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Promo vs Sloboda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-78
22-23 10-15 16-16 25-24
Position#10
Record8-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Sloboda 🏆
Bosnia-and-Herzegovina
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game76.5
Bosnia-and-HerzegovinaPrvenstvo BiHRound 22· Sportska dvorana Donji Vakuf
Other2023-24
Meetings · Promo v Sloboda
17 Apr 2027
PROM v SLOB
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
PROM73
SLOB83
25 Jan 2025
PROM71
SLOB59
23 Mar 2024
PROM73
SLOB78
10 Dec 2022
PROM71
SLOB68
20 Nov 2021
PROM78
SLOB103
05 Dec 2020
PROM69
SLOB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Promo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sloboda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PromoBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromo
Date
Competition
Leotar Trebinje
#8
L
98-110 OT
98
110
-12
no box
A24/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Prijedor
#12
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
no box
H30/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#4
L
59-67
59
67
-8
53avg 68
A12/01
Prvenstvo BiH
Spars Ilidza
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
93avg 68
H20/01
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#9
L
66-75
66
75
-9
59avg 68
A28/01
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#2
L
59-72
59
72
-13
57avg 68
H07/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#11
W
81-79
81
79
+2
70avg 68
H11/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Posusje
#13
L
57-68
57
68
-11
49avg 68
A02/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 68
H09/03
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
59avg 68
A16/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
23-12
13-32
34-30
22-19
17-17
19-23
21-20
8-17
16-25
18-10
17-15
24-12
21-20
16-19
27-22
16-25
22-13
14-20
14-17
21-21
12-21
13-18
13-12
15-20
23-17
21-25
22-17
18-17
14-20
11-16
14-15
10-20
35-24
19-19
22-16
15-24
19-19
13-22
24-20
154.9Avg total
75.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.781.9158.6-5.238%
Season at home (10)79.078.8157.8+0.260%
Season away (11)74.584.7159.3-10.218%
Last 10 (10)75.479.5154.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)70.876.6147.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.983.0152.9-13.120%
vs Similar (12)81.083.0164.0-2.042%
vs Weaker (3)77.381.0158.3-3.733%
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSloboda
Date
Competition
Mrkonjic Grad
#9
W
103-88
103
88
+15
97avg 75
H03/02
Prvenstvo BiH
OKK Beograd
#11
W
100-83
100
83
+17
99avg 75
A10/02
First League
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
72-65
72
65
+7
60avg 75
A11/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Leskovac Zdravlje
#16
W
75-73
75
73
+2
73avg 75
H28/02
First League
Prijedor
#12
W
80-71 OT
80
71
+9
no box
H01/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Mladost Zemun
#13
W
97-68
97
68
+29
93avg 75
A04/03
First League
Borac Banja Luka
#4
L
66-83
66
83
-17
51avg 75
A09/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
55avg 75
H09/03
First League
Spartak Subotica
#2
L
89-106
89
106
-17
70avg 75
A14/03
First League
Spars Ilidza
#6
W
81-67
81
67
+14
75avg 75
H17/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
25-24
25-17
33-22
24-20
26-18
25-21
25-24
17-24
13-19
19-7
23-15
23-25
16-14
18-13
18-21
18-21
12-14
14-17
21-13
17-14
26-21
27-17
27-16
11-17
13-25
26-17
16-24
17-19
24-28
12-17
21-17
27-23
16-26
27-25
19-32
18-21
22-12
25-12
16-22
162.2Avg total
83.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.476.5158.9+5.962%
Season at home (11)80.771.9152.6+8.873%
Season away (10)84.281.6165.8+2.650%
Last 10 (10)83.778.5162.2+5.270%
Last 5 (5)81.481.0162.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.083.6154.6-12.60%
vs Similar (9)82.283.3165.6-1.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.076.4162.4+9.681%
This opponent (Promo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
PromoSloboda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PromoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A24/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Prijedor
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H30/12
Prvenstvo BiH
Borac Banja Luka
#4
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A12/01
Prvenstvo BiH
Spars Ilidza
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H20/01
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A28/01
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H07/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H11/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Posusje
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A02/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#7
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/03
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/03
Prvenstvo BiH
75.8Avg total
37.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.979.8-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.140.579.6-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)38.641.379.9-2.744%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.375.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.677.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.743.980.7-7.227%-
vs Similar (12)41.038.679.6+2.450%-
vs Weaker (3)40.735.376.0+5.3100%-
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mrkonjic Grad
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H03/02
Prvenstvo BiH
OKK Beograd
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A10/02
First League
Leotar Trebinje
#8
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A11/02
Prvenstvo BiH
Leskovac Zdravlje
#16
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/02
First League
Prijedor
#12
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H01/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Mladost Zemun
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A04/03
First League
Borac Banja Luka
#4
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A09/03
Prvenstvo BiH
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H09/03
First League
Spartak Subotica
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/03
First League
Spars Ilidza
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/03
Prvenstvo BiH
79.5Avg total
38.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.080.3-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.342.281.5-2.921%-
Last 30 away (16)39.439.979.3-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.079.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.279.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.244.483.6-5.20%-
vs Similar (9)39.641.481.0-1.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.339.678.9-0.338%-
This opponent (Promo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Promotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promo: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.0
50.9%
54.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.2
30.4%
33.4%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.416.1
71.9%
69.0%16.1
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slobodatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.5
51.9%
54.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.8
33.5%
33.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.117.1
71.0%
69.0%17.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Promo
LWLWLLWLWL
Sloboda
WLLLWWWWWW
#10
League position
#5
-4.8
Net rating
+6.6
96.6
Offensive rating
108.2
101.4
Defensive rating
101.6
49.0%
Effective FG%
51.3%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
22.1%
Turnover %
12.6%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.4%
3-point %
33.5%
50.8%
Assist %
52.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 108.2Defence101.4 · 101.6Shooting49.0% · 51.3%3-point %30.4% · 33.5%Ball care22.1% · 12.6%Off. rebounds26.3% · 24.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Promo   ■ Sloboda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Promo wins
5
Sloboda wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Sloboda v Promo90-72
11/03/23Sloboda v Promo84-73
10/12/22Promo v Sloboda71-68
12/03/22Sloboda v Promo90-70
20/11/21Promo v Sloboda78-103
20/03/21Sloboda v Promo81-85
05/12/20Promo v Sloboda69-78
Promolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24AKK Bosna71-85
09/03/24HOrlovik86-79
02/03/24APosusje57-68
11/02/24HSlavija81-79
07/02/24HSiroki Brijeg59-72
28/01/24AMrkonjic Grad66-75
20/01/24HSpars Ilidza88-73
12/01/24ABorac Banja Luka59-67
30/12/23HPrijedor89-87 OT
24/12/23ALeotar Trebinje98-110 OT
Slobodalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HSpars Ilidza81-67
14/03/24ASpartak Subotica89-106
09/03/24HVojvodina Novi Sad74-81
09/03/24ABorac Banja Luka66-83
04/03/24AMladost Zemun97-68
01/03/24HPrijedor80-71 OT
28/02/24HLeskovac Zdravlje75-73
11/02/24ALeotar Trebinje72-65
10/02/24AOKK Beograd100-83
03/02/24HMrkonjic Grad103-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Promo
Prvenstvo BiH 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game76.779.074.5
Allowed / game81.978.884.7
Point differential-5.2+0.2-10.2
Avg total158.6157.8159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %19%10%27%
Sloboda
Prvenstvo BiH 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%73%50%
Points / game82.480.784.2
Allowed / game76.571.981.6
Point differential+5.9+8.8+2.6
Avg total158.9152.6165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %19%18%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siroki Brijeg2119290%84.068.0+16.0
2 KK Bosna2117481%88.875.4+13.4
3 Sloboda2113862%82.476.5+5.9
4 Borac Banja Luka2113862%73.468.1+5.3
5 Mrkonjic Grad21111052%81.680.2+1.3
6 Spars Ilidza21111052%86.988.2-1.4
7 Orlovik2191243%81.284.0-2.8
8 Leotar Trebinje2191243%80.283.5-3.3
9 Promo2181338%76.781.9-5.2
10 Slavija2161529%75.985.1-9.3
11 Posusje2161529%73.285.9-12.7
12 Prijedor2141719%78.786.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Promo2210162573
Sloboda2315162478
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