Progresista vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 82-79

18-22 19-14 22-22 23-21

Position#16

Record7-16

FormLWLLL

Points / game72.8

Allowed / game76.7

Progresista 🏆

Gimnasia

Position#10

Record9-14

FormWLLLL

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game80.9

Liga ARound 24

Other2012-13

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Progresista winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gimnasia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Progresista Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

75-88

-13

H29/10

Liga A

Argentino

66-75

-9

H03/11

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

85-66

+19

H05/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

75-70

A15/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

70-83

-13

A17/11

Liga A

Quimsa

74-75

-1

H24/11

Liga A

Libertad

98-94

H26/11

Liga A

Penarol

71-93

-22

A01/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

67-87

-20

A03/12

Liga A

Lanus

65-80

-15

H08/12

Liga A

15-26

19-19

27-24

14-19

17-17

16-16

24-20

9-22

19-24

12-16

32-14

22-12

15-18

18-14

24-13

18-25

16-21

8-27

17-19

29-16

15-17

17-23

22-13

20-22

24-20

16-22

22-20

36-32

14-35

20-12

23-20

14-26

19-19

11-23

21-20

16-25

8-17

21-14

20-25

16-24

155.7Avg total

74.6Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	72.8	76.7	149.6	-3.9	30%
Season at home (12)	76.0	75.8	151.8	+0.2	42%
Season away (11)	69.4	77.8	147.2	-8.5	18%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	81.1	155.7	-6.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	85.8	160.8	-10.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	71.7	78.3	150.0	-6.6	20%
vs Similar (3)	80.3	66.3	146.7	+14.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

#12

73-82

-9

A29/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

85-80

H02/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

112-92

112

+20

H05/11

Liga A

Libertad

66-67

-1

A17/11

Liga A

Quimsa

76-93

-17

A19/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

85-79

H24/11

Liga A

Penarol

72-82

-10

H26/11

Liga A

Regatas

80-81

-1

A29/11

Liga A

Sionista

79-85

-6

A01/12

Liga A

La Union

#15

67-78

-11

A08/12

Liga A

21-17

13-22

17-22

22-21

19-16

23-15

23-19

20-30

17-21

31-29

36-23

28-19

24-15

12-24

16-15

14-13

16-17

15-28

26-21

19-27

19-17

26-16

17-23

23-23

23-18

8-22

22-20

19-22

21-23

19-24

21-12

19-22

24-30

10-16

25-18

20-21

10-15

18-26

22-18

17-19

161.4Avg total

79.5Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	78.2	80.9	159.1	-2.7	39%
Season at home (11)	88.3	82.6	170.9	+5.6	82%
Season away (12)	69.0	79.3	148.3	-10.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	81.9	161.4	-2.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	81.0	157.6	-4.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	78.8	79.0	157.8	-0.2	50%
vs Similar (23)	78.7	81.0	159.6	-2.3	39%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	73.3	74.0	147.3	-0.7	33%

This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ProgresistaGimnasia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	16.5	19.4	35.9	-3.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	16.8	17.6	34.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.1	21.5	37.5	-5.4	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	21.4	37.6	-5.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.6	37.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.2	19.6	35.9	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.3	37.2	-1.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	48%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	13.0	13.3	26.3	-0.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	15.4	17.5	32.9	-2.1	35%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	15.5	16.3	31.8	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (11)	15.3	18.7	34.0	-3.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	18.6	34.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.5	17.6	33.0	-2.1	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	14.7	17.0	31.7	-2.3	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.3	38.3	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	19.8	35.7	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	22.2	39.7	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	19.1	19.1	38.2	+0.0	52%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.7	33%	-

ProgresistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

34-45

-11

H29/10

Liga A

Argentino

33-33

H03/11

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

31-40

-9

H05/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

33-32

A15/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

24-48

-24

A17/11

Liga A

Quimsa

32-40

-8

H24/11

Liga A

Libertad

40-42

-2

H26/11

Liga A

Penarol

34-47

-13

A01/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

30-42

-12

A03/12

Liga A

Lanus

29-31

-2

H08/12

Liga A

72.0Avg total

32.0Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	31.9	36.9	68.8	-5.0	22%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	32.3	33.9	66.2	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (11)	31.4	40.2	71.5	-8.8	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.0	40.0	72.0	-8.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	40.4	73.4	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	31.8	37.1	68.9	-5.4	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	32.7	35.3	68.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

#12

34-39

-5

A29/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

42-31

+11

H02/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

48-50

-2

H05/11

Liga A

Libertad

36-39

-3

A17/11

Liga A

Quimsa

31-45

-14

A19/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

45-33

+12

H24/11

Liga A

Penarol

31-40

-9

H26/11

Liga A

Regatas

40-47

-7

A29/11

Liga A

Sionista

34-46

-12

A01/12

Liga A

La Union

#15

28-41

-13

A08/12

Liga A

78.0Avg total

36.9Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	37.6	75.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	35.8	77.8	+6.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.8	39.1	72.9	-5.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	41.1	78.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	41.4	77.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.0	39.2	77.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	38.4	37.8	76.2	+0.7	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	30.7	33.7	64.3	-3.0	33%	-

This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+1.9	61%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.2	20.2	42.5	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.5	17.7	37.3	+1.8	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	18.8	42.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	55%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.3	15.3	40.7	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.1	41.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (23)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.2	52%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.5	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.3	41.7	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	25.8	46.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-1.9	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	15.7	38.0	+6.7	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	22.9	43.1	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	25.2	48.2	-2.2	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	23.8	44.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (23)	19.8	22.5	42.3	-2.7	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.7	24.3	47.0	-1.7	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	41.0	39.8	80.8	+1.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.7	41.8	85.5	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	38.0	37.6	75.6	+0.4	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	41.1	83.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	45.4	87.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	40.0	41.1	81.1	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	47.7	31.0	78.7	+16.7	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	42.4	83.0	-1.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.7	46.5	91.2	-1.8	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	38.9	75.8	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	40.8	83.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.6	80.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.8	39.8	80.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	40.2	43.2	83.4	-3.0	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	42.7	40.3	83.0	+2.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Progresista wins

Gimnasia wins

No previous meetings.

Progresistalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/12	H	Lanus	65-80
03/12/12	A	Weber Bahia	67-87
01/12/12	A	Penarol	71-93
26/11/12	H	Libertad	98-94
24/11/12	H	Quimsa	74-75
17/11/12	A	Boca Juniors	70-83
15/11/12	A	Obras Sanitarias	75-70
05/11/12	H	de Julio de Morteros	85-66
03/11/12	H	Argentino	66-75
29/10/12	H	Olimpico	75-88

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/12	A	La Union	67-78
01/12/12	A	Sionista	79-85
29/11/12	A	Regatas	80-81
26/11/12	H	Penarol	72-82
24/11/12	H	Weber Bahia	85-79
19/11/12	A	Quimsa	76-93
17/11/12	A	Libertad	66-67
05/11/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	112-92
02/11/12	H	Boca Juniors	85-80
29/10/12	A	Weber Bahia	73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Progresista

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	30%
Home	LWLWL	42%
Away	LWLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	30%	42%	18%
Points / game	72.8	76.0	69.4
Allowed / game	76.7	75.8	77.8
Point differential	-3.9	+0.2	-8.5
Avg total	149.6	151.8	147.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	33% (6)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Gimnasia

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	39%
Home	WWWWL	82%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	39%	82%	0%
Points / game	78.2	88.3	69.0
Allowed / game	80.9	82.6	79.3
Point differential	-2.7	+5.6	-10.3
Avg total	159.1	170.9	148.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	27%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Penarol	20	15	5	75%	81.0	74.5	+6.5
2	Lanus	23	17	6	74%	76.8	71.7	+5.0
3	Regatas	22	16	6	73%	76.7	71.0	+5.7
4	Libertad	21	13	8	62%	77.4	75.6	+1.9
5	Quimsa	23	14	9	61%	78.4	74.6	+3.8
6	Olimpico	23	14	9	61%	74.6	73.5	+1.0
7	Atenas	22	12	10	55%	75.6	78.4	-2.8
8	Boca Juniors	24	13	11	54%	77.3	74.4	+2.9
9	Argentino	23	12	11	52%	77.2	77.5	-0.3
10	Sionista	24	10	14	42%	78.2	81.7	-3.5
11	Weber Bahia	23	9	14	39%	80.5	81.3	-0.9
12	Gimnasia	23	9	14	39%	78.2	80.9	-2.7
13	de Julio de Morteros	23	8	15	35%	76.3	82.1	-5.8
14	Obras Sanitarias	22	7	15	32%	78.7	80.5	-1.8
15	Progresista	23	7	16	30%	72.8	76.7	-3.9
16	La Union	23	5	18	22%	71.5	75.7	-4.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Progresista	18	19	22	23	82
Gimnasia	22	14	22	21	79

← all games of the day

Progresista vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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