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Ponferrada vs Jaen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 79-84
15-21 19-19 18-26 27-18
Position#14
Record13-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Jaen 🏆
Spain
Position#23
Record6-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game82.3
SpainSegunda FEBRound 22
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ponferrada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jaen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Ponferrada
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.9
78.4▲ 0.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.9
76.4▼ 0.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
🔥 Form · Jaen
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 73.0
75.4▲ 2.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.3
72.6▼ 9.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their no baseline
–
PonferradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Moron
#11
L
61-77
61
77
-16
H20/12
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A11/01
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H17/01
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A31/01
Segunda FEB
Toledo
#12
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H07/02
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A14/02
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H21/02
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
58-86
58
86
-28
A08/03
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A15/03
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
8-20
22-22
20-12
20-15
16-19
11-18
23-10
21-15
19-21
24-27
8-14
17-19
17-21
24-18
24-16
8-24
11-21
20-23
21-18
29-16
25-11
13-16
22-20
23-13
21-16
20-17
22-28
17-27
14-17
31-13
31-29
14-20
18-25
15-30
11-11
20-25
12-17
16-16
18-15
149.5Avg total
73.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.277.0155.3+1.262%
Season at home (10)83.173.6156.7+9.590%
Season away (11)73.880.2154.0-6.436%
Last 10 (10)73.775.8149.5-2.150%
Last 5 (5)78.476.4154.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.276.0151.2-0.850%
vs Similar (19)79.178.2157.2+0.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.972.0149.9+5.986%
This opponent (Jaen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JaenSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
A04/01
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A10/01
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H18/01
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A01/02
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A14/02
Segunda FEB
Toledo
#12
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H22/02
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A07/03
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H15/03
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H18/03
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
12-19
24-16
19-27
20-15
13-22
19-17
22-20
25-17
12-23
21-16
17-16
19-20
18-24
13-27
23-16
17-23
14-15
18-15
14-20
18-17
15-25
20-23
24-24
21-11
14-19
17-13
15-21
27-11
23-16
12-14
9-13
20-21
16-19
23-18
23-11
19-29
23-15
14-23
24-20
150.5Avg total
74.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.082.3155.3-9.429%
Season at home (10)76.581.2157.7-4.740%
Season away (11)69.783.4153.1-13.618%
Last 10 (10)74.276.3150.5-2.140%
Last 5 (5)75.472.6148.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.682.9154.5-11.324%
vs Similar (4)78.880.0158.8-1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ponferrada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
PonferradaJaen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PonferradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Moron
#11
L
19-43
19
43
-24
H20/12
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A11/01
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H17/01
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
L
19-45
19
45
-26
A31/01
Segunda FEB
Toledo
#12
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H07/02
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A14/02
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H21/02
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/03
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A15/03
Segunda FEB
72.6Avg total
34.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.876.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.138.876.9-0.629%-
Last 30 away (16)37.238.876.0-1.656%-
Last 10 (10)34.138.572.6-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.476.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.044.881.8-7.80%-
vs Similar (19)37.938.976.8-1.142%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.335.072.3+2.371%-
This opponent (Jaen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A04/01
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/01
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/01
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A01/02
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A14/02
Segunda FEB
Toledo
#12
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H22/02
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A07/03
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H15/03
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/03
Segunda FEB
74.3Avg total
36.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)35.541.677.1-6.114%-
Last 30 at home (10)36.440.076.4-3.610%-
Last 30 away (11)34.643.177.7-8.518%-
Last 10 (10)36.338.074.3-1.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.675.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.142.276.2-8.112%-
vs Similar (4)41.539.280.8+2.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ponferrada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ponferrada wins
0
Jaen wins
DateGameScore
07/12/25Jaen v Ponferrada88-95
Ponferradalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26ACaja 8766-73
08/03/26ACBC Valladolid58-86
21/02/26HLeonesa93-86
14/02/26AValle de Egues86-74
07/02/26HToledo89-63
31/01/26ACaceres60-86
17/01/26HCordoba82-74
11/01/26AClavijo72-77
03/01/26AGijon70-62
20/12/25HMoron61-77
Jaenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26HCordoba80-87
15/03/26HLeonesa82-69
07/03/26AValle de Egues71-54
22/02/26HToledo67-64
14/02/26ACaceres77-89
01/02/26AClavijo63-73
18/01/26HGijon73-87
10/01/26AMoron75-72
04/01/26ALogrono82-87 OT
21/12/25HIraurgi SB72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ponferrada
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%90%36%
Points / game78.283.173.8
Allowed / game77.073.680.2
Point differential+1.2+9.5-6.4
Avg total155.3156.7154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jaen
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL29%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%40%18%
Points / game73.076.569.7
Allowed / game82.381.283.4
Point differential-9.4-4.7-13.6
Avg total155.3157.7153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Castello2116576%84.476.6+7.8
2 Sant Antoni2116576%82.475.5+7.0
3 Cordoba2116576%77.072.0+4.9
4 CBC Valladolid2115671%85.477.7+7.8
5 Albacete2115671%83.778.6+5.1
6 Caja 872114767%80.472.1+8.3
7 Gandia2114767%84.378.2+6.0
8 Lliria2113862%79.275.1+4.0
9 Iraurgi SB2113862%78.575.0+3.5
10 Spanish Basketball Academy2113862%81.678.5+3.0
11 Ponferrada2113862%78.277.0+1.2
12 Caceres2112957%83.177.5+5.6
13 Toledo2112957%80.576.0+4.5
14 Moron2112957%78.976.5+2.4
15 Huesca2112957%83.181.7+1.4
16 Clavijo21111052%77.374.9+2.5
17 CB Getafe21101148%83.282.1+1.1
18 CB Zaragoza2191243%83.882.0+1.7
19 Sol Girones Bisbal2291341%73.077.8-4.8
20 Leonesa2181338%82.186.3-4.2
21 Logrono2171433%73.277.9-4.6
22 Benicarlo2171433%75.680.6-5.0
23 Jaen2161529%73.082.3-9.4
24 Mataro2261627%75.282.9-7.6
25 Molina Basket2151624%75.084.9-9.9
26 Gijon2141719%77.386.5-9.2
27 Valle de Egues2141719%75.288.3-13.1
28 Salou2341917%74.583.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ponferrada1519182779
Jaen2119261884
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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