Polzela vs Helios Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 82-95

25-27 16-24 23-24 18-20

Position#5

Record15-13

FormLWWLW

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game76.9

Polzela

Helios Domzale 🏆

Position#9

Record10-18

FormLLLLL

Points / game72.6

Allowed / game76.3

Liga Nova KBMLiga Nova KBM - Quarter-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · Polzela v Helios Domzale

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Helios Domzale winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Polzela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Primorska

63-81

-18

H02/03

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

81-76

H09/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

61-81

-20

A13/03

Liga Nova KBM

Petrol Olimpija

65-59

H23/03

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

75-84

-9

A30/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

60-78

-18

A08/04

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

85-69

+16

A10/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

82-81

H17/04

Liga Nova KBM

Petrol Olimpija

72-93

-21

A20/04

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

83-61

+22

H23/04

Liga Nova KBM

20-27

10-16

20-22

13-16

28-17

21-16

17-18

15-25

18-26

25-13

10-26

8-16

21-9

10-22

13-15

21-13

22-32

15-12

16-14

22-26

20-23

17-23

6-10

17-22

25-17

16-13

27-17

17-22

19-17

29-21

18-20

16-23

21-27

22-26

10-21

19-19

27-15

20-19

25-17

11-10

149.0Avg total

72.7Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	78.3	76.9	155.2	+1.4	54%
Season at home (14)	78.9	73.9	152.9	+5.0	64%
Season away (14)	77.6	79.9	157.5	-2.2	43%
Last 10 (10)	72.7	76.3	149.0	-3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	76.4	152.8	+0.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	68.7	84.0	152.7	-15.3	0%
vs Similar (12)	80.5	79.2	159.8	+1.2	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	85.9	73.4	159.3	+12.5	80%

This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Helios Domzale Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Primorska

53-83

-30

A09/03

Liga Nova KBM

Split

78-82

-4

H12/03

ABA League 2

Petrol Olimpija

66-74

-8

A14/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

76-84

-8

H20/03

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

84-75

H30/03

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

80-82

-2

H06/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

58-86

-28

A10/04

Liga Nova KBM

Petrol Olimpija

63-69

-6

H17/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

67-68

-1

H20/04

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

61-83

-22

A23/04

Liga Nova KBM

17-18

19-20

9-21

8-24

15-19

24-22

16-22

23-19

10-22

21-17

16-23

19-12

19-29

15-14

20-23

22-18

32-22

12-15

14-16

26-22

18-26

16-20

18-14

28-22

14-17

22-18

14-18

8-33

22-21

4-12

9-15

28-21

22-10

19-21

11-23

15-14

15-27

19-20

17-25

10-11

147.2Avg total

68.6Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	72.6	76.3	148.9	-3.7	36%
Season at home (14)	73.2	72.2	145.4	+1.0	36%
Season away (14)	72.0	80.4	152.4	-8.4	36%
Last 10 (10)	68.6	78.6	147.2	-10.0	10%
Last 5 (5)	65.8	77.6	143.4	-11.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	71.5	79.4	150.9	-7.9	24%
vs Similar (7)	78.6	81.1	159.7	-2.6	29%
vs Weaker (2)	95.5	75.0	170.5	+20.5	100%

This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PolzelaHelios Domzale

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.0	43.1	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	17.4	40.5	+5.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	23.1	46.0	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	24.3	43.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.5	19.2	41.7	+3.3	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	24.3	19.9	44.1	+4.4	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.2	39.8	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.3	38.7	+0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	21.1	42.6	+0.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	20.5	46.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.3	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.9	17.1	38.1	+3.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	17.9	35.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.2	34.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-2.0	43%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.4	19.9	37.3	-2.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	15.5	39.5	+8.5	100%	-

PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Primorska

30-43

-13

H02/03

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

49-33

+16

H09/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

43-39

A13/03

Liga Nova KBM

Petrol Olimpija

31-31

H23/03

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

37-44

-7

A30/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

37-46

-9

A08/04

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

41-30

+11

A10/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

48-38

+10

H17/04

Liga Nova KBM

Petrol Olimpija

43-53

-10

A20/04

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

47-34

+13

H23/04

Liga Nova KBM

79.7Avg total

40.6Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	38.6	82.5	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	36.7	80.4	+7.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.0	40.9	84.9	+3.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	39.1	79.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	40.2	83.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	44.7	80.7	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	44.2	39.2	83.3	+5.0	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	45.2	37.0	82.2	+8.2	73%	-

This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Primorska

36-38

-2

A09/03

Liga Nova KBM

Split

39-41

-2

H12/03

ABA League 2

Petrol Olimpija

31-39

-8

A14/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

34-43

-9

H20/03

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

44-37

H30/03

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

34-46

-12

H06/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

36-35

A10/04

Liga Nova KBM

Petrol Olimpija

26-33

-7

H17/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

41-31

+10

H20/04

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

34-47

-13

A23/04

Liga Nova KBM

74.5Avg total

35.5Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	40.3	78.5	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	40.1	77.8	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	40.5	79.1	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	39.0	74.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	38.4	72.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	36.9	40.4	77.3	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.9	41.0	79.9	-2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	49.5	36.0	85.5	+13.5	100%	-

This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	18.6	37.1	-0.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	19.9	39.6	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	19.3	33.7	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.8	21.7	39.4	-3.9	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.1	17.2	38.3	+3.9	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.2	19.3	35.5	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.1	39.9	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.4	20.0	34.4	-5.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	19.0	32.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	16.7	19.1	35.8	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.5	24.0	51.5	+3.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.0	38.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	18.8	37.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	19.2	35.1	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.2	35.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.5	18.1	33.7	-2.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	48%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	15.0	33.5	+3.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	38.2	76.3	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	37.8	75.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	38.6	76.8	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.1	37.2	69.3	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	36.2	69.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.7	39.3	72.0	-6.7	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.3	40.1	76.4	-3.8	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	40.7	36.4	77.1	+4.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.9	75.2	-2.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.4	39.5	76.9	-2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	38.3	73.5	-3.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.1	39.6	72.7	-6.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	39.2	70.8	-7.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	34.6	39.0	73.5	-4.4	48%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.9	38.6	77.4	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	39.0	85.0	+7.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Polzela wins

Helios Domzale wins

Date	Game	Score
23/04/19	Polzela v Helios Domzale	83-61
30/03/19	Helios Domzale v Polzela	84-75
05/01/19	Helios Domzale v Polzela	76-77
27/10/18	Polzela v Helios Domzale	68-52
20/01/18	Polzela v Helios Domzale	79-84
04/11/17	Helios Domzale v Polzela	79-75
26/04/17	Polzela v Helios Domzale	83-70
05/04/17	Helios Domzale v Polzela	59-72
10/03/17	Polzela v Helios Domzale	87-70
10/12/16	Helios Domzale v Polzela	84-66

Polzelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/04/19	H	Helios Domzale	83-61
20/04/19	A	Petrol Olimpija	72-93
17/04/19	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	82-81
10/04/19	A	Rogaska	85-69
08/04/19	A	KK Primorska	60-78
30/03/19	A	Helios Domzale	75-84
23/03/19	H	Petrol Olimpija	65-59
13/03/19	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	61-81
09/03/19	H	Rogaska	81-76
02/03/19	H	KK Primorska	63-81

Helios Domzalelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/04/19	A	Polzela	61-83
20/04/19	H	KK Primorska	67-68
17/04/19	H	Petrol Olimpija	63-69
10/04/19	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	58-86
06/04/19	H	Rogaska	80-82
30/03/19	H	Polzela	84-75
20/03/19	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	76-84
14/03/19	A	Petrol Olimpija	66-74
12/03/19	H	Split	78-82
09/03/19	A	KK Primorska	53-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela

Liga Nova KBM 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	54%
Home	LWWWW	64%
Away	LLLWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	54%	64%	43%
Points / game	78.3	78.9	77.6
Allowed / game	76.9	73.9	79.9
Point differential	+1.4	+5.0	-2.2
Avg total	155.2	152.9	157.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	43%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	50% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

Helios Domzale

Liga Nova KBM 2018-19

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	36%
Home	LWLLL	36%
Away	LLLLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	36%	36%	36%
Points / game	72.6	73.2	72.0
Allowed / game	76.3	72.2	80.4
Point differential	-3.7	+1.0	-8.4
Avg total	148.9	145.4	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	21%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (6)	0% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Primorska	29	24	5	83%	84.2	70.8	+13.3
2	Petrol Olimpija	29	18	11	62%	76.8	75.2	+1.6
3	KK Krka Novo mesto	28	16	12	57%	79.7	75.9	+3.8
4	Polzela	28	15	13	54%	78.3	76.9	+1.4
5	Zlatorog Lasko	28	15	13	54%	78.2	78.6	-0.3
6	Sencur	28	14	14	50%	79.8	78.6	+1.1
7	Rogaska	28	14	14	50%	78.4	82.2	-3.8
8	Tajfun Sentjur	27	11	16	41%	75.9	79.4	-3.5
9	Helios Domzale	28	10	18	36%	72.6	76.3	-3.7
10	Perspektiva Ilirija	27	3	24	11%	76.5	87.5	-11.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Polzela	25	16	23	18	82
Helios Domzale	27	24	24	20	95

← all games of the day

Polzela vs Helios Domzale Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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