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Providence vs Butler Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 69-75
31-39 38-36
Position#300
Record12-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Butler 🏆
USA
Position#266
Record13-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Providence v Butler
12 Dec 2026
PROV v BUTL
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
PROV97
BUTL87
12 Mar 2025
PROV69
BUTL75
08 Jan 2025
PROV84
BUTL65
23 Dec 2023
PROV85
BUTL75
25 Jan 2023
PROV79
BUTL58
10 Mar 2022
PROV65
BUTL61
23 Jan 2022
PROV69
BUTL62
30 Dec 2020
PROV71
BUTL55
12 Mar 2020
PROV v BUTL
upcoming
10 Jan 2020
PROV58
BUTL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Providence winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Butler winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H06/02
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H13/02
NCAA
Villanova
#138
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A20/02
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A26/02
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
21-25
45-43
39-40
30-40
39-41
42-41
30-45
52-46
36-24
39-38
31-48
41-45
32-43
20-39
33-41
30-34
39-28
38-52
32-36
36-40
149.4Avg total
70.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)71.472.4143.8-1.039%
Season at home (18)73.269.5142.7+3.756%
Season away (13)69.076.5145.5-7.515%
Last 10 (10)70.578.9149.4-8.410%
Last 5 (5)66.481.2147.6-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)69.874.4144.2-4.518%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.970.9143.8+2.050%
vs Weaker (3)79.772.3152.0+7.3100%
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#176
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A31/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
W
84-54
84
54
+30
A05/02
NCAA
Providence
#300
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H15/02
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A19/02
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A23/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Villanova
#138
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A01/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H06/03
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-36
33-37
48-20
36-34
41-39
41-42
46-35
51-51
31-48
32-28
40-34
44-38
32-38
38-38
35-43
35-37
40-44
38-47
44-52
30-35
154.8Avg total
77.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.473.8148.2+0.542%
Season at home (19)76.272.5148.6+3.753%
Season away (12)71.576.0147.5-4.525%
Last 10 (10)77.277.6154.8-0.440%
Last 5 (5)75.281.2156.4-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.278.2149.4-7.012%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.969.5147.4+8.573%
vs Weaker (2)83.065.5148.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -0.9-0.9
ProvidenceButler
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
21-25
21
25
-4
A01/02
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/02
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H13/02
NCAA
Villanova
#138
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A20/02
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A26/02
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A08/03
NCAA
70.3Avg total
33.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.468.0-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.234.469.6+0.947%-
Last 30 away (13)31.534.566.0-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)33.237.170.3-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)33.439.272.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.634.468.0-0.747%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.934.667.5-1.740%-
vs Weaker (3)35.734.370.0+1.333%-
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#176
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
W
48-20
48
20
+28
A05/02
NCAA
Providence
#300
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H15/02
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A19/02
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Villanova
#138
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H06/03
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A08/03
NCAA
78.3Avg total
39.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.836.372.1-0.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.636.773.2-0.161%-
Last 30 away (12)34.835.770.4-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.978.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.280.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.938.672.5-4.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.334.271.5+3.182%-
vs Weaker (2)44.527.572.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Providence wins
2
Butler wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Butler v Providence82-81
09/01/25Providence v Butler84-65
10/02/24Butler v Providence75-72
23/12/23Providence v Butler85-75 OT
26/01/23Providence v Butler79-58
29/12/22Butler v Providence52-72
10/03/22Providence v Butler65-61
20/02/22Butler v Providence70-71 OT
23/01/22Providence v Butler69-62
30/12/20Providence v Butler71-55
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AXavier68-76
05/03/25HDePaul77-80
01/03/25HUconn63-75
26/02/25AMarquette52-82
20/02/25AGeorgetown72-93
15/02/25HVillanova75-62
13/02/25HXavier82-91
08/02/25AButler81-82
06/02/25HCreighton69-80
01/02/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)66-68
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ACreighton74-87
06/03/25HXavier78-91
01/03/25AVillanova70-80
27/02/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)70-76
23/02/25ADePaul84-72
19/02/25AXavier63-76
15/02/25HGeorgetown97-86
08/02/25HProvidence82-81
05/02/25ASeton Hall84-54
31/01/25AGeorgetown70-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Providence
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL39%
HomeLLWLL56%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %39%56%15%
Points / game71.473.269.0
Allowed / game72.469.576.5
Point differential-1.0+3.7-7.5
Avg total143.8142.7145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%39%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)25% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Butler
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeLWWLL53%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %42%53%25%
Points / game74.476.271.5
Allowed / game73.872.576.0
Point differential+0.5+3.7-4.5
Avg total148.2148.6147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%32%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)43% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. John's (N.Y.)3127487%78.666.3+12.4
2 Uconn3122971%78.068.3+9.7
3 Marquette3122971%76.967.6+9.3
4 Creighton3122971%75.469.0+6.4
5 Xavier32221069%77.269.8+7.4
6 Villanova31181358%74.167.7+6.4
7 Georgetown31171455%71.868.7+3.1
8 Butler31131842%74.473.8+0.5
9 DePaul31131842%72.674.1-1.5
10 Providence31121939%71.472.4-1.0
11 Seton Hall3172423%61.870.3-8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Providence313869
Butler393675
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