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Progresista vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Nov 2012
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 98-94
24-20 16-22 22-20 36-32
Position#16
Record6-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#8
Record11-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game72.6
ArgentinaLiga ARound 20
Other2012-13
Meetings · Progresista v Libertad
25 Nov 2012
PROG98
LIBE94
07 Oct 2012
PROG65
LIBE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Progresista winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Libertad winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ProgresistaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#15
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H13/10
Liga A
La Union
#15
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A15/10
Liga A
Sionista
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A21/10
Liga A
Atenas
#11
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H27/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#5
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H29/10
Liga A
Argentino
#6
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H03/11
Liga A
de Julio de Morteros
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H05/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A15/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A17/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H24/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
16-16
25-21
26-19
16-19
16-19
19-11
19-16
10-22
24-14
17-16
18-24
22-16
15-11
14-26
23-16
15-26
19-19
27-24
14-19
17-17
16-16
24-20
9-22
19-24
12-16
32-14
22-12
15-18
18-14
24-13
18-25
16-21
8-27
17-19
29-16
15-17
17-23
22-13
20-22
147.9Avg total
74.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.374.3146.6-1.932%
Season at home (10)74.973.5148.4+1.440%
Season away (9)69.475.1144.6-5.722%
Last 10 (10)74.473.5147.9+0.950%
Last 5 (5)74.073.8147.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.875.8146.6-4.919%
vs Similar (3)80.366.3146.7+14.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#1
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H29/10
Liga A
Sao Jose
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A01/11
South American League
El Bosque
#15
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H02/11
South American League
Tiburones
#10
W
103-92
103
92
+11
A04/11
South American League
Regatas
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H08/11
Super 4
Lanus
#3
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H15/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#10
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H17/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A21/11
South American League
Penarol
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H21/11
South American League
Regatas
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A22/11
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
9-23
22-19
16-14
24-19
17-9
18-19
25-24
19-14
30-17
23-18
23-18
28-12
21-29
21-24
33-27
17-20
13-22
19-22
25-17
16-17
14-19
10-19
23-21
15-24
24-12
15-16
13-14
12-16
16-23
18-21
28-27
11-22
19-19
20-21
30-16
15-20
22-18
16-23
19-17
154.9Avg total
77.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.272.6146.9+1.669%
Season at home (9)77.170.2147.3+6.978%
Season away (7)70.675.7146.3-5.157%
Last 10 (10)77.877.1154.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)71.277.0148.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.377.0149.3-4.733%
vs Similar (20)76.578.8155.2-2.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.369.7152.0+12.7100%
This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.0+4.0
ProgresistaLibertad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ProgresistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#15
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H13/10
Liga A
La Union
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A15/10
Liga A
Sionista
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/10
Liga A
Atenas
#11
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H27/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H29/10
Liga A
Argentino
#6
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H03/11
Liga A
de Julio de Morteros
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H05/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A15/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A17/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/11
Liga A
69.2Avg total
32.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)31.636.267.7-4.626%-
Last 30 at home (10)31.933.465.3-1.540%-
Last 30 away (9)31.239.270.4-8.011%-
Last 10 (10)32.536.769.2-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.638.669.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.436.367.7-4.925%-
vs Similar (3)32.735.368.0-2.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H29/10
Liga A
Sao Jose
#9
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A01/11
South American League
El Bosque
#15
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H02/11
South American League
Tiburones
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A04/11
South American League
Regatas
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H08/11
Super 4
Lanus
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H15/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H17/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A21/11
South American League
Penarol
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H21/11
South American League
Regatas
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/11
South American League
73.5Avg total
36.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.573.1+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.037.175.1+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)35.335.871.1-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.473.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.838.070.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.038.770.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (20)36.937.474.2-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.331.570.8+7.883%-
This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Progresista wins
2
Libertad wins
DateGameScore
08/10/12Progresista v Libertad65-68
01/10/12Libertad v Progresista79-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/12HQuimsa74-75
17/11/12ABoca Juniors70-83
15/11/12AObras Sanitarias75-70
05/11/12Hde Julio de Morteros85-66
03/11/12HArgentino66-75
29/10/12HOlimpico75-88
27/10/12HAtenas74-69
21/10/12ASionista69-76
15/10/12ALa Union70-65
13/10/12HLa Union86-68
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/12ARegatas72-78
21/11/12HPenarol80-78
21/11/12AObras Sanitarias74-87
17/11/12HGimnasia67-66
15/11/12HLanus63-76
08/11/12HRegatas74-81
04/11/12ATiburones103-92
02/11/12HEl Bosque95-67
01/11/12ASao Jose84-71
29/10/12HRegatas66-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Progresista
Liga A 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL32%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLWLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%40%22%
Points / game72.374.969.4
Allowed / game74.373.575.1
Point differential-1.9+1.4-5.7
Avg total146.6148.4144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)20% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Libertad
Liga A 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW69%
HomeWWLLW78%
AwayWWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%78%57%
Points / game74.277.170.6
Allowed / game72.670.275.7
Point differential+1.6+6.9-5.1
Avg total146.9147.3146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lanus1914574%77.572.5+5.0
2 Regatas1813572%76.470.3+6.1
3 Penarol1813572%79.174.4+4.7
4 Libertad1611569%74.272.6+1.6
5 Olimpico1912763%73.973.3+0.6
6 Quimsa2012860%77.173.8+3.3
7 Argentino1911858%76.775.5+1.3
8 Atenas1910953%74.977.3-2.4
9 Boca Juniors2091145%76.875.2+1.6
10 Gimnasia2091145%78.780.8-2.2
11 Sionista2091145%78.981.5-2.6
12 Weber Bahia1971237%80.882.3-1.5
13 Progresista1961332%72.374.3-1.9
14 de Julio de Morteros1961332%75.982.1-6.1
15 Obras Sanitarias1851328%78.280.9-2.8
16 La Union1941521%71.074.9-3.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Progresista2416223698
Libertad2022203294
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