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Xavier vs Providence Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 97-84
44-35 53-49
Position#248
Record9-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.2
Xavier 🏆
USA
vs
Providence
USA
Position#246
Record8-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game84.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Xavier v Providence
10 Jan 2026
XAVI97
PROV84
08 Mar 2025
XAVI76
PROV68
21 Feb 2024
XAVI75
PROV79
01 Feb 2023
XAVI85
PROV83
26 Jan 2022
XAVI62
PROV65
10 Jan 2021
XAVI74
PROV73
08 Feb 2020
XAVI64
PROV58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xavier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Providence winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H28/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H02/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
57-98
57
98
-41
H17/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A21/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H31/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
42-40
43-33
45-34
44-33
52-41
37-37
42-37
31-28
44-29
22-49
35-49
35-40
45-37
28-43
39-47
37-40
40-46
27-37
38-29
151.9Avg total
76.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.575.2150.7+0.356%
Season at home (12)77.074.4151.4+2.667%
Season away (4)71.077.5148.5-6.525%
Last 10 (10)76.275.7151.9+0.560%
Last 5 (5)69.283.4152.6-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.175.9149.0-2.850%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.776.3153.1+0.453%
vs Weaker (7)84.071.3155.3+12.7100%
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#298
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A22/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
83-104
83
104
-21
H27/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A28/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H06/12
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H10/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-31
45-34
32-51
51-53
39-45
39-45
52-21
42-43
41-37
49-34
42-37
44-42
45-41
44-48
28-35
39-37
31-38
46-33
47-37
42-52
169.2Avg total
86.0Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.584.1173.6+5.353%
Season at home (9)90.179.9170.0+10.267%
Season away (6)88.590.5179.0-2.033%
Last 10 (10)86.083.2169.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)87.687.6175.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.981.6154.5-8.715%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.484.8170.2+0.633%
vs Weaker (5)85.468.2153.6+17.2100%
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +2.0+2.0
XavierProvidence
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H28/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H06/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
22-49
22
49
-27
H17/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A21/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H31/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A08/01
NCAA
70.8Avg total
34.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.572.5+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.534.371.7+3.268%-
Last 30 away (11)36.337.573.8-1.327%-
Last 10 (10)34.036.870.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)29.841.871.6-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.937.170.0-4.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.436.673.0-0.240%-
vs Weaker (7)43.131.174.3+12.0100%-
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#298
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A22/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H27/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H03/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H08/01
NCAA
76.2Avg total
38.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.373.2+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.635.173.8+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)34.837.772.5-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.376.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.676.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.138.572.5-4.423%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.837.876.7+1.058%-
vs Weaker (5)39.227.266.4+12.0100%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Xavier wins
4
Providence wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Xavier v Providence76-68
13/02/25Providence v Xavier82-91
22/02/24Xavier v Providence75-79
13/01/24Providence v Xavier65-85
01/03/23Providence v Xavier89-94
01/02/23Xavier v Providence85-83 OT
24/02/22Providence v Xavier99-92 OT
26/01/22Xavier v Providence62-65
25/02/21Providence v Xavier83-68
10/01/21Xavier v Providence74-73
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AMarquette65-66
03/01/26ADePaul77-86
31/12/25HUconn67-90
21/12/25AGeorgetown80-77
17/12/25HCreighton57-98
13/12/25HMissouri State75-57
06/12/25HCincinnati79-74
02/12/25HSt. Francis (PA)96-74
28/11/25HTexas A&M-CC88-67
23/11/25HWest Virginia78-68
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HUconn98-103 OT
03/01/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)77-71
19/12/25HSeton Hall67-72
13/12/25AButler110-113 OT
10/12/25HBrown86-79
06/12/25HRhode Island90-71
03/12/25HFairleigh Dickinson94-64
28/11/25AFlorida78-90
27/11/25HWisconsin83-104
22/11/25APenn State77-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xavier
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL56%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %56%67%25%
Points / game75.577.071.0
Allowed / game75.274.477.5
Point differential+0.3+2.6-6.5
Avg total150.7151.4148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Providence
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%67%33%
Points / game89.590.188.5
Allowed / game84.179.990.5
Point differential+5.3+10.2-2.0
Avg total173.6170.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%56%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %20%11%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn1716194%79.963.3+16.6
2 Seton Hall1513287%73.762.4+11.3
3 Villanova1613381%78.067.8+10.2
4 Butler1610662%84.175.4+8.6
5 St. John's (N.Y.)1811761%82.074.3+7.7
6 Georgetown159660%77.873.9+3.9
7 Creighton1710759%77.271.6+5.5
8 DePaul1710759%72.968.6+4.2
9 Xavier169756%75.575.2+0.3
10 Providence158753%89.584.1+5.3
11 Marquette1761135%74.676.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Xavier445397
Providence354984
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