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Purdue vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 76-71
35-35 41-36
Position#72
Record21-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game70.6
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
USC
USA
Position#215
Record16-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Purdue v USC
30 Dec 2026
PURD v USC
upcoming
13 Mar 2025
PURD76
USC71
07 Feb 2025
PURD90
USC72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#132
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A12/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A23/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H01/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
100-71
100
71
+29
H05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-41
44-35
36-36
54-45
48-36
42-36
37-35
36-40
37-36
47-58
31-33
35-42
37-25
21-48
37-35
39-31
50-41
50-30
42-40
38-48
156.9Avg total
79.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.370.6148.9+7.668%
Season at home (19)83.071.2154.2+11.879%
Season away (12)70.869.8140.5+1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.877.1156.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)76.074.6150.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.383.0164.3-1.767%
vs Similar (15)75.072.1147.1+2.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.665.4146.0+15.292%
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#72
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A08/02
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H12/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H15/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A21/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A23/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H27/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H06/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A09/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
A13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-48
36-42
40-31
52-36
38-29
28-40
27-37
44-51
39-44
46-51
38-52
44-35
34-39
27-43
47-35
45-26
27-39
36-51
41-30
32-43
159.9Avg total
78.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.175.5152.5+1.650%
Season at home (20)77.871.7149.4+6.160%
Season away (12)75.981.8157.8-5.933%
Last 10 (10)78.181.8159.9-3.730%
Last 5 (5)79.081.8160.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.476.4147.8-5.033%
vs Similar (13)82.079.0161.0+3.054%
vs Weaker (2)88.561.0149.5+27.5100%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -2.8-2.8
PurdueUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#132
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A23/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H01/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A08/03
NCAA
75.0Avg total
39.2Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.832.569.3+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.232.772.8+7.578%-
Last 30 away (12)31.832.364.1-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.875.0+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.874.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.037.071.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (15)37.132.970.0+4.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.131.068.1+6.175%-
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#72
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A08/02
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A23/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H27/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H06/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A09/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A13/03
NCAA
75.1Avg total
36.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.073.3+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.935.374.2+3.667%-
Last 30 away (12)35.036.971.9-1.917%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.475.1-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.076.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.236.769.9-3.533%-
vs Similar (13)40.336.176.4+4.254%-
vs Weaker (2)49.030.079.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Purdue wins
0
USC wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Purdue v USC90-72
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AIllinois80-88
05/03/25HRutgers100-71
01/03/25HUCLA76-66
23/02/25AIndiana58-73
19/02/25AMichigan State66-75
15/02/25HWisconsin84-94
12/02/25AMichigan73-75
08/02/25HUSC90-72
05/02/25AIowa90-81
01/02/25HIndiana81-76
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25ARutgers97-89 OT
09/03/25AUCLA63-90
06/03/25HWashington92-61
01/03/25AOregon61-82
27/02/25HOhio State82-87
23/02/25ARutgers85-95
21/02/25AMaryland71-88
15/02/25HMinnesota66-69
12/02/25HPenn State92-67
08/02/25APurdue72-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL68%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %68%79%50%
Points / game78.383.070.8
Allowed / game70.671.269.8
Point differential+7.6+11.8+1.0
Avg total148.9154.2140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%53%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
USC
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game77.177.875.9
Allowed / game75.571.781.8
Point differential+1.6+6.1-5.9
Avg total152.5149.4157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State3126584%78.467.0+11.4
2 Maryland3124777%81.566.6+14.9
3 Wisconsin3224875%80.470.7+9.8
4 Oregon3224875%76.670.8+5.8
5 UCLA3122971%74.965.1+9.8
6 Michigan3122971%78.571.6+6.9
7 Purdue31211068%78.370.6+7.6
8 Illinois32211166%84.474.2+10.2
9 Indiana32191359%74.772.0+2.6
10 Nebraska31171455%75.472.9+2.5
11 Ohio State32171553%78.873.5+5.3
12 Penn State31161552%79.173.2+5.9
13 Northwestern33171652%72.469.2+3.3
14 Iowa33171652%82.579.7+2.8
15 USC32161650%77.175.5+1.6
16 Rutgers32151747%77.077.6-0.5
17 Minnesota32151747%68.169.7-1.7
18 Washington30121840%71.475.9-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue354176
USC353671
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