Polzela vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 76-78

19-20 19-21 21-16 17-21

Position#5

Record6-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game73.9

Polzela

Petrol Olimpija 🏆

Position#2

Record6-4

FormWLLLL

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game82.1

Liga Nova KBMRound 11

Other2018-19

Meetings · Polzela v Petrol Olimpija

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Petrol Olimpija winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Polzela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tajfun Sentjur

74-60

+14

H17/11

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

#13

83-70

+13

A21/11

Slovenian Cup

KK Primorska

65-92

-27

A25/11

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

#13

93-68

+25

H28/11

Slovenian Cup

Traiskirchen Lions

#16

84-42

+42

H02/12

Alpe Adria Cup

Sezana

99-79

+20

A04/12

Slovenian Cup

Sencur

99-76

+23

H08/12

Liga Nova KBM

Sezana

80-78

H11/12

Slovenian Cup

Rogaska

85-69

+16

A15/12

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

101-57

101

+44

A22/12

Liga Nova KBM

13-14

19-17

18-16

24-13

–

18-22

13-27

16-23

18-20

22-19

31-10

14-19

26-20

25-10

19-8

15-5

25-19

27-27

22-16

34-23

16-13

28-16

28-25

18-21

25-14

27-19

23-18

15-17

15-24

23-19

24-19

24-16

14-15

29-20

20-16

28-12

24-9

155.4Avg total

86.3Scored

69.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	80.2	73.9	154.1	+6.3	60%
Season at home (5)	79.6	67.8	147.4	+11.8	80%
Season away (5)	80.8	80.0	160.8	+0.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	86.3	69.1	155.4	+17.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	71.8	164.6	+21.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	65.0	92.0	157.0	-27.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	82.3	79.0	161.3	+3.3	50%
vs Weaker (19)	87.7	69.0	156.7	+18.7	95%

This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Petrol Olimpija Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zlatorog Lasko

84-77

A26/11

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

#10

104-74

104

+30

A04/12

Liga Nova KBM

Cedevita

82-95

-13

A07/12

ABA League

Strasbourg

#13

73-81

-8

A11/12

Champions League

Helios Domzale

68-76

-8

H14/12

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

#12

70-69

H16/12

ABA League

Promitheas

#17

76-80

-4

H18/12

Champions League

KK Krka Novo mesto

76-92

-16

H20/12

Liga Nova KBM

Mornar Bar

#10

75-80

-5

A23/12

ABA League

Partizan

66-72

-6

H29/12

ABA League

21-26

22-14

17-21

24-16

26-17

28-16

30-20

20-21

27-27

21-22

21-21

13-25

16-23

21-20

18-13

18-25

17-21

26-14

8-21

17-20

23-21

11-14

18-16

18-18

22-15

16-11

20-34

18-20

18-22

18-24

23-21

17-25

16-18

22-20

22-25

15-17

15-15

17-18

19-20

15-19

157.0Avg total

77.4Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	83.9	82.1	166.0	+1.8	60%
Season at home (5)	84.4	81.0	165.4	+3.4	60%
Season away (5)	83.4	83.2	166.6	+0.2	60%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	79.6	157.0	-2.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	78.6	151.2	-6.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	73.9	82.1	155.9	-8.2	14%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	82.1	87.5	169.6	-5.5	36%
vs Weaker (5)	87.8	77.8	165.6	+10.0	80%

This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PolzelaPetrol Olimpija

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.3	18.1	41.4	+5.2	69%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	15.2	37.2	+6.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (13)	25.0	21.6	46.6	+3.4	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.6	18.4	42.0	+5.1	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	20.2	47.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	24.3	16.7	41.0	+7.6	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	22.8	43.1	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.4	22.3	41.6	-2.9	18%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.8	19.0	41.8	+3.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	16.6	39.1	+5.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.1	17.3	39.4	+4.8	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.8	42.2	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	27.0	40.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.2	16.7	38.9	+5.4	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	22.1	44.9	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.3	37.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.4	34.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.3	22.3	40.6	-4.0	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.4	19.9	42.3	+2.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.0	18.2	41.2	+4.8	60%	-

PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tajfun Sentjur

32-31

H17/11

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

31-49

-18

A25/11

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

#13

53-29

+24

H28/11

Slovenian Cup

Traiskirchen Lions

#16

44-18

+26

H02/12

Alpe Adria Cup

Sezana

49-43

A04/12

Slovenian Cup

Sencur

56-41

+15

H08/12

Liga Nova KBM

Sezana

50-37

+13

H11/12

Slovenian Cup

Rogaska

47-38

A15/12

Liga Nova KBM

Zlatorog Lasko

49-36

+13

A22/12

Liga Nova KBM

81.4Avg total

45.7Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.1	36.2	80.3	+7.9	79%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.4	31.9	76.2	+12.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.7	41.5	85.2	+2.2	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	45.7	35.8	81.4	+9.9	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	39.0	89.2	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	49.0	80.0	-18.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.1	39.9	81.0	+1.2	70%	-
vs Weaker (18)	46.4	33.4	79.9	+13.0	89%	-

This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zlatorog Lasko

43-40

A26/11

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

#10

54-33

+21

A04/12

Liga Nova KBM

Cedevita

48-49

-1

A07/12

ABA League

Strasbourg

#13

37-43

-6

A11/12

Champions League

Helios Domzale

43-35

H14/12

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

#12

34-35

-1

H16/12

ABA League

Promitheas

#17

38-26

+12

H18/12

Champions League

KK Krka Novo mesto

36-46

-10

H20/12

Liga Nova KBM

Mornar Bar

#10

38-38

A23/12

ABA League

Partizan

32-33

-1

H29/12

ABA League

78.1Avg total

40.3Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.5	81.8	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	38.6	76.5	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.0	44.9	87.9	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	37.8	78.1	+2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	35.6	71.2	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.2	42.6	79.8	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.7	42.2	83.9	-0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.8	37.2	83.0	+8.6	80%	-

This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	15.6	35.1	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.8	41.6	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.8	17.9	39.7	+3.9	72%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	27%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	16.3	35.5	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.8	16.3	37.1	+4.4	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.0	33.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (18)	18.7	17.0	35.7	+1.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	20.1	37.9	-2.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.6	38.1	-3.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.8	36.4	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.6	19.0	35.6	-2.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.8	35.7	75.5	+4.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.8	34.3	73.1	+4.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.0	37.5	78.5	+3.5	62%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.0	33.2	74.2	+7.8	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	32.8	75.4	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	43.0	77.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.9	36.5	75.4	+2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	40.6	34.9	75.4	+5.7	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	41.2	79.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.8	42.1	80.9	-3.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	40.2	78.3	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	41.8	78.9	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	43.0	80.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	36.6	39.5	76.1	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.2	43.6	82.8	-4.5	18%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.0	40.6	82.6	+1.4	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 77.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	17.0	47.4%	54.1%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	8.7	36.9%	32.8%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	23.2	17.4	75.0%	72.4%	17.4

They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	19.6	49.6%	54.1%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.0	36.6%	32.8%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	23.4	17.6	75.2%	72.4%	17.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	18.5	49.1%	54.1%	36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	8.4	37.2%	32.8%	25.3
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.9	75.5%	72.4%	14.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	20.0	50.5%	54.1%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.6	34.4%	32.8%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.3	72.7%	72.4%	14.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Polzela wins

Petrol Olimpija wins

Date	Game	Score
21/10/18	Petrol Olimpija v Polzela	98-95
07/01/18	Polzela v Petrol Olimpija	98-104 OT
23/10/17	Petrol Olimpija v Polzela	80-75
15/04/17	Polzela v Petrol Olimpija	89-85
22/03/17	Petrol Olimpija v Polzela	78-60
04/01/17	Petrol Olimpija v Polzela	85-74
14/10/16	Polzela v Petrol Olimpija	78-80
22/04/14	Polzela v Petrol Olimpija	62-71
01/04/14	Petrol Olimpija v Polzela	70-77
17/05/11	Petrol Olimpija v Polzela	85-62

Polzelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/18	A	Zlatorog Lasko	101-57
15/12/18	A	Rogaska	85-69
11/12/18	H	Sezana	80-78
08/12/18	H	Sencur	99-76
04/12/18	A	Sezana	99-79
02/12/18	H	Traiskirchen Lions	84-42
28/11/18	H	Zlatorog Lasko	93-68
25/11/18	A	KK Primorska	65-92
21/11/18	A	Zlatorog Lasko	83-70
17/11/18	H	Tajfun Sentjur	74-60

Petrol Olimpijalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/12/18	H	Partizan	66-72
23/12/18	A	Mornar Bar	75-80
20/12/18	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	76-92
18/12/18	H	Promitheas	76-80
16/12/18	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	70-69
14/12/18	H	Helios Domzale	68-76
11/12/18	A	Strasbourg	73-81
07/12/18	A	Cedevita	82-95
04/12/18	A	Perspektiva Ilirija	104-74
26/11/18	A	Zlatorog Lasko	84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela

Liga Nova KBM 2018-19

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	60%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	LLLWW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	60%	80%	40%
Points / game	80.2	79.6	80.8
Allowed / game	73.9	67.8	80.0
Point differential	+6.3	+11.8	+0.8
Avg total	154.1	147.4	160.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	80%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

Petrol Olimpija

Liga Nova KBM 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	60%
Home	WWWLL	60%
Away	LWLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	60%	60%	60%
Points / game	83.9	84.4	83.4
Allowed / game	82.1	81.0	83.2
Point differential	+1.8	+3.4	+0.2
Avg total	166.0	165.4	166.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	40%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Primorska	11	9	2	82%	87.3	71.5	+15.8
2	KK Krka Novo mesto	10	8	2	80%	86.3	77.3	+9.0
3	Polzela	10	6	4	60%	80.2	73.9	+6.3
4	Petrol Olimpija	10	6	4	60%	83.9	82.1	+1.8
5	Helios Domzale	10	5	5	50%	70.2	72.4	-2.2
6	Tajfun Sentjur	11	5	6	45%	78.0	79.8	-1.8
7	Rogaska	11	5	6	45%	76.0	80.7	-4.7
8	Sencur	10	4	6	40%	76.5	76.4	+0.1
9	Zlatorog Lasko	11	4	7	36%	72.1	80.9	-8.8
10	Perspektiva Ilirija	12	1	11	8%	76.1	89.0	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Polzela	19	19	21	17	76
Petrol Olimpija	20	21	16	21	78

← all games of the day

Polzela vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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