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Providence vs Creighton Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 93-88
45-46 48-42
Position#246
Record8-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#238
Record11-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Providence v Creighton
16 Jan 2026
PROV93
CREI88
05 Feb 2025
PROV69
CREI80
07 Feb 2024
PROV91
CREI87
14 Feb 2023
PROV94
CREI86
11 Mar 2022
PROV58
CREI85
26 Feb 2022
PROV72
CREI51
02 Jan 2021
PROV65
CREI67
05 Feb 2020
PROV73
CREI56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Providence winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Creighton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A28/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H06/12
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H10/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A10/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-45
39-45
52-21
42-43
41-37
49-34
42-37
44-42
45-41
44-48
28-35
39-37
31-38
46-33
47-37
42-52
35-44
49-53
34-46
48-42
171.4Avg total
86.6Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.785.1173.8+3.647%
Season at home (10)89.380.7170.0+8.660%
Season away (7)87.991.4179.3-3.629%
Last 10 (10)86.684.8171.4+1.840%
Last 5 (5)81.686.2167.8-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.482.5156.9-8.117%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.385.8171.1-0.531%
vs Weaker (5)85.468.2153.6+17.2100%
This opponent (Creighton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CreightonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A07/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H13/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
98-57
98
57
+41
A17/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H21/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H23/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H31/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A04/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A08/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H10/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
19-33
31-38
33-51
43-32
49-22
49-35
46-32
38-31
43-34
49-35
44-35
45-50
27-18
27-38
30-34
46-38
34-52
39-38
38-36
38-40
150.7Avg total
77.8Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.772.3149.9+5.461%
Season at home (12)81.972.8154.8+9.175%
Season away (6)69.271.2140.3-2.033%
Last 10 (10)77.872.9150.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)75.677.2152.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.978.1144.0-12.210%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.171.8153.9+10.380%
vs Weaker (5)82.065.2147.2+16.8100%
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +3.0+3.0
ProvidenceCreighton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H03/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H13/01
NCAA
77.5Avg total
39.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.873.6-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.435.874.1+2.659%-
Last 30 away (13)34.738.272.9-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.177.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.075.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.839.273.1-5.417%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.538.376.8+0.254%-
vs Weaker (5)39.227.266.4+12.0100%-
This opponent (Creighton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CreightonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A07/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H13/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
49-22
49
22
+27
A17/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H23/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H31/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
27-18
27
18
+9
A04/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A08/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H10/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H14/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
36.3Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.073.0+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.436.476.9+4.078%-
Last 30 away (12)34.532.867.2+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)36.334.771.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.069.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.436.567.9-5.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.135.178.3+8.087%-
vs Weaker (5)36.231.467.6+4.880%-
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Providence wins
5
Creighton wins
DateGameScore
06/02/25Providence v Creighton69-80
15/01/25Creighton v Providence84-64
14/03/24Creighton v Providence73-78
08/02/24Providence v Creighton91-87 OT
06/01/24Creighton v Providence69-60
15/02/23Providence v Creighton94-86 OT
14/01/23Creighton v Providence73-67
11/03/22Providence v Creighton58-85
27/02/22Providence v Creighton72-51
21/01/21Creighton v Providence70-74
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26HVillanova82-88
10/01/26AXavier84-97
08/01/26HUconn98-103 OT
03/01/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)77-71
19/12/25HSeton Hall67-72
13/12/25AButler110-113 OT
10/12/25HBrown86-79
06/12/25HRhode Island90-71
03/12/25HFairleigh Dickinson94-64
28/11/25AFlorida78-90
Creightonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HGeorgetown86-83 OT
10/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)73-90
08/01/26AVillanova76-72
04/01/26ASeton Hall54-56
31/12/25HButler89-85
23/12/25HUtah Tech92-69
21/12/25HMarquette84-63
17/12/25AXavier98-57
13/12/25HKansas State76-83
07/12/25ANebraska50-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Providence
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL47%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %47%60%29%
Points / game88.789.387.9
Allowed / game85.180.791.4
Point differential+3.6+8.6-3.6
Avg total173.8170.0179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %18%10%29%
Creighton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW61%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %61%75%33%
Points / game77.781.969.2
Allowed / game72.372.871.2
Point differential+5.4+9.1-2.0
Avg total149.9154.8140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%58%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn1817194%79.363.3+15.9
2 Seton Hall1714382%73.263.1+10.2
3 Villanova1714382%78.668.6+9.9
4 St. John's (N.Y.)1912763%82.573.9+8.6
5 Creighton1811761%77.772.3+5.4
6 Xavier1811761%77.475.7+1.8
7 Butler1710759%83.576.2+7.3
8 DePaul1710759%72.968.6+4.2
9 Georgetown179853%77.574.7+2.8
10 Providence178947%88.785.1+3.6
11 Marquette1861233%74.377.2-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Providence454893
Creighton464288
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