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Qatar vs Australia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 82-110
20-22 23-24 20-31 19-33
Position#13
Record7-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game70.0
Qatar
vs
Australia 🏆
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.4
Allowed / game63.5
EuropeAsia CupRound 3· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Meetings · Qatar v Australia
10 Aug 2025
QATA82
AUST110
13 Sep 2018
QATA43
AUST95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qatar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQatar
Date
Competition
Indonesia
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
41-80
41
80
-39
no box
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
69-53
69
53
+16
62avg 73
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
67avg 73
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
92-71
92
71
+21
91avg 73
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
81-61
81
61
+20
79avg 73
H24/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
71avg 73
H06/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
83-97
83
97
-14
70avg 73
A08/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
19-19
21-19
20-11
14-33
9-24
7-16
11-7
13-20
19-15
16-12
19-20
12-19
25-14
13-15
18-25
17-14
19-17
14-8
19-14
16-14
15-22
17-15
20-17
20-13
25-16
29-23
18-19
17-18
25-4
17-19
22-20
11-16
24-19
16-26
29-23
22-25
16-28
23-22
22-22
147.9Avg total
74.0Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.270.0142.2+2.254%
Season at home (6)75.072.0147.0+3.050%
Season away (7)69.968.3138.1+1.657%
Last 10 (10)74.073.9147.9+0.150%
Last 5 (5)82.878.0160.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)61.186.1147.2-25.16%
vs Similar (6)65.067.5132.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (6)73.862.8136.7+11.083%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
106-51
106
51
+55
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
101-48
101
48
+53
104avg 96
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 96
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
109-58
109
58
+51
109avg 96
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
114-64
114
64
+50
122avg 96
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
97-61
97
61
+36
93avg 96
H06/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 96
A08/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
22-21
22-17
18-25
23-17
31-20
25-30
21-17
14-15
22-25
17-17
32-14
22-12
27-21
22-2
35-16
20-22
30-9
23-9
28-8
19-19
35-13
17-26
27-17
22-4
28-18
27-17
32-19
26-18
30-17
25-18
33-11
25-17
23-14
20-16
29-14
31-14
27-24
26-22
9-20
166.6Avg total
98.3Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)100.463.5163.9+36.9100%
Season at home (4)101.263.5164.8+37.8100%
Season away (4)99.563.5163.0+36.0100%
Last 10 (10)98.368.3166.6+30.090%
Last 5 (5)102.267.6169.8+34.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)88.763.1151.8+25.689%
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +9.3+9.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +10.3+10.3
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +9.3+9.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +10.3+10.3
QatarAustralia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QatarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indonesia
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
23-57
23
57
-34
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H24/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/08
Asia Cup
72.0Avg total
35.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.738.070.7-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.936.668.4-4.721%-
Last 30 away (16)33.539.272.8-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.872.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.073.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.341.873.1-10.411%-
vs Similar (6)32.335.868.2-3.517%-
vs Weaker (6)37.328.866.2+8.5100%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H06/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A08/08
Asia Cup
84.3Avg total
49.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.232.679.9+14.690%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.232.879.0+13.588%-
Last 30 away (13)48.532.580.9+16.092%-
Last 10 (10)49.534.884.3+14.780%-
Last 5 (5)53.231.684.8+21.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)43.531.074.5+12.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.532.780.3+14.889%-
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qatartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qatar: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.7
49.3%
49.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.3
29.7%
32.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws26.317.6
66.8%
70.1%17.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 99.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.425.9
58.3%
49.3%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.2
34.6%
32.7%33.8
🏀 Free throws19.614.1
72.0%
70.1%14.1
They take 76.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 10 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qatar
LLWWWWLLLW
Australia
WWWWWWWWWL
#13
League position
#1
+6.5
Net rating
+45.7
101.7
Offensive rating
122.7
95.2
Defensive rating
77.0
47.7%
Effective FG%
55.6%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
39.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
13.8%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
39.9%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.7%
3-point %
34.6%
54.0%
Assist %
70.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 122.7Defence95.2 · 77.0Shooting47.7% · 55.6%3-point %29.7% · 34.6%Ball care17.9% · 13.8%Off. rebounds32.6% · 39.9%Free throws0.42 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Qatar   ■ Australia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Qatar wins
2
Australia wins
DateGameScore
03/12/18Australia v Qatar110-59
13/09/18Qatar v Australia43-95
Qatarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/08/25ASouth Korea83-97
06/08/25HLebanon80-84
24/02/25HIndia81-61
21/02/25AKazakhstan92-71
25/11/24HIran78-77 OT
22/11/24AIndia69-53
26/02/24HKazakhstan68-73
23/02/24AIran74-76 OT
02/10/23APhilippines41-80
30/09/23AIndonesia74-67
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/08/25ALebanon93-80
06/08/25HSouth Korea97-61
23/02/25HThailand114-64
20/02/25HIndonesia109-58
24/11/24ASouth Korea98-75
21/11/24AThailand101-48
25/02/24AIndonesia106-51
22/02/24HSouth Korea85-71
03/09/23HGeorgia100-84
01/09/23ASlovenia80-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qatar
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL54%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game72.275.069.9
Allowed / game70.072.068.3
Point differential+2.2+3.0+1.6
Avg total142.2147.0138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %15%17%14%
Australia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.4101.299.5
Allowed / game63.563.563.5
Point differential+36.9+37.8+36.0
Avg total163.9164.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%100.463.5+36.9
2 China98189%90.365.7+24.7
3 New Zealand98189%93.170.9+22.2
4 Iran87188%76.053.4+22.6
5 Lebanon87188%88.577.6+10.9
6 Jordan97278%77.271.2+6.0
7 Japan86275%80.675.9+4.8
8 Saudi Arabia96367%75.270.6+4.7
9 Chinese Taipei117464%86.981.5+5.5
10 South Korea85362%83.482.0+1.4
11 Philippines95456%86.676.0+10.6
12 Qatar137654%72.270.0+2.2
13 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
14 Guam158753%71.977.7-5.7
15 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
16 Iraq167944%72.675.6-3.0
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
19 Syria83538%75.980.5-4.6
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
23 India113827%68.282.1-13.9
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qatar2023201982
Australia22243133110
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