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Poznan vs WKK Wroclaw Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 88-83
Projected total 170.2
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game87.1
Vs
68%
32%
■ POZN 68%■ WKK 32%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
6.3/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game81.5
Poland1 LigaRound 9· Cityzen hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Poznan v WKK Wroclaw
15 Nov 2026
POZN v WKK
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
POZN76
WKK 81
29 Mar 2025
POZN74
WKK 89
23 Dec 2023
POZN89
WKK 77
22 Oct 2022
POZN80
WKK 62
21 Mar 2020
POZN v WKK
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
POZN62
WKK 72
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Poznan host WKK Wroclaw on 15 November 2026 in the 1 Liga, with the Pythia model designating Poznan as the favourite and predicting a 68% chance of a home win and a 32% chance for the visitors, projecting a final score of 88-83 and a total of 170.2 points; the home team is listed at a -6.0 line with a 48% probability of covering and the over line is 169.0 with a 52% chance of exceeding it, while the chance of overtime is 5%. Poznan enter the game with an overall 5-3 record, averaging 91.0 points scored and 87.1 points allowed per game, positioned 4th in the league, and are 3-1 at home with 90.8 points for and 82.2 against; their last five games include a loss to Leszno 89-100 away, a win over Inowroclaw 83-75 at home, and a win over Kotwica Kolobrzeg 90-84 away. Wroclaw also sit 5-3 overall, scoring 83.8 points and allowing 81.5 per game, ranked 5th, and are 1-2 on the road with 75.0 points for and 83.7 against; their recent five games feature a win over Bytom 88-83 at home, a loss to GKS Tychy 65-90 away, and a win over Starogard Gdanski 104-88 at home. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Wroclaw lead 6-4, most recently defeating Poznan 82-76 on 7 February 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan win
67.8%fair 1.47
Best odds1.37
Implied69.3%
Edge-1.5pp
WKK Wroclaw win
32.2%fair 3.11
Best odds3.00
Implied30.7%
Edge+1.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 73
A12/04
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 73
H15/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
96-75
96
75
+21
97avg 73
H19/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
W
107-98
107
98
+9
102avg 73
A26/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
94-99
94
99
-5
82avg 73
H04/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
75avg 73
A11/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
W
90-80
90
80
+10
88avg 73
H18/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
77avg 73
A25/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
W
83-75
83
75
+8
82avg 73
H31/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
89-100
89
100
-11
no box
A07/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
28-19
13-18
17-10
18-17
23-23
24-17
9-22
24-16
22-20
24-12
26-27
28-20
19-25
38-21
22-32
31-17
18-26
13-27
32-29
12-18
24-23
24-22
19-23
22-20
21-19
15-17
32-24
21-26
20-16
20-20
18-17
24-16
13-14
25-15
21-30
27-29
24-24
22-31
16-16
173.0Avg total
87.7Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.087.1178.1+3.962%
Season at home (4)90.882.2173.0+8.575%
Season away (4)91.292.0183.2-0.850%
Last 10 (10)87.785.3173.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)86.285.0171.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.489.0169.4-8.612%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.783.4166.1-0.750%
vs Weaker (4)91.882.2174.0+9.575%
This opponent (WKK Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WKK WroclawPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWroclaw
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#14
W
79-68
79
68
+11
78avg 79
H08/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
79-90
79
90
-11
68avg 79
A11/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
61avg 79
H18/09
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
56avg 79
A26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
97-83
97
83
+14
100avg 79
H03/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#13
W
90-67
90
67
+23
94avg 79
H10/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
W
89-81
89
81
+8
76avg 79
A18/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
W
104-88
104
88
+16
107avg 79
H24/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
L
65-90
65
90
-25
51avg 79
A31/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#12
W
88-83
88
83
+5
no box
H08/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
29-20
15-14
20-23
10-27
21-21
25-26
23-16
13-15
19-20
15-20
19-25
22-17
15-33
14-17
20-13
23-17
21-24
22-21
31-21
18-10
20-17
32-19
20-21
15-20
22-18
22-22
30-21
24-22
25-30
27-16
28-20
17-19
20-22
10-27
18-22
23-19
16-14
25-24
24-26
163.8Avg total
82.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.881.5165.2+2.262%
Season at home (5)89.080.2169.2+8.880%
Season away (3)75.083.7158.7-8.733%
Last 10 (10)82.881.0163.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)87.281.8169.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.891.5169.2-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (20)81.180.3161.4+0.850%
vs Weaker (6)92.282.2174.3+10.083%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
60.5%
Under 165.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5 · main line
Over 170.5
48.5%
@ 1.91-1.7pp
Under 170.5
51.5%
@ 1.84+1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.89
SBO
1.87
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.84
Bet365
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
SBO
1.79
1xBet
1.62
Over/Under 175.5
Over 175.5
36.7%
Under 175.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Poznan total 83.5
Over 83.5
66.0%
@ 1.40+3.5pp
Under 83.5
34.0%
@ 2.33-3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.33
Poznan total 87.5 · main line
Over 87.5
50.8%
@ 1.83+0.8pp
Under 87.5
49.2%
@ 1.85-0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Under
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.70
Poznan total 91.5
Over 91.5
35.4%
@ 2.42-0.7pp
Under 91.5
64.6%
@ 1.37+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.42
Under
1xBet
1.37
WKK Wroclaw total 77.5
Over 77.5
68.1%
@ 1.40+5.5pp
Under 77.5
31.9%
@ 2.34-5.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.34
WKK Wroclaw total 81.5 · main line
Over 81.5
53.2%
@ 1.86+3.8pp
Under 81.5
46.8%
@ 1.85-3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Under
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.70
WKK Wroclaw total 85.5
Over 85.5
38.1%
@ 2.41+1.6pp
Under 85.5
61.9%
@ 1.38-1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.41
Under
1xBet
1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Poznan -9
POZN -9
36.6%
WKK +9
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
POZN
No market prices yet.
WKK
No market prices yet.
Spread Poznan -6 · main line
POZN -6
47.9%
@ 1.83-2.1pp
WKK +6
52.1%
@ 1.83+2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
POZN
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.83
WKK
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.83
Spread Poznan -3
POZN -3
59.6%
WKK +3
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
POZN
No market prices yet.
WKK
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
PoznanWKK Wroclaw
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/04
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H15/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H19/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H04/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H18/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H31/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A07/11
1 Liga
85.4Avg total
43.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 83.5
Last 30 (30)41.840.982.8+0.953%37%
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.981.8+1.967%33%
Last 30 away (15)41.841.983.7-0.140%40%
Last 10 (10)43.641.885.4+1.860%40%
Last 5 (5)41.641.082.6+0.640%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.241.084.2+2.250%25%
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.241.582.7-0.350%44%
vs Weaker (4)41.838.280.0+3.575%25%
This opponent (WKK Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WKK WroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H08/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A11/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H18/09
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#13
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H10/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H24/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A31/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/11
1 Liga
78.4Avg total
38.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 83.5
Last 30 (30)39.440.579.9-1.247%43%
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.581.3+0.453%53%
Last 30 away (15)37.940.678.5-2.740%33%
Last 10 (10)38.839.678.4-0.840%30%
Last 5 (5)40.038.278.2+1.840%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.549.886.2-13.20%75%
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.539.579.0+0.055%40%
vs Weaker (6)40.837.878.7+3.050%33%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
POZN win
no forecast
@ 1.50
WKK win
no forecast
@ 2.60
1st half Spread Poznan -3.5 · main line
POZN -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
WKK +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 83.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Poznan 1st half total 43.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
WKK Wroclaw 1st half total 40.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: POZN + total 83.5
POZN & over
no forecast
@ 3.00
POZN & under
no forecast
@ 3.00
1st half: Draw + total 83.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: WKK + total 83.5
WKK & over
no forecast
@ 4.75
WKK & under
no forecast
@ 4.75
1st half Over/Under 85
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.79
1st half Spread Poznan -2.5
POZN -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
WKK +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Spread Poznan 0
POZN 0
no forecast
@ 1.44
WKK 0
no forecast
@ 2.62
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
POZN
no forecast
@ 1.54
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
WKK
no forecast
@ 2.67

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
POZN win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
WKK win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: POZN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: WKK leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 1 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.1
52.9%
53.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.2
37.1%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.214.6
62.9%
70.8%14.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
WKK Wroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

WKK Wroclaw: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.2
52.9%
53.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.5
27.4%
33.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws28.820.6
71.5%
70.8%20.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
LWWWLLWWLL
WKK Wroclaw
WLWWWWLLLW
#5
League position
#6
+1.6
Net rating
+0.1
96.2
Offensive rating
90.8
94.6
Defensive rating
90.6
53.9%
Effective FG%
48.4%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.47
37.1%
3-point %
27.4%
58.1%
Assist %
69.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 90.8Defence94.6 · 90.6Shooting53.9% · 48.4%3-point %37.1% · 27.4%Ball care15.2% · 14.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.47Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Poznan   ■ WKK Wroclaw
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Poznan wins
6
WKK Wroclaw wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26WKK Wroclaw v Poznan82-76
19/10/25Poznan v WKK Wroclaw76-81
29/03/25Poznan v WKK Wroclaw74-89
22/12/24WKK Wroclaw v Poznan85-84
05/04/24WKK Wroclaw v Poznan75-93
23/12/23Poznan v WKK Wroclaw89-77
29/01/23WKK Wroclaw v Poznan72-85
22/10/22Poznan v WKK Wroclaw80-62
14/12/19WKK Wroclaw v Poznan74-61
27/01/19WKK Wroclaw v Poznan93-85
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALeszno89-100
31/10/26HInowroclaw83-75
25/10/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg90-84 OT
18/10/26HLancut90-80
11/10/26ALKS Lodz79-86
04/10/26HSpojnia Stargard94-99
26/09/26AKrosno107-98
19/09/26HPoli. Opolska96-75
15/04/26HMiners Katowice74-79
12/04/26AR. Rzeszow75-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBytom88-83
31/10/26AGKS Tychy65-90
24/10/26HStarogard Gdanski104-88
18/10/26APolonia Warszawa89-81
10/10/26HR. Rzeszow90-67
03/10/26HPelplin97-83
26/09/26ALeszno71-80
18/09/26HInowroclaw66-80
11/04/26APelplin79-90
08/04/26HInowroclaw79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game91.090.891.2
Allowed / game87.182.292.0
Point differential+3.9+8.5-0.8
Avg total178.1173.0183.2
Over 170.562%50%75%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
WKK Wroclaw
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game83.889.075.0
Allowed / game81.580.283.7
Point differential+2.2+8.8-8.7
Avg total165.2169.2158.7
Over 170.538%60%0%
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz86275%89.279.9+9.4
4 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
5 Poznan85362%91.087.1+3.9
6 WKK Wroclaw85362%83.881.5+2.2
7 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
8 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
9 Lancut84450%87.084.4+2.6
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 Bytom82625%81.686.4-4.8
13 R. Rzeszow82625%78.287.9-9.6
14 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
15 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
16 Poli. Opolska81712%80.992.4-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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