Quimsa vs Progresista Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Feb 2013

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 95-76

23-22 23-20 25-19 24-15

Position#7

Record18-15

FormLLWWL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game76.8

Quimsa 🏆

Progresista

Position#16

Record10-24

FormWLLLL

Points / game73.5

Allowed / game79.7

Liga ARound 37

Other2012-13

Meetings · Quimsa v Progresista

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quimsa winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Progresista winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

de Julio de Morteros

#14

83-95

-12

A10/12

Liga A

Libertad

70-79

-9

A15/12

Liga A

Libertad

95-61

+34

H17/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

93-80

+13

H20/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

67-92

-25

H22/12

Liga A

Regatas

77-85

-8

H16/01

Liga A

Sionista

73-80

-7

H19/01

Liga A

Penarol

94-60

+34

H26/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

91-88

H28/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

69-98

-29

A04/02

Liga A

18-21

16-23

28-33

21-18

19-25

13-21

20-17

18-16

32-14

15-10

31-20

17-17

22-22

25-8

24-22

22-28

18-27

16-28

17-16

16-21

21-12

20-28

19-25

17-20

12-14

19-8

17-34

25-24

18-13

32-9

25-21

19-17

24-21

29-30

20-22

18-15

17-16

15-35

17-21

20-26

163.0Avg total

81.2Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	79.3	76.8	156.1	+2.5	55%
Season at home (18)	82.1	75.8	157.9	+6.3	61%
Season away (15)	75.9	77.9	153.8	-2.1	47%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	81.8	163.0	-0.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	82.2	163.0	-1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	72.4	80.6	153.0	-8.2	40%
vs Similar (19)	82.5	76.7	159.2	+5.8	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	77.4	79.2	156.6	-1.8	60%

This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Progresista Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#15

65-78

-13

A15/12

Liga A

La Union

#15

82-76 OT

H17/12

Liga A

Regatas

67-79

-12

A20/12

Liga A

Sionista

68-101

101

-33

A22/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

71-97

-26

H17/01

Liga A

Olimpico

78-68

+10

H19/01

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

98-105

105

-7

A28/01

Liga A

Argentino

56-77

-21

A30/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

82-102

102

-20

H02/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

76-84

-8

H04/02

Liga A

15-24

18-14

9-19

23-21

14-15

17-15

23-19

14-19

17-26

19-19

11-16

20-18

16-27

21-17

13-27

18-30

24-18

9-23

17-30

21-26

10-14

24-11

13-15

31-28

26-37

20-27

18-21

34-20

11-14

14-15

15-23

16-25

19-27

22-26

18-27

23-22

25-28

10-16

24-23

17-17

161.0Avg total

74.3Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	73.5	79.7	153.3	-6.2	29%
Season at home (18)	76.8	78.6	155.4	-1.8	44%
Season away (16)	69.8	81.0	150.8	-11.2	12%
Last 10 (10)	74.3	86.7	161.0	-12.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	87.2	165.2	-9.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	72.6	82.1	154.8	-9.5	25%
vs Similar (6)	81.0	76.3	157.3	+4.7	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuimsaProgresista

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	17.4	38.6	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	15.2	33.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.5	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	16.4	20.2	36.6	-3.8	20%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	18.9	36.6	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	23.2	39.3	-7.1	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	23.0	40.7	-5.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.0	42.2	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.7	20.7	37.3	-4.0	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.7	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	17.8	38.1	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.9	20.2	35.2	-5.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	22.8	39.4	-6.2	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.1	18.4	36.4	-0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	17.8	34.3	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	17.1	33.7	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.3	35.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.5	17.8	34.3	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.5	17.8	34.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

de Julio de Morteros

#14

34-44

-10

A10/12

Liga A

Libertad

32-46

-14

A15/12

Liga A

Libertad

47-24

+23

H17/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

47-30

+17

H20/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

34-55

-21

H22/12

Liga A

Regatas

41-40

H16/01

Liga A

Sionista

31-22

H19/01

Liga A

Penarol

50-22

+28

H26/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

53-51

H28/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

32-51

-19

A04/02

Liga A

78.6Avg total

40.1Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	38.1	75.6	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	35.1	76.8	+6.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.8	40.7	74.5	-6.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	38.5	78.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.2	78.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.4	41.0	77.4	-4.6	60%	-
vs Similar (19)	39.4	37.3	76.7	+2.2	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	34.4	37.8	72.2	-3.4	20%	-

This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ProgresistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#15

33-38

-5

A15/12

Liga A

La Union

#15

31-30

H17/12

Liga A

Regatas

36-45

-9

A20/12

Liga A

Sionista

37-44

-7

A22/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

33-41

-8

H17/01

Liga A

Olimpico

34-25

H19/01

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

46-64

-18

A28/01

Liga A

Argentino

25-29

-4

A30/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

41-53

-12

H02/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

35-44

-9

H04/02

Liga A

76.4Avg total

35.1Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.5	38.7	72.2	-5.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.4	35.9	70.3	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.5	41.8	74.3	-9.3	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	41.3	76.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	43.0	79.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	33.2	38.4	71.6	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.7	39.7	74.3	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	21.3	43.7	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	18.1	38.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.1	44.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.6	44.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	60%	-
vs Similar (19)	22.2	19.5	41.6	+2.7	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.8	20%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	19.1	36.4	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	22.0	38.1	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	42%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.7	40.5	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.1	41.9	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.8	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.9	19.9	40.9	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.4	46.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.1	22.6	42.8	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.0	17.8	40.8	+5.2	83%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	39.3	81.5	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.3	42.4	85.6	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.3	36.6	77.9	+4.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	43.3	84.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	45.0	84.4	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.0	39.6	75.6	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	43.1	39.4	82.5	+3.7	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	43.0	41.4	84.4	+1.6	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	42.0	82.4	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	43.2	86.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	40.7	78.1	-3.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	44.6	82.4	-6.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	44.2	86.0	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	39.4	43.7	83.1	-4.3	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.0	35.3	79.3	+8.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quimsa wins

Progresista wins

Date	Game	Score
24/11/12	Progresista v Quimsa	74-75
05/10/12	Progresista v Quimsa	91-85
26/09/12	Quimsa v Progresista	83-76

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/02/13	A	Gimnasia	69-98
28/01/13	H	Weber Bahia	91-88
26/01/13	H	Penarol	94-60
19/01/13	H	Sionista	73-80
16/01/13	H	Regatas	77-85
22/12/12	H	Boca Juniors	67-92
20/12/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	93-80
17/12/12	H	Libertad	95-61
15/12/12	A	Libertad	70-79
10/12/12	A	de Julio de Morteros	83-95

Progresistalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/02/13	H	Boca Juniors	76-84
02/02/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	82-102
30/01/13	A	Argentino	56-77
28/01/13	A	de Julio de Morteros	98-105
19/01/13	H	Olimpico	78-68
17/01/13	H	Atenas	71-97
22/12/12	A	Sionista	68-101
20/12/12	A	Regatas	67-79
17/12/12	H	La Union	82-76 OT
15/12/12	A	La Union	65-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quimsa

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	55%
Home	LLLWW	61%
Away	WWLLL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	18	15
Win %	55%	61%	47%
Points / game	79.3	82.1	75.9
Allowed / game	76.8	75.8	77.9
Point differential	+2.5	+6.3	-2.1
Avg total	156.1	157.9	153.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	33%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	33% (6)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Progresista

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	29%
Home	WLWLL	44%
Away	LLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	18	16
Win %	29%	44%	12%
Points / game	73.5	76.8	69.8
Allowed / game	79.7	78.6	81.0
Point differential	-6.2	-1.8	-11.2
Avg total	153.3	155.4	150.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	43% (7)	50% (4)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	35	25	10	71%	78.5	72.8	+5.7
2	Penarol	35	24	11	69%	81.4	76.6	+4.8
3	Lanus	33	22	11	67%	76.8	74.3	+2.6
4	Boca Juniors	35	21	14	60%	80.0	74.7	+5.2
5	Olimpico	35	20	15	57%	75.7	76.0	-0.3
6	Libertad	34	19	15	56%	79.0	78.2	+0.7
7	Quimsa	33	18	15	55%	79.3	76.8	+2.5
8	Argentino	35	18	17	51%	78.5	78.4	+0.1
9	Sionista	34	17	17	50%	78.6	79.6	-1.0
10	Gimnasia	35	17	18	49%	80.7	80.6	+0.1
11	Atenas	35	17	18	49%	76.8	79.7	-2.9
12	Weber Bahia	35	15	20	43%	81.3	81.4	-0.1
13	Obras Sanitarias	35	13	22	37%	79.8	80.8	-1.1
14	de Julio de Morteros	34	12	22	35%	79.9	84.2	-4.3
15	Progresista	34	10	24	29%	73.5	79.7	-6.2
16	La Union	35	8	27	23%	72.8	78.8	-5.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quimsa	23	23	25	24	95
Progresista	22	20	19	15	76

← all games of the day

Quimsa vs Progresista Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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