimper
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Poitiers wins
6
Quimper wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Quimper v Poitiers72-82
03/10/25Poitiers v Quimper93-70
11/06/21Quimper v Poitiers101-86
04/05/21Poitiers v Quimper49-67
27/12/19Poitiers v Quimper64-91
18/05/19Quimper v Poitiers71-76
26/01/19Poitiers v Quimper85-90
12/05/18Quimper v Poitiers77-75
02/02/18Poitiers v Quimper76-84
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HAntibes90-91
03/11/26ALevallois101-83
30/10/26HLa Rochelle89-85
23/10/26ACaen79-74
21/10/26AFos-sur-Mer80-67
16/10/26HChalons-Reims92-77
09/10/26HNantes90-73
03/10/26AAda Blois92-105
25/09/26HEvreux80-86
18/06/26APau-Orthez73-86
Quimperlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HAda Blois98-96
31/10/26AOrleans71-100
24/10/26HFos-sur-Mer72-50
20/10/26ACaen81-72
16/10/26ALe Havre94-89
10/10/26HASA90-67
02/10/26ANantes62-76
25/09/26HLevallois77-79
15/05/26ADenain-Voltaire62-75
08/05/26HEvreux102-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poitiers
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game88.188.288.0
Allowed / game82.382.482.2
Point differential+5.8+5.8+5.8
Avg total170.4170.6170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Quimper
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game80.684.277.0
Allowed / game78.673.084.2
Point differential+2.0+11.2-7.2
Avg total159.2157.2161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire86275%86.877.8+9.0
2 Antibes86275%87.682.8+4.9
3 Poitiers96367%88.182.3+5.8
4 Orleans85362%88.482.9+5.5
5 Evreux85362%86.282.9+3.4
6 Quimper85362%80.678.6+2.0
7 Chalons-Reims85362%79.181.6-2.5
8 Ada Blois84450%93.187.9+5.2
9 Nantes84450%80.981.8-0.9
10 St. Chamond84450%83.985.5-1.6
11 Hyeres-Toulon84450%84.987.6-2.8
12 Vichy84450%84.186.9-2.8
13 Aix Maurienne84450%83.287.5-4.2
14 Levallois94544%81.885.2-3.4
15 Le Havre83538%90.988.1+2.8
16 ASA83538%83.085.9-2.9
17 Caen83538%85.588.5-3.0
18 La Rochelle82625%85.887.5-1.8
19 Rouen82625%83.488.2-4.9
20 Fos-sur-Mer82625%71.980.0-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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