Poland U18 vs Italy U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Jul 2023

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 83-93

25-16 17-21 19-24 22-32

Position#15

Record0-4

FormWLLLL

Points / game58.8

Allowed / game82.2

Poland U18

Italy U18 🏆

Position#6

Record1-3

FormLLWLL

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game82.2

EuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - Quarter-finals

Other2023

Meetings · Poland U18 v Italy U18

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland U18 winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Italy U18 winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Poland U18Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Germany U18

#12

63-56

A31/07

EuroBasket U18

Spain U18

49-70

-21

A01/08

EuroBasket U18

Israel U18

#10

58-65

-7

A03/08

EuroBasket U18

Montenegro U18

#16

74-68

H04/08

EuroBasket U18

Greece U18

#11

70-63

H06/08

EuroBasket U18

Czech Republic U18

#13

76-39

+37

A07/08

EuroBasket U18

Turkey U18

63-78

-15

H22/07

EuroBasket U18

Germany U18

62-84

-22

A23/07

EuroBasket U18

Croatia U18

#11

56-73

-17

A24/07

EuroBasket U18

France U18

54-94

-40

A26/07

EuroBasket U18

16-15

14-19

15-7

18-15

5-9

14-22

9-20

21-19

14-16

14-18

15-21

15-10

15-13

11-15

24-13

24-27

17-16

18-10

19-19

16-18

20-9

9-15

23-11

24-4

9-17

20-20

22-21

12-20

13-29

18-17

22-23

9-15

15-14

12-17

13-23

16-19

13-26

23-23

6-19

12-26

131.5Avg total

62.5Scored

69.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	58.8	82.2	141.0	-23.5	0%
Season at home (1)	63.0	78.0	141.0	-15.0	0%
Season away (3)	57.3	83.7	141.0	-26.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	62.5	69.0	131.5	-6.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	62.2	73.6	135.8	-11.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	66.5	79.2	145.8	-12.7	15%
vs Similar (5)	72.2	73.4	145.6	-1.2	40%
vs Weaker (12)	75.1	57.7	132.8	+17.4	92%

This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lithuania U18

61-79

-18

H31/07

EuroBasket U18

Montenegro U18

#16

76-41

+35

H01/08

EuroBasket U18

Greece U18

#11

64-55

H03/08

EuroBasket U18

Spain U18

59-72

-13

A04/08

EuroBasket U18

Israel U18

#10

75-67

A06/08

EuroBasket U18

France U18

56-66

-10

A07/08

EuroBasket U18

Greece U18

83-88

-5

A22/07

EuroBasket U18

Denmark U18

#13

93-77

+16

H23/07

EuroBasket U18

Spain U18

72-78

-6

A24/07

EuroBasket U18

Slovenia U18

#10

73-86

-13

A26/07

EuroBasket U18

19-15

19-23

9-18

14-23

18-8

24-11

14-6

20-16

16-16

17-9

18-8

13-22

21-20

14-21

11-14

13-17

14-11

21-20

18-19

22-17

12-17

14-13

9-16

21-20

26-15

12-23

16-20

29-30

26-12

22-18

24-19

21-28

24-18

12-18

12-21

24-21

21-20

18-24

23-14

11-28

142.1Avg total

71.2Scored

70.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	80.2	82.2	162.5	-2.0	25%
Season at home (1)	93.0	77.0	170.0	+16.0	100%
Season away (3)	76.0	84.0	160.0	-8.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	71.2	70.9	142.1	+0.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	79.0	154.4	-3.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	64.3	76.1	140.4	-11.8	10%
vs Similar (8)	74.2	70.4	144.6	+3.9	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	74.1	63.5	137.6	+10.6	83%

This opponent (Poland U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Poland U18Italy U18

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.2	35.2	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	17.2	34.1	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.7	16.4	30.1	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.5	31%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.8	14.0	32.8	+4.8	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	15.9	34.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.0	15.6	32.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	16.1	35.2	+2.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	15.2	34.9	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.4	38.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.0	18.1	35.1	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.7	12.8	31.5	+5.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	16.9	34.2	+0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	15.6	32.9	+1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	17.9	35.3	-0.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	17.6	32.9	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.4	34.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-2.0	23%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.6	15.6	32.2	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	17.8	15.0	32.8	+2.8	42%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	17.5	34.9	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	16.5	34.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	18.4	35.5	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.2	34.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	14.5	19.6	34.1	-5.1	10%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	17.8	15.5	33.2	+2.2	58%	-

Poland U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Germany U18

#12

30-34

-4

A31/07

EuroBasket U18

Spain U18

19-31

-12

A01/08

EuroBasket U18

Israel U18

#10

28-34

-6

A03/08

EuroBasket U18

Montenegro U18

#16

26-28

-2

H04/08

EuroBasket U18

Greece U18

#11

35-26

H06/08

EuroBasket U18

Czech Republic U18

#13

29-24

A07/08

EuroBasket U18

Turkey U18

29-37

-8

H22/07

EuroBasket U18

Germany U18

31-46

-15

A23/07

EuroBasket U18

Croatia U18

#11

27-31

-4

A24/07

EuroBasket U18

France U18

36-49

-13

A26/07

EuroBasket U18

63.0Avg total

29.0Scored

34.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	34.1	69.3	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.3	32.9	69.2	+3.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.3	35.1	69.4	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.0	34.0	63.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.4	37.4	67.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	33.9	38.5	72.4	-4.5	23%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.4	35.0	70.4	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	36.6	29.0	65.6	+7.6	58%	-

This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lithuania U18

38-38

H31/07

EuroBasket U18

Montenegro U18

#16

42-19

+23

H01/08

EuroBasket U18

Greece U18

#11

33-25

H03/08

EuroBasket U18

Spain U18

35-41

-6

A04/08

EuroBasket U18

Israel U18

#10

35-31

A06/08

EuroBasket U18

France U18

26-30

-4

A07/08

EuroBasket U18

Greece U18

38-38

A22/07

EuroBasket U18

Denmark U18

#13

48-30

+18

H23/07

EuroBasket U18

Spain U18

36-36

A24/07

EuroBasket U18

Slovenia U18

#10

39-44

-5

A26/07

EuroBasket U18

70.2Avg total

37.0Scored

33.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.4	33.4	68.9	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.6	32.1	66.8	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	34.6	70.7	+1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	33.2	70.2	+3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	35.6	73.0	+1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	32.8	37.4	70.2	-4.6	10%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.2	36.1	73.4	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	36.4	28.3	64.8	+8.1	75%	-

This opponent (Poland U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	17.6	35.1	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	17.7	34.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.9	21.5	37.5	-5.6	31%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.9	13.2	34.1	+7.8	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	16.6	32.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.4	15.4	30.9	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.1	17.7	33.8	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	15.5	30.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	12.7	18.8	31.5	-6.1	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	15.6	34.5	+3.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	16.3	15.5	31.8	+0.8	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	17.5	34.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.7	16.6	32.3	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	17.3	34.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	16.8	31.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.7	19.2	35.9	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	17.6	15.5	33.1	+2.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.8	37.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	18.3	35.9	-0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	25.4	46.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.1	18.6	36.8	-0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	35.5	71.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.5	37.0	75.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.2	34.2	67.4	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	35.0	68.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	36.2	68.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	32.6	40.8	73.4	-8.2	23%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.8	38.4	75.2	-1.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (12)	38.5	28.7	67.2	+9.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	35.4	70.1	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.7	34.7	70.4	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.8	36.0	69.8	-2.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	37.7	71.9	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	43.4	81.4	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	31.5	38.7	70.2	-7.2	10%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.0	34.2	71.2	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	35.8	33.4	69.2	+2.3	42%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Poland U18 wins

Italy U18 wins

Date	Game	Score
26/07/14	Italy U18 v Poland U18	78-68
29/07/11	Poland U18 v Italy U18	52-70

Poland U18last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/07/23	A	France U18	54-94
24/07/23	A	Croatia U18	56-73
23/07/23	A	Germany U18	62-84
22/07/23	H	Turkey U18	63-78
07/08/22	A	Czech Republic U18	76-39
06/08/22	H	Greece U18	70-63
04/08/22	H	Montenegro U18	74-68
03/08/22	A	Israel U18	58-65
01/08/22	A	Spain U18	49-70
31/07/22	A	Germany U18	63-56

Italy U18last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/07/23	A	Slovenia U18	73-86
24/07/23	A	Spain U18	72-78
23/07/23	H	Denmark U18	93-77
22/07/23	A	Greece U18	83-88
07/08/22	A	France U18	56-66
06/08/22	A	Israel U18	75-67
04/08/22	A	Spain U18	59-72
03/08/22	H	Greece U18	64-55
01/08/22	H	Montenegro U18	76-41
31/07/22	H	Lithuania U18	61-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland U18

EuroBasket U18 2023

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	58.8	63.0	57.3
Allowed / game	82.2	78.0	83.7
Point differential	-23.5	-15.0	-26.3
Avg total	141.0	141.0	141.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Italy U18

EuroBasket U18 2023

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLL	25%
Home	W	100%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	25%	100%	0%
Points / game	80.2	93.0	76.0
Allowed / game	82.2	77.0	84.0
Point differential	-2.0	+16.0	-8.0
Avg total	162.5	170.0	160.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Serbia U18	4	4	0	100%	97.8	63.5	+34.2
2	France U18	4	4	0	100%	88.8	60.2	+28.5
3	Germany U18	5	5	0	100%	82.0	65.8	+16.2
4	Spain U18	5	5	0	100%	80.2	65.2	+15.0
5	Slovenia U18	4	3	1	75%	79.2	67.8	+11.5
6	Israel U18	4	3	1	75%	85.2	79.8	+5.5
7	Greece U18	5	3	2	60%	82.4	77.8	+4.6
8	Turkey U18	5	3	2	60%	73.8	70.6	+3.2
9	Lithuania U18	5	2	3	40%	86.6	81.6	+5.0
10	Italy U18	4	1	3	25%	80.2	82.2	-2.0
11	Croatia U18	4	1	3	25%	65.2	75.5	-10.2
12	Finland U18	5	1	4	20%	67.4	79.6	-12.2
13	Sweden U18	5	1	4	20%	69.8	84.4	-14.6
14	Poland U18	4	0	4	0%	58.8	82.2	-23.5
15	Czech Republic U18	5	0	5	0%	60.6	89.6	-29.0
16	Denmark U18	4	0	4	0%	69.5	98.8	-29.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Poland U18	25	17	19	22	83
Italy U18	16	21	24	32	93

← all games of the day

Poland U18 vs Italy U18 Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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