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Purdue vs Wisconsin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 93-97
47-52 46-45
Position#31
Record23-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#57
Record21-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Purdue v Wisconsin
07 Mar 2026
PURD93
WISC97
15 Feb 2025
PURD84
WISC94
16 Mar 2024
PURD75
WISC76
10 Mar 2024
PURD78
WISC70
03 Jan 2022
PURD69
WISC74
02 Mar 2021
PURD73
WISC69
24 Jan 2020
PURD70
WISC51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wisconsin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
93-63
93
63
+30
A01/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H07/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
A11/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
78-57
78
57
+21
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
93-64
93
64
+29
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-40
38-32
49-28
44-35
36-34
32-30
40-24
28-44
36-25
42-32
32-48
48-43
46-29
47-35
39-36
35-40
31-36
43-46
25-34
45-32
148.9Avg total
77.7Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.969.8151.7+12.177%
Season at home (19)84.369.8154.1+14.579%
Season away (11)77.769.8147.5+7.973%
Last 10 (10)77.771.2148.9+6.560%
Last 5 (5)78.275.8154.0+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.086.0155.0-17.00%
vs Similar (8)82.973.1156.0+9.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.866.8149.6+16.085%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H31/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A18/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
78-45
78
45
+33
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
17-35
50-28
49-43
43-39
30-36
42-36
38-44
43-37
51-34
41-37
26-38
43-48
40-41
44-30
33-30
38-55
36-21
54-52
34-21
44-24
155.6Avg total
81.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.875.0157.8+7.870%
Season at home (17)85.669.6155.2+16.088%
Season away (13)79.282.1161.2-2.946%
Last 10 (10)81.274.4155.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)78.472.0150.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)85.389.0174.3-3.767%
vs Similar (12)78.178.3156.4-0.250%
vs Weaker (15)86.169.5155.6+16.587%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +5.6+5.6
PurdueWisconsin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A01/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A11/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H27/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A05/03
NCAA
69.7Avg total
36.3Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.732.772.4+7.073%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.232.874.1+8.479%-
Last 30 away (11)37.132.569.5+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)36.333.469.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.671.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.541.573.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (8)41.633.074.6+8.688%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.831.771.5+8.175%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
L
17-35
17
35
-18
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H05/03
NCAA
69.7Avg total
35.4Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.334.473.7+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.833.476.2+9.482%-
Last 30 away (13)34.835.770.5-0.931%-
Last 10 (10)35.434.369.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.830.264.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.742.380.0-4.70%-
vs Similar (12)37.337.875.1-0.442%-
vs Weaker (15)41.330.171.4+11.187%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Purdue wins
5
Wisconsin wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Wisconsin v Purdue73-89
15/02/25Purdue v Wisconsin84-94
16/03/24Purdue v Wisconsin75-76 OT
10/03/24Purdue v Wisconsin78-70
04/02/24Wisconsin v Purdue69-75
03/03/23Wisconsin v Purdue61-63
02/03/22Wisconsin v Purdue70-67
04/01/22Purdue v Wisconsin69-74
03/03/21Purdue v Wisconsin73-69
19/02/20Wisconsin v Purdue69-65
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26ANorthwestern70-66
01/03/26AOhio State74-82
27/02/26HMichigan State74-76
21/02/26HIndiana93-64
17/02/26HMichigan80-91
14/02/26AIowa78-57
11/02/26ANebraska80-77 OT
07/02/26HOregon68-64
01/02/26AMaryland93-63
28/01/26AIndiana67-72
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HMaryland78-45
28/02/26AWashington90-73
26/02/26AOregon71-85
22/02/26HIowa84-71
18/02/26AOhio State69-86
14/02/26HMichigan State92-71
11/02/26AIllinois92-90 OT
07/02/26AIndiana77-78 OT
31/01/26HOhio State92-82
29/01/26HMinnesota67-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW77%
HomeLWLWL79%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %77%79%73%
Points / game81.984.377.7
Allowed / game69.869.869.8
Point differential+12.1+14.5+7.9
Avg total151.7154.1147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%9%
Wisconsin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW70%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %70%88%46%
Points / game82.885.679.2
Allowed / game75.069.682.1
Point differential+7.8+16.0-2.9
Avg total157.8155.2161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %10%0%23%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan3028293%88.468.7+19.7
2 Nebraska3025583%77.765.7+12.0
3 Michigan State3025583%78.767.0+11.7
4 Illinois3023777%84.569.0+15.4
5 Purdue3023777%81.969.8+12.1
6 Wisconsin3021970%82.875.0+7.8
7 Iowa30201067%75.465.2+10.2
8 UCLA30201067%77.671.0+6.6
9 Ohio State30191163%80.172.8+7.3
10 Indiana30181260%78.771.5+7.3
11 USC30181260%78.977.4+1.5
12 Washington30151550%76.772.7+4.0
13 Minnesota30141647%70.268.5+1.7
14 Northwestern30131743%73.472.4+1.0
15 Rutgers30121840%70.875.9-5.1
16 Penn State30121840%74.379.6-5.3
17 Oregon30111937%70.773.9-3.2
18 Maryland30111937%69.877.1-7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue474693
Wisconsin524597
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