Polzela vs Celje Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Nov 2017

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 97-84

25-22 24-16 21-22 27-24

Position#2

Record2-0

FormWWWLL

Points / game89.0

Allowed / game64.0

Polzela 🏆

Celje

Position#15

Record2-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game92.5

Allowed / game81.5

Slovenian Cup

Other2017-18

Meetings · Polzela v Celje

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Celje winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Polzela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zlatorog Lasko

67-71

-4

A29/04

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

73-80

-7

H14/10

Liga Nova KBM

Petrol Olimpija

75-80

-5

A23/10

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

73-61

+12

H28/10

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

75-79

-4

A04/11

Liga Nova KBM

Ljubljana

#26

92-65

+27

A07/11

Slovenian Cup

Perspektiva Ilirija

#10

95-76

+19

H11/11

Liga Nova KBM

Ljubljana

#26

86-63

+23

H14/11

Slovenian Cup

KK Krka Novo mesto

74-88

-14

A18/11

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

64-71

-7

A23/11

Liga Nova KBM

14-24

13-16

18-14

22-17

23-23

12-19

19-17

19-21

24-21

24-13

17-26

10-20

12-19

18-19

22-10

21-13

19-19

16-15

22-28

18-17

29-13

24-20

19-18

20-14

27-22

12-14

33-16

23-24

24-23

23-8

21-15

18-17

16-19

17-28

17-14

24-27

21-12

25-25

11-19

7-15

150.8Avg total

77.4Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	89.0	64.0	153.0	+25.0	100%
Season at home (1)	86.0	63.0	149.0	+23.0	100%
Season away (1)	92.0	65.0	157.0	+27.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	73.4	150.8	+4.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	72.6	154.8	+9.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	69.5	76.2	145.7	-6.7	33%
vs Similar (16)	73.8	72.9	146.7	+0.8	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	79.6	70.2	149.9	+9.4	75%

This opponent (Celje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Celje

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Krsko

#18

70-75

-5

A18/11

Slovenian Cup

Krsko

#18

87-68

+19

H24/11

Slovenian Cup

Terme Olimia Podčetrtek

#21

67-65

H01/12

Slovenian Cup

Terme Olimia Podčetrtek

#21

78-89

-11

A08/12

Slovenian Cup

Rosa Vrhnika

#21

102-65

102

+37

A05/12

Slovenian Cup

Rosa Vrhnika

#21

94-64

+30

H13/12

Slovenian Cup

KK Slovenske Konjice

80-67

+13

H10/01

Slovenian Cup

KK Slovenske Konjice

63-81

-18

A17/01

Slovenian Cup

Calcit

#21

89-79

+10

A07/11

Slovenian Cup

Calcit

#21

96-84

+12

H16/11

Slovenian Cup

19-22

10-10

25-19

16-24

26-23

26-20

21-14

14-11

27-17

16-21

8-17

16-10

16-17

31-22

16-23

15-27

33-15

24-19

21-15

24-16

30-16

22-11

23-23

19-14

24-11

19-19

15-14

22-23

10-21

21-24

12-14

20-22

14-27

24-18

22-14

29-20

23-32

22-18

23-22

28-12

156.3Avg total

82.6Scored

73.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	92.5	81.5	174.0	+11.0	100%
Season at home (1)	96.0	84.0	180.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (1)	89.0	79.0	168.0	+10.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	73.7	156.3	+8.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	75.0	159.4	+9.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (2)	72.5	77.0	149.5	-4.5	50%
vs Weaker (8)	85.1	72.9	158.0	+12.2	75%

This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PolzelaCelje

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.1	41.6	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.3	37.3	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.8	41.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.9	18.2	40.1	+3.6	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	26.0	19.8	45.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (2)	21.5	17.0	38.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.4	20.9	43.2	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.0	36.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.8	17.4	36.1	+1.4	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (5)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (2)	23.5	21.5	45.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	62%	-

PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zlatorog Lasko

27-40

-13

A29/04

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

35-42

-7

H14/10

Liga Nova KBM

Petrol Olimpija

48-34

+14

A23/10

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

30-38

-8

H28/10

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

35-34

A04/11

Liga Nova KBM

Ljubljana

#26

53-33

+20

A07/11

Slovenian Cup

Perspektiva Ilirija

#10

39-36

H11/11

Liga Nova KBM

Ljubljana

#26

47-31

+16

H14/11

Slovenian Cup

KK Krka Novo mesto

33-47

-14

A18/11

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

46-37

A23/11

Liga Nova KBM

76.5Avg total

39.3Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.6	76.3	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	38.9	78.1	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	36.3	74.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	37.2	76.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	36.8	80.4	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.2	39.7	77.8	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.9	37.9	75.8	+0.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	40.6	35.6	76.2	+5.0	62%	-

This opponent (Celje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CeljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Krsko

#18

29-32

-3

A18/11

Slovenian Cup

Krsko

#18

52-43

H24/11

Slovenian Cup

Terme Olimia Podčetrtek

#21

43-38

H01/12

Slovenian Cup

Terme Olimia Podčetrtek

#21

47-39

A08/12

Slovenian Cup

Rosa Vrhnika

#21

57-34

+23

A05/12

Slovenian Cup

Rosa Vrhnika

#21

52-27

+25

H13/12

Slovenian Cup

KK Slovenske Konjice

43-30

+13

H10/01

Slovenian Cup

KK Slovenske Konjice

31-45

-14

A17/01

Slovenian Cup

Calcit

#21

38-45

-7

A07/11

Slovenian Cup

Calcit

#21

45-50

-5

H16/11

Slovenian Cup

82.0Avg total

43.7Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	43.7	38.3	82.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	47.0	37.6	84.6	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (5)	40.4	39.0	79.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	38.3	82.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.4	81.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (2)	45.0	38.5	83.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.4	38.2	81.6	+5.1	50%	-

This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	14.7	35.1	+5.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	19.7	35.7	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.7	20.2	36.8	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.2	16.6	34.8	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.2	16.2	35.5	+3.0	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	18.6	17.5	36.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (5)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.5	36.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (2)	12.0	20.0	32.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.4	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	17.8	34.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	17.9	35.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.5	36.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	14.7	16.3	31.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.7	18.4	36.1	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	19.8	14.0	33.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (5)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.2	41.8	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (2)	15.5	18.5	34.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.5	17.8	39.2	+3.8	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	35.1	70.4	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	32.5	69.7	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.5	37.6	71.1	-4.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	36.2	74.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	35.8	74.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	31.3	36.5	67.8	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar (16)	35.9	35.1	70.9	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	37.2	34.0	71.2	+3.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	38.9	35.4	74.3	+3.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	37.8	32.0	69.8	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (5)	40.0	38.8	78.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	35.4	74.3	+3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	35.6	78.2	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (2)	27.5	38.5	66.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.8	34.6	76.4	+7.1	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Polzela wins

Celje wins

No previous meetings.

Polzelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/17	A	KK Primorska	64-71
18/11/17	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	74-88
14/11/17	H	Ljubljana	86-63
11/11/17	H	Perspektiva Ilirija	95-76
07/11/17	A	Ljubljana	92-65
04/11/17	A	Helios Domzale	75-79
28/10/17	H	Rogaska	73-61
23/10/17	A	Petrol Olimpija	75-80
14/10/17	H	Sencur	73-80
29/04/17	A	Zlatorog Lasko	67-71

Celjelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/17	H	Calcit	96-84
07/11/17	A	Calcit	89-79
17/01/17	A	KK Slovenske Konjice	63-81
10/01/17	H	KK Slovenske Konjice	80-67
13/12/16	H	Rosa Vrhnika	94-64
05/12/16	A	Rosa Vrhnika	102-65
08/12/15	A	Terme Olimia Podčetrtek	78-89
01/12/15	H	Terme Olimia Podčetrtek	67-65
24/11/15	H	Krsko	87-68
18/11/15	A	Krsko	70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela

Slovenian Cup 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	89.0	86.0	92.0
Allowed / game	64.0	63.0	65.0
Point differential	+25.0	+23.0	+27.0
Avg total	153.0	149.0	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Celje

Slovenian Cup 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	92.5	96.0	89.0
Allowed / game	81.5	84.0	79.0
Point differential	+11.0	+12.0	+10.0
Avg total	174.0	180.0	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Helios Domzale	2	2	0	100%	114.0	46.0	+68.0
2	Sencur	2	2	0	100%	107.5	55.5	+52.0
3	Perspektiva Ilirija	2	2	0	100%	97.5	52.5	+45.0
4	Tajfun Sentjur	2	2	0	100%	103.0	59.0	+44.0
5	KK Triglav Kranj	2	2	0	100%	106.0	64.0	+42.0
6	Parklji	2	2	0	100%	103.5	66.0	+37.5
7	Zlatorog Lasko	3	3	0	100%	100.0	67.0	+33.0
8	LTH Castings	2	2	0	100%	82.5	50.5	+32.0
9	Terme Olimia Podčetrtek	2	2	0	100%	88.5	56.5	+32.0
10	Medvode	2	2	0	100%	93.0	64.5	+28.5
11	Polzela	2	2	0	100%	89.0	64.0	+25.0
12	Plama P.	2	2	0	100%	80.5	61.0	+19.5
13	Tolmin	2	2	0	100%	87.5	75.5	+12.0
14	Celje	2	2	0	100%	92.5	81.5	+11.0
15	Branik Maribor	3	2	1	67%	82.3	79.7	+2.7
16	KK Nazarje	2	1	1	50%	79.5	70.5	+9.0
17	Litija	2	1	1	50%	70.5	79.5	-9.0
18	Calcit	2	0	2	0%	81.5	92.5	-11.0
19	Krsko	2	0	2	0%	74.0	85.5	-11.5
20	Kranjska Gora	2	0	2	0%	75.5	87.5	-12.0
21	Jesenice	2	0	2	0%	61.0	80.5	-19.5
22	Ljubljana	2	0	2	0%	64.0	89.0	-25.0
23	Hidria	2	0	2	0%	64.5	93.0	-28.5
24	Crnomelj	2	0	2	0%	56.5	88.5	-32.0
25	Misel	2	0	2	0%	50.5	82.5	-32.0
26	Vrani Vransko	2	0	2	0%	66.0	103.5	-37.5
27	KK Slovenske Konjice	2	0	2	0%	62.5	104.5	-42.0
28	Pivka	2	0	2	0%	64.0	106.0	-42.0
29	Zagorje	2	0	2	0%	59.0	103.0	-44.0
30	Portoroz	2	0	2	0%	52.5	97.5	-45.0
31	Gorica	2	0	2	0%	55.5	107.5	-52.0
32	Globus	2	0	2	0%	46.0	114.0	-68.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Polzela	25	24	21	27	97
Celje	22	16	22	24	84

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Polzela vs Celje Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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