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Poznan vs Krosno Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-68
12-18 21-16 25-12 20-22
Position#10
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game97.0
Poznan 🏆
Poland
vs
Krosno
Poland
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game65.5
Poland1 LigaRound 3· Cityzen hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Poznan v Krosno
09 Jan 2027
POZN v KROS
upcoming
02 Mar 2025
POZN71
KROS80
07 Oct 2023
POZN78
KROS68
14 Dec 2022
POZN62
KROS68
08 Mar 2020
POZN65
KROS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Krosno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H25/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#4
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
H04/03
1 Liga
Turow Zgorzelec
#17
W
85-84
85
84
+1
no box
A08/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#5
L
82-100
82
100
-18
no box
A11/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
L
61-71
61
71
-10
no box
H19/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#12
L
62-87
62
87
-25
no box
A26/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#15
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
H02/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#6
W
89-86
89
86
+3
no box
A05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
78-96
78
96
-18
72avg 82
H23/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
97-98
97
98
-1
93avg 82
A30/09
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
15-14
29-10
20-25
23-16
17-18
15-18
26-13
26-23
17-18
19-20
23-23
22-29
13-21
22-18
25-32
12-13
11-18
27-21
11-19
10-31
14-21
19-17
19-18
12-22
18-14
25-16
23-23
28-24
16-16
29-26
16-20
20-24
23-32
9-22
26-18
26-19
13-23
28-29
30-27
163.2Avg total
79.9Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.597.0184.5-9.50%
Season at home (1)78.096.0174.0-18.00%
Season away (1)97.098.0195.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)79.983.3163.2-3.450%
Last 5 (5)80.888.4169.2-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.584.2158.8-9.80%
vs Similar ◀ (19)77.679.5157.1-1.837%
vs Weaker (7)92.176.0168.1+16.186%
This opponent (Krosno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#6
L
64-70
64
70
-6
no box
H01/03
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
A05/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
no box
H11/03
1 Liga
Bytom
#16
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A18/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#11
W
87-62
87
62
+25
no box
H26/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#15
W
67-58
67
58
+9
no box
A30/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#13
L
77-78
77
78
-1
no box
A01/04
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#14
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
H05/04
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
92-67
92
67
+25
79avg 82
A24/09
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
86avg 82
H30/09
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
19-11
13-17
18-21
26-27
20-13
10-15
14-19
27-26
25-28
8-20
23-20
20-25
23-19
20-15
22-21
31-10
21-14
17-19
18-19
21-16
17-21
11-12
18-9
20-17
17-24
12-24
28-13
23-17
18-17
11-26
16-22
22-14
18-19
27-14
25-20
23-11
24-9
13-27
30-17
151.2Avg total
78.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.065.5156.5+25.5100%
Season at home (1)90.064.0154.0+26.0100%
Season away (1)92.067.0159.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.372.9151.2+5.450%
Last 5 (5)78.869.8148.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.685.6166.2-5.040%
vs Similar ◀ (17)74.473.2147.6+1.247%
vs Weaker (8)84.873.5158.2+11.262%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
PoznanKrosno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H04/03
1 Liga
Turow Zgorzelec
#17
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A08/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#5
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A11/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#8
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H19/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#12
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A26/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#15
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H02/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H23/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/09
1 Liga
77.6Avg total
35.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.877.4-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.835.975.7+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.341.879.1-4.540%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.877.6-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.045.281.2-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.047.886.8-8.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.237.273.4-1.047%-
vs Weaker (7)44.638.182.7+6.486%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H01/03
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A05/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#3
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H11/03
1 Liga
Bytom
#16
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A18/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#11
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H26/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A30/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A01/04
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H05/04
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A24/09
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H30/09
1 Liga
78.8Avg total
42.9Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.076.8+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.536.878.3+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.137.175.2+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)42.935.978.8+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.633.073.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.243.683.8-3.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.736.273.9+1.553%-
vs Weaker (8)44.034.578.5+9.575%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.0
52.9%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.510.0
40.8%
32.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.021.0
95.5%
69.4%21.0
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
51.8%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.5
35.2%
32.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.011.5
60.5%
69.4%11.5
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
LLWWLLLWWW
Krosno
WWLLWWWLLL
#10
League position
#2
-15.2
Net rating
+32.6
115.3
Offensive rating
119.7
130.5
Defensive rating
87.1
56.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
62.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
18.9%
Turnover %
14.4%
20.7%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.8%
3-point %
35.2%
69.6%
Assist %
52.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 119.7Defence130.5 · 87.1Shooting56.4% · 55.3%3-point %40.8% · 35.2%Ball care18.9% · 14.4%Off. rebounds20.7% · 35.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Poznan   ■ Krosno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Poznan wins
4
Krosno wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Krosno v Poznan87-62
14/12/22Poznan v Krosno62-68
08/03/20Poznan v Krosno65-74
30/11/19Krosno v Poznan80-71
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23AGKS Tychy97-98
23/09/23HPelplin78-96
05/04/23AKotwica Kolobrzeg89-86
02/04/23HSlask Wroclaw II78-75
26/03/23AKrosno62-87
19/03/23HPelplin61-71
11/03/23AStarogard Gdanski82-100
08/03/23ATurow Zgorzelec85-84
04/03/23HGKS Tychy81-65
25/02/23HPolonia Warszawa86-71
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl90-64
24/09/23APolonia Warszawa92-67
05/04/23HAlstom Krakow68-82
01/04/23AWKK Wroclaw77-78
30/03/23ASlask Wroclaw II67-58
26/03/23HPoznan87-62
18/03/23ABytom85-80
11/03/23HHydroTruck Radom83-94
05/03/23ADziki Warszawa70-74
01/03/23HKotwica Kolobrzeg64-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game87.578.097.0
Allowed / game97.096.098.0
Point differential-9.5-18.0-1.0
Avg total184.5174.0195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Krosno
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.090.092.0
Allowed / game65.564.067.0
Point differential+25.5+26.0+25.0
Avg total156.5154.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slask Wroclaw II110100%104.066.0+38.0
2 Krosno220100%91.065.5+25.5
3 Bydgoszcz330100%85.368.0+17.3
4 WKK Wroclaw330100%84.767.3+17.3
5 Kotwica Kolobrzeg330100%71.764.0+7.7
6 Starogard Gdanski32167%64.761.3+3.3
7 GKS Tychy32167%79.782.3-2.7
8 Pelplin21150%84.578.0+6.5
9 Gornik Walbrzych21150%64.564.5+0.0
10 Poli. Opolska21150%69.071.0-2.0
11 MKKS Koszalin21150%71.081.5-10.5
12 AWF Katowice31233%78.080.3-2.3
13 HydroTruck Radom31233%69.383.7-14.3
14 Alstom Krakow3030%72.081.0-9.0
15 Poznan2020%87.597.0-9.5
16 Polonia Warszawa3030%67.380.7-13.3
17 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl2020%64.580.5-16.0
18 Sokol Miedzychod2020%65.084.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poznan1221252078
Krosno1816122268
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