Puerto Montt vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 87-86

18-17 21-16 26-21 22-32

Position#7

Record21-23

FormLWLLW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game79.5

Puerto Montt 🏆

Deportes Castro

Position#9

Record17-26

FormLLWWL

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game78.0

LNBLNB - Semi-finals

Other2016-17

Meetings · Puerto Montt v Deportes Castro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Puerto Montt winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Deportes Castro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Puerto Montt Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ancud

60-84

-24

H21/01

LNB

Ancud

92-81

+11

H22/01

LNB

Ancud

83-91

-8

A29/01

LNB

Ancud

71-78

-7

H04/02

LNB

Deportes Castro

80-72

A19/02

LNB

Las Animas

97-99 OT

-2

A19/02

LNB

Deportes Castro

98-82

+16

H25/02

LNB

Deportes Castro

87-92

-5

H26/02

LNB

Deportes Castro

70-92

-22

A05/03

LNB

Deportes Castro

78-69

A05/03

LNB

17-17

13-22

14-21

16-24

24-20

24-15

16-20

28-26

22-23

16-19

16-29

29-20

9-17

18-19

16-28

28-14

16-17

24-18

17-21

23-16

14-30

24-19

18-18

21-10

20-18

25-21

24-25

29-18

23-17

17-22

23-30

24-23

18-19

17-20

13-35

22-18

23-16

14-16

19-16

22-21

165.6Avg total

81.6Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (44)	79.7	79.5	159.2	+0.2	48%
Season at home (21)	85.2	78.4	163.7	+6.8	67%
Season away (23)	74.7	80.6	155.2	-5.9	30%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	84.0	165.6	-2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	86.8	172.8	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	77.7	88.0	165.7	-10.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	81.4	80.1	161.5	+1.3	54%
vs Weaker (3)	78.3	78.0	156.3	+0.3	33%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osorno

80-82 OT

-2

A15/01

LNB

Osorno

82-79

H21/01

LNB

Osorno

74-81

-7

H22/01

LNB

Osorno

68-82

-14

A28/01

LNB

Las Animas

67-75

-8

A18/02

LNB

Puerto Montt

72-80

-8

H19/02

LNB

Puerto Montt

82-98

-16

A25/02

LNB

Puerto Montt

92-87

A26/02

LNB

Puerto Montt

92-70

+22

H05/03

LNB

Puerto Montt

69-78

-9

H05/03

LNB

21-18

15-23

16-18

18-11

20-25

15-20

17-20

30-14

20-20

20-19

11-18

23-24

24-25

17-22

18-19

9-16

10-13

21-27

20-19

16-16

17-16

18-24

21-17

16-23

18-20

21-25

25-24

18-29

17-23

22-17

30-23

23-24

19-18

20-17

35-13

18-22

16-23

16-14

16-19

21-22

159.0Avg total

77.8Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	76.2	78.0	154.2	-1.8	40%
Season at home (21)	77.1	73.6	150.7	+3.6	57%
Season away (22)	75.3	82.2	157.5	-6.9	23%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	81.2	159.0	-3.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	82.6	164.0	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	74.2	82.7	156.9	-8.5	23%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	76.5	76.4	152.9	+0.1	33%
vs Weaker (2)	82.0	68.5	150.5	+13.5	100%

This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Puerto MonttDeportes Castro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.2	38.1	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.2	19.5	36.8	-2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	13.7	21.0	34.7	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.0	38.5	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	21.5	39.1	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.6	17.9	35.5	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	25.5	48.0	-3.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.6	38.4	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	17.2	38.5	+4.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	20.5	38.2	-2.7	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	21.7	40.3	-3.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.0	18.5	38.4	+1.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	17.3	36.1	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	20.1	37.7	-2.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.8	39.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.7	20.2	37.8	-2.5	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.7	18.3	36.9	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	13.0	31.0	+5.0	50%	-

Puerto MonttLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ancud

30-39

-9

H21/01

LNB

Ancud

48-35

+13

H22/01

LNB

Ancud

38-42

-4

A29/01

LNB

Ancud

27-36

-9

H04/02

LNB

Deportes Castro

40-35

A19/02

LNB

Las Animas

38-49

-11

A19/02

LNB

Deportes Castro

45-39

H25/02

LNB

Deportes Castro

40-39

H26/02

LNB

Deportes Castro

35-39

-4

A05/03

LNB

Deportes Castro

37-32

A05/03

LNB

76.3Avg total

37.8Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	38.8	76.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.5	36.8	75.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.7	41.5	78.2	-4.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	38.5	76.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.6	78.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.3	42.7	75.0	-10.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	38.2	38.4	76.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.3	38.0	77.3	+1.3	67%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osorno

36-41

-5

A15/01

LNB

Osorno

35-45

-10

H21/01

LNB

Osorno

40-39

H22/01

LNB

Osorno

41-47

-6

A28/01

LNB

Las Animas

31-40

-9

A18/02

LNB

Puerto Montt

35-40

-5

H19/02

LNB

Puerto Montt

39-45

-6

A25/02

LNB

Puerto Montt

39-40

-1

A26/02

LNB

Puerto Montt

39-35

H05/03

LNB

Puerto Montt

32-37

-5

H05/03

LNB

77.6Avg total

36.7Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	38.7	75.5	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	35.8	74.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.2	41.6	76.8	-6.4	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	40.9	77.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	39.4	76.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.8	41.7	78.5	-4.9	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.3	36.1	72.4	+0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.5	38.5	79.0	+2.0	100%	-

This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	22.1	43.2	-1.0	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	21.5	40.9	-2.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	24.3	41.9	-6.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.8	44.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.3	22.1	42.5	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.1	38.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	19.2	44.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.9	18.7	40.7	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	15.5	36.5	+5.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.1	40.6	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	19.5	42.2	+3.1	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	18.6	38.5	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	19.0	43.2	+5.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.0	41.6	+5.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	22.7	41.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	22.1	18.7	40.8	+3.4	71%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.0	43.2	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.7	19.2	38.8	+0.5	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.3	21.5	39.9	-3.2	13%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	14.5	35.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	41.0	82.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.8	41.6	85.4	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.3	40.1	79.4	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	43.3	85.1	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	42.8	85.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.0	43.3	83.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	42.4	40.8	83.2	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.0	40.0	79.0	-1.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	39.5	78.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	38.1	76.7	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	40.9	79.9	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	39.1	79.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	43.2	87.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.7	40.1	76.8	-3.4	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.3	40.3	80.5	+0.0	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	30.0	71.5	+11.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Puerto Montt wins

Deportes Castro wins

Date	Game	Score
05/03/17	Deportes Castro v Puerto Montt	69-78
05/03/17	Deportes Castro v Puerto Montt	92-70
26/02/17	Puerto Montt v Deportes Castro	87-92
25/02/17	Puerto Montt v Deportes Castro	98-82
19/02/17	Deportes Castro v Puerto Montt	72-80
21/12/16	Puerto Montt v Deportes Castro	82-79
04/12/16	Deportes Castro v Puerto Montt	66-69
16/10/16	Puerto Montt v Deportes Castro	91-77
12/10/16	Deportes Castro v Puerto Montt	73-70
23/11/14	Deportes Castro v Puerto Montt	68-66

Puerto Monttlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/17	A	Deportes Castro	78-69
05/03/17	A	Deportes Castro	70-92
26/02/17	H	Deportes Castro	87-92
25/02/17	H	Deportes Castro	98-82
19/02/17	A	Las Animas	97-99 OT
19/02/17	A	Deportes Castro	80-72
04/02/17	H	Ancud	71-78
29/01/17	A	Ancud	83-91
22/01/17	H	Ancud	92-81
21/01/17	H	Ancud	60-84

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/17	H	Puerto Montt	69-78
05/03/17	H	Puerto Montt	92-70
26/02/17	A	Puerto Montt	92-87
25/02/17	A	Puerto Montt	82-98
19/02/17	H	Puerto Montt	72-80
18/02/17	A	Las Animas	67-75
28/01/17	A	Osorno	68-82
22/01/17	H	Osorno	74-81
21/01/17	H	Osorno	82-79
15/01/17	A	Osorno	80-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Puerto Montt

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	48%
Home	LWLWL	67%
Away	LWLLW	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	44	21	23
Win %	48%	67%	30%
Points / game	79.7	85.2	74.7
Allowed / game	79.5	78.4	80.6
Point differential	+0.2	+6.8	-5.9
Avg total	159.2	163.7	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	48%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	42% (12)	75% (4)	25% (8)
Overtime %	5%	5%	4%

Deportes Castro

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	40%
Home	WLLWL	57%
Away	LLLLW	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	21	22
Win %	40%	57%	23%
Points / game	76.2	77.1	75.3
Allowed / game	78.0	73.6	82.2
Point differential	-1.8	+3.6	-6.9
Avg total	154.2	150.7	157.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	33%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (14)	57% (7)	43% (7)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leones Quilpue	41	32	9	78%	90.8	82.1	+8.7
2	Osorno	42	29	13	69%	81.7	76.3	+5.4
3	Valdivia	42	26	16	62%	85.0	81.2	+3.7
4	Espanol de Talca	41	25	16	61%	80.8	78.4	+2.4
5	U. De Concepcion	44	26	18	59%	81.4	78.8	+2.6
6	Ancud	44	26	18	59%	79.8	77.5	+2.4
7	Puerto Montt	44	21	23	48%	79.7	79.5	+0.2
8	Las Animas	43	18	25	42%	79.1	82.8	-3.7
9	Deportes Castro	43	17	26	40%	76.2	78.0	-1.8
10	Tinguiririca	45	14	31	31%	77.5	83.7	-6.2
11	Puente Alto	42	13	29	31%	75.1	80.9	-5.8
12	Catolica	43	10	33	23%	73.5	80.7	-7.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Puerto Montt	18	21	26	22	87
Deportes Castro	17	16	21	32	86

← all games of the day

Puerto Montt vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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