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Quinnipiac vs Mount St. Mary's Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-69
32-35 48-34
Position#123
Record10-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game72.9
vs
Position#242
Record5-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Quinnipiac v Mount St. Mary's
04 Jan 2026
QUIN80
MOUN69
06 Mar 2025
QUIN79
MOUN70
25 Jan 2024
QUIN79
MOUN65
05 Feb 2023
QUIN75
MOUN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quinnipiac winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QuinnipiacUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A23/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A26/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H30/11
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
89-68
89
68
+21
A06/12
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H07/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A18/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H29/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-37
36-38
52-47
39-55
41-32
35-30
36-34
53-34
38-20
34-38
32-38
43-33
49-34
36-41
31-31
35-43
30-25
34-33
45-31
34-49
150.3Avg total
78.0Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.872.9150.7+4.967%
Season at home (7)75.763.9139.6+11.986%
Season away (8)79.680.8160.4-1.150%
Last 10 (10)78.072.3150.3+5.770%
Last 5 (5)73.871.6145.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.793.0159.7-26.30%
vs Similar (12)77.774.1151.8+3.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.667.7148.3+12.980%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
60-113
60
113
-53
A25/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H04/12
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A13/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A20/12
NCAA
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
73-42
73
42
+31
H21/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
26-45
26-52
34-61
45-43
34-32
45-51
35-36
20-30
36-34
38-37
43-36
33-38
34-37
39-26
34-16
30-33
36-26
27-29
38-46
143.3Avg total
68.7Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)68.174.8142.9-6.733%
Season at home (5)72.067.2139.2+4.860%
Season away (10)66.278.6144.8-12.420%
Last 10 (10)68.774.6143.3-5.940%
Last 5 (5)70.464.8135.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)61.080.1141.1-19.112%
vs Similar (17)70.968.1139.1+2.871%
vs Weaker (5)74.468.4142.8+6.060%
This opponent (Quinnipiac) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -1.9-1.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -1.9-1.9
QuinnipiacMount St. Mary's
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
QuinnipiacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A23/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A26/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H30/11
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H07/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H13/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A18/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A03/01
NCAA
73.0Avg total
40.1Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.272.7+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.133.370.4+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)37.937.475.3+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.132.973.0+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)37.431.869.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.045.776.7-14.70%-
vs Similar (12)36.535.672.1+0.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.532.972.3+6.667%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A25/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H29/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/12
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A13/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A02/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
33.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.834.567.3-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (10)33.935.169.0-1.240%-
Last 30 away (20)32.234.266.4-2.045%-
Last 10 (10)33.737.771.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.432.666.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.438.268.6-7.925%-
vs Similar (17)33.233.166.3+0.147%-
vs Weaker (5)35.233.268.4+2.060%-
This opponent (Quinnipiac) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Quinnipiac wins
2
Mount St. Mary's wins
Quinnipiaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AManhattan79-80
29/12/25HMarist64-58
21/12/25AHofstra66-74
18/12/25AMonmouth85-75
13/12/25HUMass Lowell75-71
07/12/25HRider72-58
06/12/25AIona89-68
30/11/25HStonehill76-62
26/11/25AUCF Knights91-102
23/11/25APittsburgh83-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26AMerrimack Warriors65-75
30/12/25HIona66-59
21/12/25HPenn State Brandywine73-42
20/12/25ADrexel67-75
13/12/25ALoyola Maryland81-73
06/12/25AMarist56-64
04/12/25HSacred Heart80-87
29/11/25HHoward79-75
25/11/25AOhio State60-113
23/11/25AWestern Michigan60-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quinnipiac
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%86%50%
Points / game77.875.779.6
Allowed / game72.963.980.8
Point differential+4.9+11.9-1.1
Avg total150.7139.6160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL33%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %33%60%20%
Points / game68.172.066.2
Allowed / game74.867.278.6
Point differential-6.7+4.8-12.4
Avg total142.9139.2144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac1510567%77.872.9+4.9
2 Iona1510567%78.777.2+1.5
3 Siena149564%69.765.3+4.4
4 Marist138562%71.363.7+7.6
5 St. Peters127558%72.268.6+3.6
6 Merrimack Warriors169756%66.971.2-4.3
7 Fairfield158753%77.374.2+3.1
8 Canisius157847%63.271.5-8.3
9 Manhattan167944%77.281.7-4.4
10 Mount St. Mary's1551033%68.174.8-6.7
11 Sacred Heart1651131%74.877.2-2.4
12 Niagara134931%62.873.9-11.1
13 Rider121118%61.375.8-14.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Quinnipiac324880
Mount St. Mary's353469
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