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Portland State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 68-64
30-29 38-35
Position#283
Record4-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#251
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game60.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portland State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Portland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#97
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A11/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
91-98
91
98
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Evergreen State
#683
W
113-40
113
40
+73
H17/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A25/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H26/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H28/11
NCAA
Portland Bible
#689
W
114-31
114
31
+83
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-20
42-45
40-32
39-54
42-42
49-56
34-43
37-40
44-19
69-21
37-33
42-33
31-55
47-47
36-53
35-36
45-34
38-37
63-9
51-22
158.7Avg total
85.6Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.572.5160.0+15.050%
Season at home (4)95.257.8153.0+37.575%
Season away (4)79.887.2167.0-7.525%
Last 10 (10)85.673.1158.7+12.550%
Last 5 (5)85.071.8156.8+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.481.4154.9-8.022%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.782.1159.8-4.422%
vs Weaker (10)76.468.0144.4+8.490%
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#333
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H02/03
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A09/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H11/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
69-73 OT
69
73
-4
H15/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
51-64
51
64
-13
H18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H22/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H23/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-26
32-28
27-38
29-45
29-35
29-27
37-27
38-44
28-31
33-30
29-32
22-32
45-26
38-30
30-19
34-32
24-23
35-33
41-23
40-30
127.7Avg total
65.4Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)67.560.8128.2+6.862%
Season at home (7)68.960.6129.4+8.371%
Season away (1)58.062.0120.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)65.462.3127.7+3.160%
Last 5 (5)67.656.0123.6+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)57.470.2127.6-12.815%
vs Similar ◀ (9)66.360.2126.6+6.167%
vs Weaker (1)64.051.0115.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Portland State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: -0.1-0.1
Portland StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Portland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#97
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A11/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#152
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A12/03
NCAA
Portland
#263
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A12/11
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A13/11
NCAA
Evergreen State
#683
W
44-19
44
19
+25
H17/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A25/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H26/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Portland Bible
#689
W
63-9
63
9
+54
H01/12
NCAA
74.7Avg total
40.7Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.834.871.6+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.631.167.7+5.553%-
Last 30 away (15)36.938.675.5-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.734.074.7+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.879.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.839.272.0-6.422%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.336.173.4+1.244%-
vs Weaker (10)36.533.970.4+2.660%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#333
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H02/03
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A09/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H11/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H15/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H23/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H01/12
NCAA
59.6Avg total
31.6Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.329.858.2-1.530%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.028.058.0+2.041%-
Last 30 away (13)26.232.258.4-6.115%-
Last 10 (10)31.628.059.6+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.824.658.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)26.531.257.8-4.815%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.227.960.1+4.356%-
vs Weaker (1)30.019.049.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Portland State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Portland State wins
0
Air Force wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22HPortland Bible114-31
28/11/22HOregon State83-71
26/11/22HWest Virginia71-89
25/11/22AGonzaga78-102
20/11/22AOregon State79-66
17/11/22HEvergreen State113-40
13/11/22ASeattle71-83
12/11/22APortland91-98
12/03/22ANorthern Colorado79-86
11/03/22ASouthern Utah77-65
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22HArkansas-Pine Bluff81-53
27/11/22HMontana59-56
23/11/22HMiss. Valley St.64-51
22/11/22HUSC Upstate83-56
18/11/22HPortland51-64
15/11/22HTX A&M Commerce69-73 OT
11/11/22HDelaware75-71
08/11/22ABowling Green58-62
09/03/22AUtah State56-83
02/03/22HSan Jose State58-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portland State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game87.595.279.8
Allowed / game72.557.887.2
Point differential+15.0+37.5-7.5
Avg total160.0153.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %62%71%0%
Points / game67.568.958.0
Allowed / game60.860.662.0
Point differential+6.8+8.3-4.0
Avg total128.2129.4120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State84450%87.572.5+15.0
2 Montana State94544%70.970.6+0.3
3 Sacramento State73443%66.470.0-3.6
4 Idaho83538%76.267.2+9.0
5 Montana83538%62.866.8-4.0
6 Northern Colorado83538%69.581.9-12.4
7 Northern Arizona93633%72.371.1+1.2
8 East. Washington72529%65.672.1-6.6
9 Weber State72529%65.673.4-7.9
10 Idaho State82625%71.868.4+3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UNLV770100%77.957.7+20.1
2 New Mexico770100%82.167.6+14.6
3 Utah State660100%87.874.8+13.0
4 Nevada87188%75.661.8+13.9
5 Colorado State86275%75.261.9+13.4
6 San Diego State86275%79.470.2+9.1
7 San Jose State86275%72.566.0+6.5
8 Grand Canyon75271%68.657.9+10.7
9 Boise State75271%65.657.3+8.3
10 Air Force85362%67.560.8+6.8
11 Wyoming73443%74.370.4+3.9
12 Fresno State61517%58.562.3-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Portland State303868
Air Force293564
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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