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Qatar vs Saudi Arabia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 82-78
24-24 21-20 19-18 18-16
Position-
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Qatar 🏆
vs
Saudi Arabia
Position-
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International· Khalifa Sport City
Other2025
Meetings · Qatar v Saudi Arabia
29 Jun 2026
QATA80
SAUD86
28 Jul 2025
QATA82
SAUD78
30 Nov 2020
QATA67
SAUD73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qatar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saudi Arabia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQatar
Date
Competition
Japan
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
41-80
41
80
-39
no box
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
69-53
69
53
+16
62avg 75
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
67avg 75
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
92-71
92
71
+21
91avg 75
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
81-61
81
61
+20
79avg 75
H24/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-33
21-23
7-18
22-21
13-22
16-21
18-24
17-9
14-18
19-19
21-19
20-11
14-33
9-24
7-16
11-7
13-20
19-15
16-12
19-20
12-19
25-14
13-15
18-25
17-14
19-17
14-8
19-14
16-14
15-22
17-15
20-17
20-13
25-16
29-23
18-19
17-18
25-4
17-19
22-20
143.3Avg total
70.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.472.9143.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)77.667.0144.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)58.585.6144.1-27.16%
vs Similar (7)65.969.6135.4-3.743%
vs Weaker (7)76.165.3141.4+10.986%
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArabia
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#12
W
95-72
95
72
+23
no box
H02/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
57-76
57
76
-19
no box
A03/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H04/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
60-92
60
92
-32
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Iraq
#16
W
64-58
64
58
+6
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-79
64
79
-15
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
73-66
73
66
+7
68avg 69
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
66-58
66
58
+8
62avg 69
H25/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
50avg 69
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
93-71
93
71
+22
98avg 69
H24/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
16-11
29-15
18-29
6-25
21-17
9-23
21-11
19-23
27-13
19-19
14-19
11-23
23-22
10-31
16-16
17-13
10-16
17-16
20-13
18-16
20-23
11-20
15-20
16-12
20-16
15-18
22-20
9-16
20-20
16-10
21-12
16-31
20-19
10-18
22-10
25-16
25-21
22-21
21-13
144.3Avg total
71.9Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.972.4144.3-0.560%
Last 5 (5)72.870.4143.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)61.380.9142.2-19.68%
vs Similar (4)76.875.8152.5+1.050%
vs Weaker (13)77.364.8142.1+12.592%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
QatarSaudi Arabia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QatarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#8
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A26/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H28/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
23-57
23
57
-34
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H24/02
Asia Cup
72.1Avg total
34.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.237.470.7-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.636.768.3-5.123%-
Last 30 away (17)34.538.072.5-3.541%-
Last 10 (10)34.237.972.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.230.268.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.741.572.2-10.812%-
vs Similar (7)33.036.369.3-3.314%-
vs Weaker (7)39.329.368.6+10.0100%-
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H02/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A03/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H04/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A06/10
Asian Games
Iraq
#16
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A23/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H26/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H25/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H24/02
Asia Cup
74.1Avg total
37.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.437.472.8-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.736.774.4+1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)32.738.270.9-5.536%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.074.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)29.541.270.6-11.78%-
vs Similar (4)44.838.583.2+6.250%-
vs Weaker (13)38.433.371.7+5.169%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qatartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qatar: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.6
49.8%
55.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.8
28.2%
34.4%17.4
🏀 Free throws26.818.2
67.9%
74.1%18.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Saudi Arabiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saudi Arabia: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.816.2
50.8%
55.4%32.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.38.0
26.4%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.514.0
65.1%
74.1%14.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 28 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qatar
WWWWLLLWLL
Saudi Arabia
WLWWLWLWLW
+14.2
Net rating
+3.4
103.0
Offensive rating
95.2
88.8
Defensive rating
91.8
47.3%
Effective FG%
45.3%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
42.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
21.0%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.2%
3-point %
26.4%
57.6%
Assist %
60.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 95.2Defence88.8 · 91.8Shooting47.3% · 45.3%3-point %28.2% · 26.4%Ball care17.1% · 21.0%Off. rebounds32.6% · 32.2%Free throws0.43 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Qatar   ■ Saudi Arabia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Qatar wins
2
Saudi Arabia wins
DateGameScore
30/11/20Qatar v Saudi Arabia67-73 OT
20/02/20Saudi Arabia v Qatar68-57
Qatarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HIndia81-61
21/02/25AKazakhstan92-71
25/11/24HIran78-77 OT
22/11/24AIndia69-53
26/02/24HKazakhstan68-73
23/02/24AIran74-76 OT
02/10/23APhilippines41-80
30/09/23AIndonesia74-67
28/09/23HSouth Korea64-76
26/09/23AJapan63-95
Saudi Arabialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HPalestine93-71
21/02/25AJordan68-78
25/11/24HIraq66-58
22/11/24APalestine73-66
26/02/24HJordan64-79
23/02/24AIraq64-58
06/10/23AIran60-92
04/10/23HJapan79-74
03/10/23AJordan57-76
02/10/23HHong Kong95-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qatar
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Saudi Arabia
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qatar2421191882
Saudi Arabia2420181678
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