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Poland vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Sep 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-74
21-21 10-15 23-22 25-16
Position#19
Record3-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game73.0
Poland 🏆
vs
Position#52
Record3-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game71.9
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2019
Meetings · Poland v Croatia
27 Nov 2026
POLA v CROA
upcoming
25 Aug 2022
POLA69
CROA72
17 Sep 2018
POLA79
CROA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Hungary
#33
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H24/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A26/11
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H23/02
World Cup
Hungary
#33
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A26/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H28/06
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
103-70
103
70
+33
A01/07
World Cup
Israel
#41
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A07/09
Friendly International
Russia
#20
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A08/09
Friendly International
Italy
#14
L
82-101
82
101
-19
A14/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
22-16
17-23
30-24
14-16
8-13
17-11
31-20
17-13
8-25
14-18
16-19
20-12
28-14
26-19
16-17
14-12
18-20
12-24
13-8
17-14
8-22
22-17
14-26
30-23
27-11
23-25
23-11
27-16
19-23
20-19
18-18
22-24
17-20
11-18
18-26
25-25
27-29
13-19
17-28
150.4Avg total
75.1Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.073.0147.0+1.043%
Season at home (3)73.767.0140.7+6.767%
Season away (4)74.277.5151.8-3.225%
Last 10 (10)75.175.3150.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)79.682.8162.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.683.5154.1-12.910%
vs Similar (2)81.577.0158.5+4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)80.268.2148.3+12.083%
This opponent (Croatia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Romania
#58
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H23/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H26/02
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#52
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H22/06
Friendly International
Italy
#14
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A28/06
World Cup
Romania
#58
W
90-63
90
63
+27
A01/07
World Cup
Finland
#15
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A14/08
Friendly International
Tunisia
#35
W
73-46
73
46
+27
H15/08
Friendly International
Slovenia
#36
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H05/09
Friendly International
Slovenia
#36
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A08/09
Friendly International
Lithuania
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H14/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
12-5
10-16
18-21
25-13
19-21
15-26
23-18
16-11
18-20
30-27
24-17
21-24
20-15
24-13
13-20
19-18
25-13
25-16
21-16
26-15
13-27
15-12
23-16
25-12
16-11
22-12
10-11
16-18
21-27
24-26
25-16
23-22
18-14
20-15
22-24
21-21
15-22
19-20
28-21
150.4Avg total
79.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.471.9145.3+1.643%
Season at home (4)71.275.0146.2-3.825%
Season away (3)76.367.7144.0+8.767%
Last 10 (10)79.670.8150.4+8.870%
Last 5 (5)80.472.4152.8+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.675.8148.4-3.238%
vs Similar (5)78.678.0156.6+0.660%
vs Weaker (11)80.571.7152.2+8.764%
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
PolandCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Hungary
#33
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H24/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A26/11
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H23/02
World Cup
Hungary
#33
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A26/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/06
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A01/07
World Cup
Israel
#41
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A07/09
Friendly International
Russia
#20
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/09
Friendly International
Italy
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A14/09
World Cup
74.3Avg total
38.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)36.637.974.5-1.428%-
Last 30 at home (7)33.734.067.7-0.343%-
Last 30 away (11)38.440.578.8-2.118%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.374.3+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.485.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.442.377.7-6.910%-
vs Similar (2)38.036.074.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.031.369.3+6.750%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Romania
#58
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H23/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H26/02
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#52
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H22/06
Friendly International
Italy
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A28/06
World Cup
Romania
#58
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A01/07
World Cup
Finland
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/08
Friendly International
Tunisia
#35
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H15/08
Friendly International
Slovenia
#36
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H05/09
Friendly International
Slovenia
#36
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A08/09
Friendly International
Lithuania
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/09
World Cup
73.0Avg total
38.5Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.235.472.6+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.734.170.8+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)37.736.774.4+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)38.534.573.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.876.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.836.472.2-0.554%-
vs Similar (5)37.637.274.8+0.440%-
vs Weaker (11)38.933.872.7+5.173%-
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Poland wins
0
Croatia wins
No previous meetings.
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/18AItaly82-101
08/09/18ARussia68-88
07/09/18AIsrael84-76
01/07/18AKosovo103-70
28/06/18HLithuania61-79
26/02/18AHungary57-64
23/02/18HKosovo90-62
26/11/17ALithuania55-75
24/11/17HHungary70-60
20/08/17HRussia81-78
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/18HLithuania83-84
08/09/18ASlovenia83-75
05/09/18HSlovenia86-87
15/08/18HTunisia73-46
14/08/18AFinland77-70
01/07/18ARomania90-63
28/06/18AItaly78-72
22/06/18HBosnia & Herzegovina88-75
26/02/18HNetherlands82-78
23/02/18HRomania56-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
World Cup 2019
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game74.073.774.2
Allowed / game73.067.077.5
Point differential+1.0+6.7-3.2
Avg total147.0140.7151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia
World Cup 2019
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game73.471.276.3
Allowed / game71.975.067.7
Point differential+1.6-3.8+8.7
Avg total145.3146.2144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nigeria990100%99.165.6+33.6
2 Tunisia990100%79.752.9+26.8
3 Lithuania880100%86.466.0+20.4
4 Germany880100%88.269.4+18.9
5 Puerto Rico550100%89.076.8+12.2
6 Greece880100%83.672.5+11.1
7 Australia87188%89.259.5+29.8
8 New Zealand87188%93.670.6+23.0
9 France87188%78.864.8+14.0
10 Venezuela87188%75.464.9+10.5
11 Spain87188%80.973.6+7.2
12 Czech Republic87188%78.672.9+5.8
13 Canada76186%97.374.3+23.0
14 Argentina76186%85.366.4+18.9
15 Senegal97278%73.671.0+2.6
16 Lebanon86275%85.468.6+16.8
17 Brazil86275%72.058.5+13.5
18 Iran86275%73.961.8+12.1
19 Italy86275%80.568.8+11.8
20 South Korea86275%89.980.4+9.5
21 Turkey86275%75.266.9+8.4
22 Angola96367%65.962.4+3.4
23 Uruguay64267%72.073.7-1.7
24 Jordan85362%91.178.2+12.9
25 Serbia85362%83.573.0+10.5
26 Dominican Republic85362%86.077.2+8.8
27 Latvia85362%80.576.5+4.0
28 Philippines85362%79.480.5-1.1
29 Bulgaria127558%79.074.6+4.4
30 Cameroon95456%72.966.7+6.2
31 Egypt95456%64.966.3-1.4
32 China84450%84.973.1+11.8
33 Netherlands126650%78.270.8+7.4
34 Japan84450%78.073.8+4.2
35 Russia84450%76.672.6+4.0
36 Montenegro84450%76.675.8+0.9
37 Hungary84450%68.968.6+0.2
38 Ukraine84450%75.075.6-0.6
39 Finland84450%75.676.6-1.0
40 Armenia63350%78.380.3-2.0
41 Ivory Coast94544%64.262.8+1.4
42 Central African Republic94544%67.271.8-4.6
43 Croatia73443%73.471.9+1.6
44 Poland73443%74.073.0+1.0
45 Panama73443%72.775.3-2.6
46 Bosnia & Herzegovina146843%75.979.7-3.8
47 Sweden125742%72.875.6-2.8
48 Estonia125742%68.575.2-6.7
49 Mexico52340%76.076.0+0.0
50 Georgia83538%78.882.6-3.9
51 Israel83538%77.081.9-4.9
52 Kazakhstan83538%66.476.9-10.5
53 D.R. Congo62433%67.867.7+0.2
54 Morocco93633%63.265.8-2.6
55 Mozambique62433%58.062.8-4.8
56 Iraq62433%68.773.7-5.0
57 Iceland62433%77.282.7-5.5
58 Mali93633%69.378.1-8.8
59 Chad93633%63.173.4-10.3
60 Rwanda93633%70.883.6-12.8
61 Romania62433%61.377.8-16.5
62 Austria103730%72.078.2-6.2
63 North Macedonia41325%74.075.0-1.0
64 Slovenia82625%79.482.9-3.5
65 Portugal41325%72.582.2-9.8
66 United States Virgin Islands82625%72.886.9-14.1
67 Qatar82625%66.581.5-15.0
68 Syria82625%66.889.1-22.4
69 Belarus102820%73.983.0-9.1
70 Kosovo102820%65.586.3-20.8
71 Great Britain61517%73.376.2-2.8
72 Belgium61517%65.373.8-8.5
73 Slovakia61517%72.381.3-9.0
74 Uganda61517%77.790.0-12.3
75 Colombia61517%65.580.2-14.7
76 Bahamas61517%73.593.5-20.0
77 Chinese Taipei61517%71.092.0-21.0
78 Chile71614%60.775.3-14.6
79 Cuba4040%67.581.5-14.0
80 Paraguay6060%58.576.7-18.2
81 India6060%68.894.7-25.8
82 Guinea6060%56.089.3-33.3
83 Albania4040%57.094.5-37.5
84 Hong Kong6060%67.3110.2-42.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland2110232579
Croatia2115221674
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