Progresista vs Weber Bahia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Feb 2013

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 62-87

14-26 9-25 20-26 19-10

Position#16

Record10-27

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.3

Allowed / game81.0

Progresista

Weber Bahia 🏆

Position#12

Record16-21

FormWWLWL

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game81.1

Liga ARound 40

Other2012-13

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Progresista winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Weber Bahia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Progresista Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

68-101

101

-33

A22/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

71-97

-26

H17/01

Liga A

Olimpico

78-68

+10

H19/01

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

98-105

105

-7

A28/01

Liga A

Argentino

56-77

-21

A30/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

82-102

102

-20

H02/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

76-84

-8

H04/02

Liga A

Quimsa

76-95

-19

A09/02

Liga A

Libertad

69-81

-12

A11/02

Liga A

Penarol

104-111 OT

104

111

-7

H16/02

Liga A

16-27

21-17

13-27

18-30

24-18

9-23

17-30

21-26

10-14

24-11

13-15

31-28

26-37

20-27

18-21

34-20

11-14

14-15

15-23

16-25

19-27

22-26

18-27

23-22

25-28

10-16

24-23

17-17

22-23

20-23

19-25

15-24

14-24

23-15

20-23

12-19

19-31

22-32

26-14

31-21

169.9Avg total

77.8Scored

92.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	74.3	81.0	155.3	-6.7	27%
Season at home (19)	78.3	80.3	158.6	-2.1	42%
Season away (18)	70.1	81.8	151.9	-11.7	11%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	92.1	169.9	-14.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	94.6	176.0	-13.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	74.5	84.0	158.6	-9.5	25%
vs Similar (6)	81.0	76.3	157.3	+4.7	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Weber Bahia Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

75-61

+14

H17/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

80-76

H19/01

Liga A

Libertad

83-87

-4

A26/01

Liga A

Quimsa

88-91

-3

A28/01

Liga A

Libertad

86-84

H31/01

Liga A

Sionista

80-71

H02/02

Liga A

Regatas

78-69

H04/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

82-84

-2

H08/02

Liga A

Lanus

75-74

H11/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

67-76

-9

A16/02

Liga A

20-14

16-17

17-19

22-11

27-19

15-16

21-22

17-19

19-19

22-17

15-26

27-25

21-24

30-29

22-20

15-18

27-32

24-20

12-12

23-20

18-18

23-19

18-19

21-15

17-16

21-10

16-23

24-20

19-20

18-14

20-18

25-32

14-19

19-15

12-16

30-24

16-18

15-22

24-9

12-27

156.7Avg total

79.4Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	80.7	81.1	161.8	-0.4	43%
Season at home (20)	80.3	77.2	157.6	+3.0	70%
Season away (17)	81.2	85.6	166.8	-4.4	12%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	77.3	156.7	+2.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	74.8	151.2	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	82.8	74.8	157.5	+8.0	75%
vs Similar (21)	79.6	82.3	162.0	-2.7	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	81.4	75.6	157.0	+5.8	60%

This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ProgresistaWeber Bahia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	21.4	38.5	-4.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.8	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.2	23.8	40.0	-7.5	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	24.3	42.9	-5.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	26.6	46.4	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.9	21.3	38.2	-4.4	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.7	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.2	35.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	75%	-
vs Similar (21)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.5	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.1	35.5	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.9	17.9	34.9	-1.0	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.5	18.2	35.8	-0.7	42%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.5	17.8	34.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.0	15.8	36.8	+5.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.7	20.8	37.5	-4.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.0	35.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	15.8	32.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.1	19.0	38.2	+0.1	48%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.0	15.2	36.2	+5.8	80%	-

ProgresistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

37-44

-7

A22/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

33-41

-8

H17/01

Liga A

Olimpico

34-25

H19/01

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

46-64

-18

A28/01

Liga A

Argentino

25-29

-4

A30/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

41-53

-12

H02/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

35-44

-9

H04/02

Liga A

Quimsa

42-46

-4

A09/02

Liga A

Libertad

37-39

-2

A11/02

Liga A

Penarol

41-63

-22

H16/02

Liga A

81.9Avg total

37.1Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.5	39.5	74.0	-5.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	34.8	37.5	72.3	-2.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.1	42.2	76.2	-8.1	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	44.8	81.9	-7.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	49.0	88.2	-9.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	34.4	39.5	73.9	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.7	39.7	74.3	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Weber BahiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

36-31

H17/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

42-35

H19/01

Liga A

Libertad

41-36

A26/01

Liga A

Quimsa

51-53

-2

A28/01

Liga A

Libertad

51-52

-1

H31/01

Liga A

Sionista

41-37

H02/02

Liga A

Regatas

38-26

+12

H04/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

37-34

H08/02

Liga A

Lanus

33-34

-1

H11/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

31-40

-9

A16/02

Liga A

77.9Avg total

40.1Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	38.2	77.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.7	35.6	76.3	+5.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.9	41.5	78.5	-4.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	37.8	77.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	34.2	70.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.0	35.0	71.0	+1.0	75%	-
vs Similar (21)	39.4	39.8	79.2	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	40.2	33.8	74.0	+6.4	80%	-

This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.4	19.5	36.8	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	22.8	41.1	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.3	46%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.2	19.1	37.3	-0.9	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.4	36.1	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.9	42.6	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.7	21.7	43.4	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.2	45.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.1	23.0	43.1	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.0	17.8	40.8	+5.2	83%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.1	24.0	47.1	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.6	46.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	28.0	19.8	47.8	+8.2	100%	-
vs Similar (21)	21.1	23.0	44.2	-1.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	42.3	83.0	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.7	42.7	86.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.8	41.7	78.5	-4.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	46.0	86.1	-5.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	43.0	84.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	39.9	44.0	83.9	-4.1	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.0	35.3	79.3	+8.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	41.7	82.7	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.6	40.4	78.9	-1.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.1	43.5	87.5	+0.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	39.5	78.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.6	81.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	46.8	39.8	86.5	+7.0	75%	-
vs Similar (21)	40.2	42.5	82.8	-2.3	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	39.4	39.8	79.2	-0.4	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Progresista wins

Weber Bahia wins

Date	Game	Score
03/12/12	Weber Bahia v Progresista	87-67

Progresistalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/13	H	Penarol	104-111 OT
11/02/13	A	Libertad	69-81
09/02/13	A	Quimsa	76-95
04/02/13	H	Boca Juniors	76-84
02/02/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	82-102
30/01/13	A	Argentino	56-77
28/01/13	A	de Julio de Morteros	98-105
19/01/13	H	Olimpico	78-68
17/01/13	H	Atenas	71-97
22/12/12	A	Sionista	68-101

Weber Bahialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/13	A	La Union	67-76
11/02/13	H	Lanus	75-74
08/02/13	H	Gimnasia	82-84
04/02/13	H	Regatas	78-69
02/02/13	H	Sionista	80-71
31/01/13	H	Libertad	86-84
28/01/13	A	Quimsa	88-91
26/01/13	A	Libertad	83-87
19/01/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	80-76
17/01/13	H	Boca Juniors	75-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Progresista

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	27%
Home	LWLLL	42%
Away	LLLLL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	27%	42%	11%
Points / game	74.3	78.3	70.1
Allowed / game	81.0	80.3	81.8
Point differential	-6.7	-2.1	-11.7
Avg total	155.3	158.6	151.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	16%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	43% (7)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

Weber Bahia

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	43%
Home	WWWLW	70%
Away	LLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	20	17
Win %	43%	70%	12%
Points / game	80.7	80.3	81.2
Allowed / game	81.1	77.2	85.6
Point differential	-0.4	+3.0	-4.4
Avg total	161.8	157.6	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	20%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	35% (17)	71% (7)	10% (10)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	38	27	11	71%	78.6	72.8	+5.8
2	Penarol	38	27	11	71%	82.2	77.0	+5.2
3	Lanus	36	24	12	67%	76.3	73.4	+2.9
4	Boca Juniors	37	23	14	62%	80.7	74.6	+6.1
5	Olimpico	37	21	16	57%	75.6	76.0	-0.4
6	Libertad	37	20	17	54%	78.3	77.5	+0.7
7	Argentino	37	20	17	54%	78.9	78.4	+0.5
8	Quimsa	36	19	17	53%	79.4	77.2	+2.2
9	Atenas	38	19	19	50%	77.0	79.6	-2.6
10	Gimnasia	38	18	20	47%	80.2	80.6	-0.4
11	Sionista	38	18	20	47%	78.9	80.1	-1.2
12	Weber Bahia	37	16	21	43%	80.7	81.1	-0.4
13	Obras Sanitarias	37	14	23	38%	79.8	80.7	-0.9
14	de Julio de Morteros	37	12	25	32%	79.7	85.2	-5.6
15	Progresista	37	10	27	27%	74.3	81.0	-6.7
16	La Union	38	10	28	26%	73.2	78.5	-5.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Progresista	14	9	20	19	62
Weber Bahia	26	25	26	10	87

← all games of the day

Progresista vs Weber Bahia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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