Quimsa vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 95-61

32-14 15-10 31-20 17-17

Position#7

Record14-11

FormLWWLL

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game75.6

Quimsa 🏆

Libertad

Position#8

Record14-8

FormWWLLW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game75.3

Liga ARound 26

Other2012-13

Meetings · Quimsa v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quimsa winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

63-77

-14

A11/11

Super 4

Lanus

77-81

-4

H17/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

93-76

+17

H19/11

Liga A

Progresista

#16

75-74

A24/11

Liga A

La Union

#15

76-74

A26/11

Liga A

Atenas

#11

78-80

-2

H01/12

Liga A

Olimpico

85-71

+14

H03/12

Liga A

Argentino

99-89

+10

A08/12

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

83-95

-12

A10/12

Liga A

Libertad

70-79

-9

A15/12

Liga A

21-21

8-23

20-13

14-20

22-19

13-19

26-22

16-21

17-16

28-15

21-26

27-19

17-15

23-17

13-22

22-20

16-28

19-9

17-18

24-19

21-20

13-16

22-16

22-28

21-15

16-24

23-17

25-15

26-28

24-20

21-21

28-20

18-21

16-23

28-33

21-18

19-25

13-21

20-17

18-16

159.5Avg total

79.9Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	78.3	75.6	153.9	+2.7	56%
Season at home (11)	80.7	74.5	155.2	+6.3	64%
Season away (14)	76.4	76.5	152.9	-0.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	79.6	159.5	+0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	82.8	165.8	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	71.2	77.0	148.2	-5.8	50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	78.8	74.2	152.9	+4.6	50%
vs Weaker (9)	76.1	74.2	150.3	+1.9	67%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

#10

67-66

H17/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

74-87

-13

A21/11

South American League

Penarol

80-78

H21/11

South American League

Regatas

72-78

-6

A22/11

South American League

Progresista

#16

94-98

-4

A26/11

Liga A

Olimpico

79-74

H01/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

88-66

+22

H03/12

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

85-93

-8

A08/12

Liga A

Argentino

92-94

-2

A10/12

Liga A

Quimsa

79-70

H15/12

Liga A

15-24

24-12

15-16

13-14

12-16

16-23

18-21

28-27

11-22

19-19

20-21

30-16

15-20

22-18

16-23

19-17

20-24

22-16

20-22

32-36

19-15

27-23

12-17

21-19

25-16

18-10

26-17

19-23

13-29

26-21

19-16

27-27

15-24

21-32

33-24

23-14

25-19

21-13

17-20

16-18

161.4Avg total

81.0Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	77.5	75.3	152.8	+2.2	64%
Season at home (12)	78.3	70.2	148.5	+8.2	83%
Season away (10)	76.5	81.5	158.0	-5.0	40%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	80.4	161.4	+0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	79.4	164.0	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.3	77.0	149.3	-4.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	78.2	76.6	154.8	+1.7	61%
vs Weaker (8)	84.1	76.1	160.2	+8.0	75%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuimsaLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.5	16.5	37.9	+5.0	91%	-
Last 30 away (19)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.4	75%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.3	18.4	36.8	-0.1	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.5	37.1	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	21.0	37.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.8	16.8	35.5	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	18.1	34.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.2	16.5	35.6	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (19)	15.1	19.0	34.1	-3.9	26%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.8	37.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	20.8	35.8	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	16.2	18.1	34.3	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.0	16.3	35.3	+2.7	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.6	37.2	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	17.4	37.9	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	17.7	33.3	-2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.2	17.1	37.2	+3.1	61%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	75%	-

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

29-44

-15

A11/11

Super 4

Lanus

35-38

-3

H17/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

45-31

+14

H19/11

Liga A

Progresista

#16

40-32

A24/11

Liga A

La Union

#15

35-37

-2

A26/11

Liga A

Atenas

#11

34-36

-2

H01/12

Liga A

Olimpico

37-39

-2

H03/12

Liga A

Argentino

50-48

A08/12

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

34-44

-10

A10/12

Liga A

Libertad

32-46

-14

A15/12

Liga A

76.6Avg total

37.1Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	36.3	73.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	40.6	32.9	73.5	+7.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (19)	34.4	38.3	72.7	-3.9	37%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	39.5	76.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	42.6	80.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.0	38.0	72.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.0	36.5	74.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	37.3	34.8	72.1	+2.6	56%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

#10

39-36

H17/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

28-39

-11

A21/11

South American League

Penarol

30-41

-11

H21/11

South American League

Regatas

37-38

-1

A22/11

South American League

Progresista

#16

42-40

A26/11

Liga A

Olimpico

46-38

H01/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

43-26

+17

H03/12

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

39-50

-11

A08/12

Liga A

Argentino

36-56

-20

A10/12

Liga A

Quimsa

46-32

+14

H15/12

Liga A

78.2Avg total

38.6Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	36.0	74.4	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	35.0	75.4	+5.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.0	37.2	73.2	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	39.6	78.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.4	82.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.0	38.7	70.7	-6.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.3	35.8	75.1	+3.5	61%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.6	34.9	74.5	+4.8	75%	-

This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	18.0	35.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.5	40.1	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.2	21.4	41.5	-1.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (19)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+2.1	63%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.6	41.3	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.6	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.8	40.6	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	17.9	37.5	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	22.1	44.1	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	21.1	43.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	14.3	32.7	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	38.0	78.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	40.1	41.5	81.6	-1.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (19)	40.1	35.9	76.0	+4.2	63%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	40.1	82.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	40.2	85.8	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.2	39.0	76.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	40.8	37.7	78.4	+3.1	69%	-
vs Weaker (9)	38.8	39.4	78.2	-0.7	22%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	40.3	80.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	37.2	76.5	+2.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	43.8	85.5	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	40.8	83.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	39.0	81.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.0	35.3	72.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	38.9	40.8	79.7	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.5	41.2	85.8	+3.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quimsa wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/12	Libertad v Quimsa	79-70
15/10/12	Libertad v Quimsa	86-77
11/10/12	Quimsa v Libertad	92-69
09/01/12	Quimsa v Libertad	67-73
07/01/12	Libertad v Quimsa	79-65
22/10/11	Quimsa v Libertad	78-71
20/10/11	Libertad v Quimsa	79-59
28/02/11	Libertad v Quimsa	85-72
14/12/10	Quimsa v Libertad	78-69
11/11/10	Quimsa v Libertad	73-78

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/12	A	Libertad	70-79
10/12/12	A	de Julio de Morteros	83-95
08/12/12	A	Argentino	99-89
03/12/12	H	Olimpico	85-71
01/12/12	H	Atenas	78-80
26/11/12	A	La Union	76-74
24/11/12	A	Progresista	75-74
19/11/12	H	Gimnasia	93-76
17/11/12	H	Lanus	77-81
11/11/12	A	Regatas	63-77

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/12	H	Quimsa	79-70
10/12/12	A	Argentino	92-94
08/12/12	A	de Julio de Morteros	85-93
03/12/12	H	Atenas	88-66
01/12/12	H	Olimpico	79-74
26/11/12	A	Progresista	94-98
22/11/12	A	Regatas	72-78
21/11/12	H	Penarol	80-78
21/11/12	A	Obras Sanitarias	74-87
17/11/12	H	Gimnasia	67-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quimsa

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	56%
Home	WLWLW	64%
Away	WWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	11	14
Win %	56%	64%	50%
Points / game	78.3	80.7	76.4
Allowed / game	75.6	74.5	76.5
Point differential	+2.7	+6.3	-0.1
Avg total	153.9	155.2	152.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	27%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	20% (5)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	64%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	LLLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	64%	83%	40%
Points / game	77.5	78.3	76.5
Allowed / game	75.3	70.2	81.5
Point differential	+2.2	+8.2	-5.0
Avg total	152.8	148.5	158.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	100% (2)	67% (6)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	25	18	7	72%	77.0	71.6	+5.4
2	Lanus	25	18	7	72%	77.0	72.6	+4.4
3	Penarol	24	17	7	71%	81.4	76.1	+5.2
4	Olimpico	26	17	9	65%	75.7	73.8	+2.0
5	Libertad	22	14	8	64%	77.5	75.3	+2.2
6	Boca Juniors	26	15	11	58%	78.6	73.8	+4.8
7	Quimsa	25	14	11	56%	78.3	75.6	+2.7
8	Argentino	25	14	11	56%	78.3	78.4	-0.0
9	Atenas	25	13	12	52%	76.9	79.5	-2.6
10	Sionista	26	11	15	42%	78.2	81.3	-3.1
11	Gimnasia	26	10	16	38%	78.6	80.8	-2.3
12	Weber Bahia	25	9	16	36%	80.2	81.8	-1.6
13	de Julio de Morteros	26	9	17	35%	77.9	82.8	-4.9
14	Progresista	25	8	17	32%	72.9	76.9	-4.0
15	Obras Sanitarias	25	7	18	28%	77.5	81.7	-4.2
16	La Union	24	6	18	25%	71.8	75.2	-3.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quimsa	32	15	31	17	95
Libertad	14	10	20	17	61

← all games of the day

Quimsa vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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