Puente Alto faces Puerto Montt in the LNB on 13 November 2026, with the model favouring Puente Alto and predicting a 67% chance of a home win and a 33% chance for the visitors; the projected score is 82-77 and the total is 158.2 points. Puente Alto, 24-21 in the league and fourth in the standings, averages 81.3 points and allows 80.3, while at home they are 14-8, scoring 85.2 and conceding 79.3; their last five games include one win and four losses, and they have recently lost 66-89 and 64-65 to Puerto Montt and 78-98 to U. De Concepcion. Puerto Montt, 19-25 and ninth, averages 78.3 points and allows 81.1, with a road record of 8-13, 75.4 points and 80.5 allowed; their last five games include two wins and three losses, and they have recently beaten Puente Alto 89-66 and 65-64 and lost 68-89 to Leones Quilpue. In head-to-head play Puerto Montt leads 6-4, most recently defeating Puente Alto 89-66 on 7 November. The home line is -2.5 with a 60% chance of covering, the over line is 154.5 with a 58% probability, and the game has a 5% chance of overtime. Puente Alto's recent struggles against Puerto Montt suggest a tight contest, but the home advantage and better season record give them the edge.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (45) | 81.3 | 80.3 | 161.6 | +1.0 | 53% |
| Season at home (22) | 85.2 | 79.3 | 164.5 | +5.9 | 64% |
| Season away (23) | 77.5 | 81.3 | 158.8 | -3.8 | 43% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.4 | 80.0 | 156.4 | -3.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 70.4 | 82.4 | 152.8 | -12.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 76.7 | 87.4 | 164.1 | -10.7 | 7% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 75.8 | 81.1 | 156.9 | -5.4 | 38% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 84.6 | 72.5 | 157.1 | +12.1 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (44) | 78.3 | 81.1 | 159.4 | -2.8 | 43% |
| Season at home (23) | 80.9 | 81.6 | 162.5 | -0.7 | 48% |
| Season away (21) | 75.4 | 80.5 | 155.9 | -5.1 | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.7 | 77.0 | 150.7 | -3.3 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.8 | 77.8 | 151.6 | -4.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 72.1 | 84.9 | 157.0 | -12.8 | 10% |
| vs Similar ◀ (18) | 80.8 | 75.4 | 156.3 | +5.4 | 72% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 78.0 | 70.5 | 148.5 | +7.5 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 39.7 | 41.0 | 80.7 | -1.3 | 48% | 59% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 44.5 | 43.3 | 87.8 | +1.2 | 62% | 85% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 35.8 | 39.1 | 74.9 | -3.4 | 38% | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.1 | 37.2 | 77.3 | +2.9 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.6 | 40.0 | 74.6 | -5.4 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 36.4 | 45.2 | 81.6 | -8.8 | 23% | 62% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 40.4 | 38.0 | 78.4 | +2.4 | 62% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 44.4 | 37.1 | 81.5 | +7.2 | 75% | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.3 | 39.6 | 78.9 | -0.2 | 40% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.1 | 39.8 | 78.9 | -0.8 | 31% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 39.6 | 39.3 | 78.9 | +0.4 | 50% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.7 | 39.9 | 74.6 | -5.2 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.0 | 38.8 | 73.8 | -3.8 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 38.5 | 40.4 | 78.9 | -1.9 | 30% | 70% |
| vs Similar ◀ (18) | 39.3 | 39.2 | 78.5 | +0.2 | 39% | 61% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 43.5 | 39.0 | 82.5 | +4.5 | 100% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puerto Montt under 83.5 | 74.9% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +14.1pp | Lost |
| Puerto Montt under 84.5 | 77.8% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +13.8pp | Lost |
| Puerto Montt under 82.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Lost |
| Puente Alto over 74.5 | 75.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Puente Alto over 75.5 | 72.4% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Puerto Montt over 70.5 | 72.0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.9 | 18.0 | 52.2% | 36.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.2 | 9.7 | 31.9% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.0 | 11.5 | 71.0% | 11.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.6 | 20.1 | 52.2% | 40.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.7 | 8.2 | 31.9% | 24.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.7 | 10.6 | 71.0% | 10.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | Puerto Montt v Puente Alto | 89-66 |
| 06/11/26 | Puerto Montt v Puente Alto | 65-64 |
| 15/10/26 | Puerto Montt v Puente Alto | 86-72 |
| 11/10/26 | Puente Alto v Puerto Montt | 86-79 |
| 29/04/24 | Puerto Montt v Puente Alto | 73-85 |
| 21/01/24 | Puente Alto v Puerto Montt | 67-71 |
| 23/04/23 | Puente Alto v Puerto Montt | 95-101 OT |
| 12/02/23 | Puerto Montt v Puente Alto | 68-83 |
| 13/03/22 | Puerto Montt v Puente Alto | 82-63 |
| 09/01/22 | Puente Alto v Puerto Montt | 75-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Puerto Montt | 66-89 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Puerto Montt | 64-65 |
| 30/10/26 | A | U. De Concepcion | 78-98 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Leones Quilpue | 66-90 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Ancud | 78-70 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Puerto Montt | 72-86 |
| 14/10/26 | A | CD Puerto Varas | 75-70 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Puerto Montt | 86-79 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Ancud | 90-77 |
| 07/10/26 | H | CD Puerto Varas | 89-76 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Puente Alto | 89-66 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Puente Alto | 65-64 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Leones Quilpue | 68-89 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Espanol Osorno | 75-82 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Valdivia | 72-88 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Valdivia | 70-81 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Espanol Osorno | 79-67 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Puente Alto | 86-72 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Puente Alto | 79-86 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Leones Quilpue | 54-75 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 53% |
| Home | WLWWW | 64% |
| Away | WLLLL | 43% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 45 | 22 | 23 |
| Win % | 53% | 64% | 43% |
| Points / game | 81.3 | 85.2 | 77.5 |
| Allowed / game | 80.3 | 79.3 | 81.3 |
| Point differential | +1.0 | +5.9 | -3.8 |
| Avg total | 161.6 | 164.5 | 158.8 |
| Over 154.5 | 69% | 77% | 61% |
| Win by 10+ | 27% | 41% | 13% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 43% (7) | 50% (2) | 40% (5) |
| Overtime % | 2% | 5% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWW | 43% |
| Home | LLLWW | 48% |
| Away | LLLWL | 38% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 44 | 23 | 21 |
| Win % | 43% | 48% | 38% |
| Points / game | 78.3 | 80.9 | 75.4 |
| Allowed / game | 81.1 | 81.6 | 80.5 |
| Point differential | -2.8 | -0.7 | -5.1 |
| Avg total | 159.4 | 162.5 | 155.9 |
| Over 154.5 | 66% | 74% | 57% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 26% | 24% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 54% (13) | 57% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Overtime % | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 83% | 93.0 | 78.0 | +15.0 | |
| 2 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 79% | 83.1 | 75.4 | +7.7 | |
| 3 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 79% | 86.5 | 74.9 | +11.6 | |
| 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 53% | 81.3 | 80.3 | +1.0 | |
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 53% | 84.2 | 80.6 | +3.6 | |
| 6 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 49% | 78.1 | 78.3 | -0.2 | |
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 44% | 82.3 | 93.7 | -11.4 | |
| 8 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 44% | 77.7 | 82.2 | -4.5 | |
| 9 | 44 | 19 | 25 | 43% | 78.3 | 81.1 | -2.8 | |
| 10 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 35% | 80.3 | 83.7 | -3.3 | |
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 23 | 32% | 76.4 | 82.7 | -6.4 | |
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 29% | 78.1 | 88.1 | -10.0 | |
| 13 | 35 | 10 | 25 | 29% | 78.6 | 81.6 | -3.0 | |
| 14 | 32 | 5 | 27 | 16% | 76.1 | 89.6 | -13.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 78 | |
| 26 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 87 |
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