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Qatar vs Lebanon Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-84
11-16 24-19 16-26 29-23
Position#13
Record7-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game66.3
Qatar
vs
Lebanon 🏆
Position#5
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game74.7
EuropeAsia CupRound 1· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Meetings · Qatar v Lebanon
27 Nov 2025
QATA74
LEBA75
06 Aug 2025
QATA80
LEBA84
02 Oct 2015
QATA86
LEBA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qatar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lebanon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQatar
Date
Competition
Japan
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
41-80
41
80
-39
no box
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
69-53
69
53
+16
62avg 73
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
67avg 73
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
92-71
92
71
+21
91avg 73
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
81-61
81
61
+20
79avg 73
H24/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-33
21-23
7-18
22-21
13-22
16-21
18-24
17-9
14-18
19-19
21-19
20-11
14-33
9-24
7-16
11-7
13-20
19-15
16-12
19-20
12-19
25-14
13-15
18-25
17-14
19-17
14-8
19-14
16-14
15-22
17-15
20-17
20-13
25-16
29-23
18-19
17-18
25-4
17-19
22-20
143.3Avg total
70.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.566.3136.8+4.364%
Season at home (5)74.069.6143.6+4.460%
Season away (6)67.763.5131.2+4.267%
Last 10 (10)70.472.9143.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)77.667.0144.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)58.585.6144.1-27.16%
vs Similar (7)65.969.6135.4-3.743%
vs Weaker (7)76.165.3141.4+10.986%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLebanon
Date
Competition
Canada
#4
L
73-128
73
128
-55
no box
H27/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Syria
#20
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
94-63
94
63
+31
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
99-77
99
77
+22
99avg 89
A22/11
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
89-64
89
64
+25
88avg 89
H25/11
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 89
A21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
91-88
91
88
+3
96avg 89
H24/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-29
17-37
18-34
25-28
20-19
17-19
22-20
20-27
32-20
23-21
18-25
21-18
20-13
28-23
14-13
19-24
28-22
23-14
25-20
11-22
21-13
18-20
29-13
26-17
26-20
22-15
30-19
21-23
33-16
14-18
18-14
24-16
22-15
27-18
19-24
16-21
18-21
25-16
24-31
24-20
168.9Avg total
87.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.774.7165.3+16.0100%
Season at home (3)91.371.7163.0+19.7100%
Season away (3)90.077.7167.7+12.3100%
Last 10 (10)87.181.8168.9+5.380%
Last 5 (5)91.474.0165.4+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.098.6176.6-20.620%
vs Similar (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.472.7163.0+17.792%
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
QatarLebanon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QatarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#8
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A26/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H28/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
23-57
23
57
-34
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H24/02
Asia Cup
72.1Avg total
34.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.237.470.7-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.636.768.3-5.123%-
Last 30 away (17)34.538.072.5-3.541%-
Last 10 (10)34.237.972.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.230.268.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.741.572.2-10.812%-
vs Similar (7)33.036.369.3-3.314%-
vs Weaker (7)39.329.368.6+10.0100%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada
#4
L
30-66
30
66
-36
H27/08
World Cup
France
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H29/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A31/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A02/09
World Cup
Syria
#20
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/02
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H26/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A22/11
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/11
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H24/02
Asia Cup
83.6Avg total
44.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.381.9+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.737.379.1+4.473%-
Last 30 away (15)45.539.284.7+6.373%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.983.6+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.234.479.6+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.650.886.4-15.20%-
vs Similar (1)28.038.066.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.035.781.6+10.392%-
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qatartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qatar: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.6
49.8%
49.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.8
28.2%
32.7%17.4
🏀 Free throws26.818.2
67.9%
70.1%18.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.525.7
59.0%
49.3%51.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.5
34.4%
32.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.217.2
77.4%
70.1%17.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 06 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qatar
WWWWLLLWLL
Lebanon
WWWWWWWWLL
#13
League position
#5
+14.2
Net rating
+22.0
103.0
Offensive rating
117.6
88.8
Defensive rating
95.6
47.3%
Effective FG%
56.5%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.7%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.2%
3-point %
34.4%
57.6%
Assist %
64.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 117.6Defence88.8 · 95.6Shooting47.3% · 56.5%3-point %28.2% · 34.4%Ball care17.1% · 18.7%Off. rebounds32.6% · 35.8%Free throws0.43 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Qatar   ■ Lebanon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Qatar wins
1
Lebanon wins
DateGameScore
02/10/15Qatar v Lebanon86-89
24/09/15Lebanon v Qatar100-105 OT
20/09/12Lebanon v Qatar72-79
Qatarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HIndia81-61
21/02/25AKazakhstan92-71
25/11/24HIran78-77 OT
22/11/24AIndia69-53
26/02/24HKazakhstan68-73
23/02/24AIran74-76 OT
02/10/23APhilippines41-80
30/09/23AIndonesia74-67
28/09/23HSouth Korea64-76
26/09/23AJapan63-95
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HUnited Arab Emirates91-88
21/02/25ABahrain84-78
25/11/24HSyria89-64
22/11/24AUnited Arab Emirates99-77
26/02/24HBahrain94-63
23/02/24ASyria87-78
02/09/23AIran81-73
31/08/23AIvory Coast94-84
29/08/23HFrance79-85
27/08/23HCanada73-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qatar
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game70.574.067.7
Allowed / game66.369.663.5
Point differential+4.3+4.4+4.2
Avg total136.8143.6131.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %18%20%17%
Lebanon
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.791.390.0
Allowed / game74.771.777.7
Point differential+16.0+19.7+12.3
Avg total165.3163.0167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia770100%101.461.1+40.3
2 Lebanon660100%90.774.7+16.0
3 Jordan770100%79.167.7+11.4
4 Iran76186%75.751.0+24.7
5 China76186%89.064.9+24.1
6 New Zealand76186%89.467.7+21.7
7 Japan76186%82.175.6+6.6
8 Chinese Taipei96367%87.979.8+8.1
9 Qatar117464%70.566.3+4.3
10 Philippines74357%89.676.1+13.4
11 Saudi Arabia74357%73.771.9+1.9
12 South Korea74357%81.481.9-0.4
13 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
14 Iraq147750%74.675.4-0.9
15 Guam147750%71.278.0-6.8
16 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Syria73443%76.380.3-4.0
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 India93633%69.179.9-10.8
22 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
23 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qatar1124162980
Lebanon1619262384
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