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Princeton vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 56-59
29-32 27-27
Position#337
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#66
Record5-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Princeton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrincetonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
John Jay
#555
W
100-59
100
59
+41
H14/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A15/11
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A19/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H21/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
64-88
64
88
-24
A25/11
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H26/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H26/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A30/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A04/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-25
53-34
29-37
28-39
27-48
42-41
33-20
37-37
34-40
30-48
36-32
39-47
26-43
48-36
25-30
33-30
27-31
31-32
28-30
40-43
141.6Avg total
69.3Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.674.2143.8-4.625%
Season at home (5)78.467.4145.8+11.060%
Season away (7)63.379.0142.3-15.70%
Last 10 (10)69.372.3141.6-3.020%
Last 5 (5)66.670.8137.4-4.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)66.480.0146.4-13.67%
vs Similar (8)70.568.6139.1+1.975%
vs Weaker (6)73.566.8140.3+6.783%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#188
L
57-95
57
95
-38
A07/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A12/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
45-80
45
80
-35
A22/11
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A28/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A29/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H05/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-39
35-56
31-34
31-42
48-34
43-45
34-27
38-38
17-44
28-36
30-35
35-42
30-43
28-35
42-36
24-24
37-33
31-33
39-30
35-33
139.7Avg total
65.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)65.874.0139.8-8.245%
Season at home (4)70.067.2137.2+2.875%
Season away (7)63.477.9141.3-14.429%
Last 10 (10)65.873.9139.7-8.150%
Last 5 (5)66.268.8135.0-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.579.0130.5-27.50%
vs Similar (20)66.867.0133.8-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)69.862.8132.5+7.088%
This opponent (Princeton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -5.6-5.6
PrincetonMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PrincetonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
John Jay
#555
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H14/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A19/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H21/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H26/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A30/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A04/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A06/12
NCAA
64.8Avg total
31.2Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.835.167.9-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.833.168.9+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)30.236.867.0-6.619%-
Last 10 (10)31.233.664.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)28.433.261.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.638.668.1-9.014%-
vs Similar (8)31.133.264.4-2.138%-
vs Weaker (6)37.531.068.5+6.583%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#188
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A15/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
17-44
17
44
-27
A22/11
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A28/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A29/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H05/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H07/12
NCAA
68.5Avg total
33.0Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.532.364.8+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.430.261.6+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)33.634.367.9-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)33.035.568.5-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.471.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)23.543.567.0-20.00%-
vs Similar (20)31.731.663.2+0.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.831.268.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Princeton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Princeton wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24Merrimack Warriors v Princeton57-68
Princetonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ALoyola Chicago68-73
04/12/25AMonmouth58-63
30/11/25ASaint Josephs Hawks58-60
26/11/25HVermont74-79
26/11/25HTemple75-79
25/11/25ABradley64-88
21/11/25HNortheastern70-57
19/11/25AIona69-89
15/11/25AKansas57-76
14/11/25HJohn Jay100-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HFairfield74-63
05/12/25HRider68-66
30/11/25ALa Salle66-60
29/11/25AHofstra58-78
28/11/25APenn65-77
22/11/25AFlorida45-80
20/11/25HMaine Black Bears72-65
15/11/25ABoston University91-79
12/11/25ATarleton62-76
07/11/25AAuburn57-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Princeton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%60%0%
Points / game69.678.463.3
Allowed / game74.267.479.0
Point differential-4.6+11.0-15.7
Avg total143.8145.8142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW45%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%75%29%
Points / game65.870.063.4
Allowed / game74.067.277.9
Point differential-8.2+2.8-14.4
Avg total139.8137.2141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Yale1211192%87.271.1+16.2
2 Columbia119282%80.566.6+13.9
3 Penn106460%79.277.9+1.3
4 Cornell105550%91.185.8+5.3
5 Harvard115645%69.668.2+1.5
6 Brown125742%70.865.3+5.5
7 Dartmouth83538%76.576.0+0.5
8 Princeton123925%69.674.2-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena119282%70.561.4+9.1
2 Marist86275%72.860.4+12.4
3 Quinnipiac107370%79.873.5+6.3
4 Iona107370%83.078.8+4.2
5 Fairfield105550%73.476.5-3.1
6 St. Peters84450%67.971.5-3.6
7 Merrimack Warriors115645%65.874.0-8.2
8 Manhattan104640%80.884.6-3.8
9 Canisius104640%60.770.5-9.8
10 Sacred Heart93633%78.682.0-3.4
11 Niagara92722%60.175.2-15.1
12 Mount St. Mary's102820%67.079.8-12.8
13 Rider91811%58.874.6-15.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Princeton292756
Merrimack Warriors322759
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