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Illinois vs Wisconsin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 90-92 (OT)
44-38 37-43 9-11
Position#35
Record20-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#57
Record16-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game75.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois v Wisconsin
13 Mar 2026
ILLI88
WISC91
10 Feb 2026
ILLI90
WISC92
10 Dec 2024
ILLI86
WISC80
17 Mar 2024
ILLI93
WISC87
07 Jan 2023
ILLI79
WISC69
02 Feb 2022
ILLI80
WISC67
06 Feb 2021
ILLI75
WISC60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wisconsin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H09/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A11/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A15/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H22/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A24/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A01/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
84-44
84
44
+40
H05/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-16
38-39
35-24
40-45
38-33
41-35
34-34
43-33
47-30
42-40
39-43
49-39
33-26
42-40
33-39
45-30
47-19
37-25
39-35
32-36
148.3Avg total
80.8Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.567.9152.4+16.683%
Season at home (16)86.965.6152.5+21.281%
Season away (8)79.872.5152.2+7.288%
Last 10 (10)80.867.5148.3+13.390%
Last 5 (5)81.469.2150.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.088.0153.0-23.00%
vs Similar (8)81.177.2158.4+3.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)87.067.4154.4+19.690%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H04/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H07/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
98-71
98
71
+27
A23/01
NCAA
USC
#153
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H31/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-45
35-44
45-31
35-41
37-38
54-50
28-35
50-40
51-29
45-58
50-22
48-49
41-39
30-34
17-35
50-28
49-43
43-39
30-36
42-36
160.1Avg total
82.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.075.2158.1+7.870%
Season at home (14)85.871.1156.9+14.686%
Season away (9)78.681.4160.0-2.944%
Last 10 (10)82.377.8160.1+4.570%
Last 5 (5)81.073.4154.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)82.088.5170.5-6.550%
vs Similar (13)75.578.4153.9-2.838%
vs Weaker (15)86.569.5155.9+17.093%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.9+8.91st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.9+8.91st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
IllinoisWisconsin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
43-16
43
16
+27
H09/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A15/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H22/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A01/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H05/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
68.7Avg total
38.8Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.032.873.8+8.270%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.830.774.5+13.179%-
Last 30 away (11)36.236.472.5-0.255%-
Last 10 (10)38.829.968.7+8.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.470.6+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.057.088.0-26.00%-
vs Similar (8)35.538.273.8-2.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.629.673.1+14.090%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H04/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H17/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
50-22
50
22
+28
A23/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
17-35
17
35
-18
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A07/02
NCAA
73.9Avg total
38.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.434.373.8+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.034.276.2+7.883%-
Last 30 away (12)35.634.570.1+1.142%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.373.9+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.072.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.541.579.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (13)36.837.274.1-0.454%-
vs Weaker (15)41.930.972.8+11.187%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Illinois wins
1
Wisconsin wins
DateGameScore
19/02/25Wisconsin v Illinois95-74
11/12/24Illinois v Wisconsin86-80
17/03/24Illinois v Wisconsin93-87
02/03/24Wisconsin v Illinois83-91
28/01/23Wisconsin v Illinois51-61
07/01/23Illinois v Wisconsin79-69
03/02/22Illinois v Wisconsin80-67
27/02/21Wisconsin v Illinois69-74
06/02/21Illinois v Wisconsin75-60
09/01/20Wisconsin v Illinois70-71
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26AMichigan State82-85 OT
05/02/26HNorthwestern84-44
01/02/26ANebraska78-69
30/01/26HWashington75-66
24/01/26APurdue88-82
22/01/26HMaryland89-70
17/01/26HMinnesota77-67
15/01/26ANorthwestern79-68
11/01/26AIowa75-69
09/01/26HRutgers81-55
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AIndiana77-78 OT
31/01/26HOhio State92-82
29/01/26HMinnesota67-63
25/01/26HUSC71-73
23/01/26APenn State98-71
17/01/26HRutgers96-87
14/01/26AMinnesota78-75
10/01/26AMichigan91-88
07/01/26HUCLA80-72
04/01/26HPurdue73-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %83%81%88%
Points / game84.586.979.8
Allowed / game67.965.672.5
Point differential+16.6+21.2+7.2
Avg total152.4152.5152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%69%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%12%
Wisconsin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %70%86%44%
Points / game83.085.878.6
Allowed / game75.271.181.4
Point differential+7.8+14.6-2.9
Avg total158.1156.9160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2322196%91.068.6+22.4
2 Nebraska2421388%79.866.7+13.2
3 Illinois2420483%84.567.9+16.6
4 Purdue2420483%82.869.1+13.8
5 Michigan State2420483%79.165.6+13.5
6 Iowa2318578%78.163.8+14.3
7 USC2418675%81.275.3+6.0
8 UCLA2417771%78.869.8+9.0
9 Wisconsin2316770%83.075.2+7.8
10 Indiana2517868%81.571.4+10.2
11 Ohio State2315865%81.373.3+7.9
12 Washington24121250%77.973.5+4.4
13 Minnesota24111346%71.568.9+2.6
14 Northwestern24101442%75.072.6+2.4
15 Penn State24101442%76.179.6-3.5
16 Maryland2391439%71.879.0-7.2
17 Rutgers2491538%70.176.4-6.3
18 Oregon2481633%71.875.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Illinois4437990
Wisconsin38431192
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