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Primorje vs Mornar Bar Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game83.5
Primorje
Montenegro
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
3.1/10
Below normal
Mornar Bar
Montenegro
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game74.2
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 18· Sport center Igalo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Primorje v Mornar Bar
06 Mar 2027
PRIM v MBA
upcoming
18 Apr 2026
PRIM98
MBA100
16 Nov 2025
PRIM83
MBA71
18 Jan 2022
PRIM66
MBA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Primorje win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrimorjeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrimorje
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 89
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
111-85
111
85
+26
111avg 89
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
107-104 OT
107
104
+3
102avg 89
A29/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
65-91
65
91
-26
50avg 89
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
87-99
87
99
-12
80avg 89
A11/04
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
98-100
98
100
-2
98avg 89
H18/04
Prva A Liga
Cedevita Junior
#12
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 89
H14/10
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
L
98-101 OT
98
101
-3
94avg 89
A28/10
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#7
W
99-89
99
89
+10
no box
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#4
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A07/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
23-32
14-18
27-22
28-23
23-20
35-24
25-18
27-18
19-21
22-25
24-28
15-23
21-28
12-21
17-19
23-20
29-28
15-23
20-28
23-30
26-31
29-18
20-21
19-23
25-24
26-17
21-17
23-16
19-27
20-20
15-14
15-20
32-23
31-20
21-26
26-20
17-22
18-19
24-17
184.3Avg total
92.5Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.083.5175.5+8.5100%
Season at home (1)99.089.0188.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.591.8184.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)94.289.8184.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)86.091.7177.7-5.714%
vs Similar (2)90.585.5176.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker (21)90.483.9174.3+6.571%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Primorje
#3
W
99-87
99
87
+12
90avg 80
H11/04
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
100-98
100
98
+2
94avg 80
A18/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
89-105
89
105
-16
75avg 80
A24/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
62avg 80
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Borac Banja Luka
#13
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 80
A21/10
ABA League 2
Vukovi Zeta
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
H24/10
Prva A Liga
Sencur
#7
L
71-81
71
81
-10
60avg 80
A30/10
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#10
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
A02/11
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
H06/11
Prva A Liga
Lim Berane
#13
W
119-66
119
66
+53
no box
A14/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
28-29
23-15
28-20
30-23
31-26
18-29
21-20
25-29
19-34
15-20
30-22
17-27
19-30
17-18
23-28
24-20
18-13
16-20
19-20
26-22
19-20
18-14
20-15
21-19
20-25
13-21
17-16
19-20
21-22
30-11
9-18
29-24
20-20
18-18
24-27
31-17
30-18
28-18
30-13
172.8Avg total
88.4Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.074.2167.2+18.8100%
Season at home (2)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)99.068.5167.5+30.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.484.4172.8+4.070%
Last 5 (5)88.675.6164.2+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.392.4175.6-9.136%
vs Similar (6)90.786.8177.5+3.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.680.6169.2+8.085%
This opponent (Primorje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
PrimorjeMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrimorjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A29/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A11/04
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H18/04
Prva A Liga
Cedevita Junior
#12
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H14/10
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A28/10
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/11
Prva A Liga
92.0Avg total
45.3Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.687.6+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.643.989.4+1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)44.441.686.0+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)45.346.792.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.292.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.946.189.0-3.329%-
vs Similar (2)41.545.587.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker (21)46.041.287.2+4.862%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Primorje
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H11/04
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A18/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A24/04
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Borac Banja Luka
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A21/10
ABA League 2
Vukovi Zeta
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H24/10
Prva A Liga
Sencur
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A30/10
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/11
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H06/11
Prva A Liga
Lim Berane
#13
W
61-35
61
35
+26
A14/11
Prva A Liga
92.8Avg total
46.7Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.143.687.7+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.343.990.2+2.469%-
Last 30 away (17)42.443.385.7-0.941%-
Last 10 (10)46.746.192.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.241.488.6+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.548.390.8-5.736%-
vs Similar (6)44.341.085.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.340.886.1+4.562%-
This opponent (Primorje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Primorjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Primorje: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.925.8
63.1%
58.8%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.0
33.1%
31.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.414.7
68.7%
69.7%14.7
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.4
55.2%
58.8%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.2
33.3%
31.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.811.8
62.8%
69.7%11.8
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Primorje
WWLWLLLWWL
Mornar Bar
WWWLWWLLWW
#3
League position
#2
+0.0
Net rating
-6.6
114.9
Offensive rating
106.4
114.9
Defensive rating
113.0
57.7%
Effective FG%
52.9%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
3.7%
Turnover %
3.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.1%
3-point %
33.3%
59.2%
Assist %
50.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 106.4Defence114.9 · 113.0Shooting57.7% · 52.9%3-point %33.1% · 33.3%Ball care3.7% · 3.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Primorje   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Primorje wins
4
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
18/04/26Primorje v Mornar Bar98-100
11/04/26Mornar Bar v Primorje99-87
11/02/26Mornar Bar v Primorje94-84
16/11/25Primorje v Mornar Bar83-71
18/01/22Primorje v Mornar Bar66-98
Primorjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AKotor85-78
01/11/26HPodgorica99-89
28/10/26AZlatibor98-101 OT
14/10/26HCedevita Junior91-81
18/04/26HMornar Bar98-100
11/04/26AMornar Bar87-99
04/04/26HVukovi Zeta65-91
29/03/26AIbar Rozaje107-104 OT
21/03/26HUlcinj111-85
15/03/26APodgorica84-90
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALim Berane119-66
06/11/26HTivat91-89
02/11/26ALovcen Cetinje79-71
30/10/26ASencur71-81
24/10/26HVukovi Zeta83-71
21/10/26ABorac Banja Luka77-73
28/04/26HBuducnost76-103
24/04/26ABuducnost89-105
18/04/26APrimorje100-98
11/04/26HPrimorje99-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Primorje
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.099.085.0
Allowed / game83.589.078.0
Point differential+8.5+10.0+7.0
Avg total175.5188.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.087.099.0
Allowed / game74.280.068.5
Point differential+18.8+7.0+30.5
Avg total167.2167.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska440100%96.873.2+23.5
2 Mornar Bar440100%93.074.2+18.8
3 Primorje220100%92.083.5+8.5
4 Kotor32167%83.774.7+9.0
5 Studentski Centar32167%87.780.7+7.0
6 Danilovgrad32167%72.778.0-5.3
7 Podgorica21150%108.073.0+35.0
8 Vukovi Zeta42250%84.271.0+13.2
9 Jedinstvo31233%69.788.3-18.7
10 Lovcen Cetinje41325%83.886.0-2.2
11 Tivat41325%80.086.2-6.2
12 Decic4040%67.588.8-21.2
13 Lim Berane4040%64.8106.2-41.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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