Mount St. Mary's vs Howard Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 79-75

45-43 34-32

Position#242

Record1-6

FormWLLLL

Points / game65.0

Allowed / game81.7

Mount St. Mary's 🏆

Howard

Position#55

Record4-4

FormWLWLW

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game73.0

NCAA

Other2025-26

Meetings · Mount St. Mary's v Howard

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mount St. Mary's winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Howard winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mount St. Mary's USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iona

#209

63-49

+14

A15/03

NCAA

American University

#102

83-72

+11

A19/03

NCAA

Duke

49-93

-44

A21/03

NCAA

West Virginia

#147

54-70

-16

A05/11

NCAA

Bucknell

#339

62-73

-11

H08/11

NCAA

St. Francis (PA)

#359

74-66

A12/11

NCAA

Cincinnati

#161

55-72

-17

A16/11

NCAA

Maryland

#305

90-95 OT

-5

A20/11

NCAA

Western Michigan

#325

60-83

-23

A23/11

NCAA

Ohio State

#104

60-113

113

-53

A25/11

NCAA

25-26

38-23

48-38

35-34

28-54

21-39

29-35

25-35

30-38

32-35

43-34

31-32

36-30

19-42

32-40

45-37

34-38

26-45

26-52

34-61

143.6Avg total

65.0Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	65.0	81.7	146.7	-16.7	14%
Season at home (1)	62.0	73.0	135.0	-11.0	0%
Season away (6)	65.5	83.2	148.7	-17.7	17%
Last 10 (10)	65.0	78.6	143.6	-13.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	67.8	85.8	153.6	-18.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	57.5	86.3	143.8	-28.8	0%
vs Similar (20)	69.3	67.2	136.4	+2.1	70%
vs Weaker (4)	74.8	75.0	149.8	-0.2	50%

This opponent (Howard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Howard

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Norfolk State

#64

69-81

-12

H07/03

NCAA

Morgan State

#258

90-91

-1

H13/03

NCAA

Missouri

#111

67-88

-21

H04/11

NCAA

Dist. of Columbia

#481

103-71

103

+32

H07/11

NCAA

Grambling St.

#260

70-73

-3

H09/11

NCAA

Alcorn State

#348

72-64

H14/11

NCAA

Stetson

#304

60-64

-4

A20/11

NCAA

Niagara

#351

80-70

+10

H22/11

NCAA

Duke

56-93

-37

A23/11

NCAA

St. Mary's (MD)

#664

115-61

115

+54

H26/11

NCAA

29-31

40-50

44-41

46-50

26-42

41-46

60-33

43-38

33-32

37-41

28-23

44-41

21-31

39-33

29-37

51-33

18-52

38-41

63-37

52-24

153.8Avg total

78.2Scored

75.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	77.9	73.0	150.9	+4.9	50%
Season at home (6)	84.5	71.2	155.7	+13.3	67%
Season away (2)	58.0	78.5	136.5	-20.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	75.6	153.8	+2.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	70.4	147.0	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	72.7	83.9	156.6	-11.2	21%
vs Similar (3)	92.3	89.0	181.3	+3.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	77.8	68.6	146.4	+9.2	60%

This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

Mount St. Mary'sHoward

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iona

#209

25-26

-1

A15/03

NCAA

American University

#102

48-38

+10

A19/03

NCAA

Duke

28-54

-26

A21/03

NCAA

West Virginia

#147

29-35

-6

A05/11

NCAA

Bucknell

#339

30-38

-8

H08/11

NCAA

St. Francis (PA)

#359

43-34

A12/11

NCAA

Cincinnati

#161

36-30

A16/11

NCAA

Maryland

#305

32-40

-8

A20/11

NCAA

Western Michigan

#325

34-38

-4

A23/11

NCAA

Ohio State

#104

26-52

-26

A25/11

NCAA

71.6Avg total

33.1Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.1	33.9	65.9	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	30.7	33.8	64.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 away (20)	32.8	33.9	66.7	-1.1	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.1	38.5	71.6	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	38.8	73.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	31.0	40.0	71.0	-9.0	17%	-
vs Similar (20)	31.9	31.8	63.8	+0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.2	35.0	69.2	-0.8	50%	-

This opponent (Howard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HowardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Norfolk State

#64

29-31

-2

H07/03

NCAA

Morgan State

#258

44-41

H13/03

NCAA

Missouri

#111

26-42

-16

H04/11

NCAA

Dist. of Columbia

#481

60-33

+27

H07/11

NCAA

Grambling St.

#260

33-32

H09/11

NCAA

Alcorn State

#348

28-23

H14/11

NCAA

Stetson

#304

21-31

-10

A20/11

NCAA

Niagara

#351

29-37

-8

H22/11

NCAA

Duke

18-52

-34

A23/11

NCAA

St. Mary's (MD)

#664

63-37

+26

H26/11

NCAA

71.0Avg total

35.1Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	35.8	71.2	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	39.8	35.1	74.9	+4.8	68%	-
Last 30 away (11)	27.9	37.0	64.9	-9.1	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	35.9	71.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	36.0	67.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	33.1	37.5	70.6	-4.4	36%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.0	36.3	80.3	+7.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	33.8	32.6	66.4	+1.2	50%	-

This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.0	37.3	72.2	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	37.3	35.5	72.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (20)	33.8	38.1	71.9	-4.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.6	38.3	68.9	-7.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.0	43.4	74.4	-12.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	26.5	46.3	72.8	-19.8	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	37.0	34.9	71.9	+2.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.2	35.5	72.8	+1.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	42.3	84.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	42.3	42.2	84.5	+0.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.6	42.6	83.3	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	39.7	82.8	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	34.4	79.2	+10.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	38.9	45.6	84.5	-6.8	7%	-
vs Similar (3)	48.3	52.7	101.0	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	44.0	36.0	80.0	+8.0	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mount St. Mary's wins

Howard wins

Date	Game	Score
30/11/24	Howard v Mount St. Mary's	75-79
21/12/22	Howard v Mount St. Mary's	63-62
01/12/21	Mount St. Mary's v Howard	72-70
30/11/19	Howard v Mount St. Mary's	56-73

Mount St. Mary'slast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/25	A	Ohio State	60-113
23/11/25	A	Western Michigan	60-83
20/11/25	A	Maryland	90-95 OT
16/11/25	A	Cincinnati	55-72
12/11/25	A	St. Francis (PA)	74-66
08/11/25	H	Bucknell	62-73
05/11/25	A	West Virginia	54-70
21/03/25	A	Duke	49-93
19/03/25	A	American University	83-72
15/03/25	A	Iona	63-49

Howardlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/25	H	St. Mary's (MD)	115-61
23/11/25	A	Duke	56-93
22/11/25	H	Niagara	80-70
20/11/25	A	Stetson	60-64
14/11/25	H	Alcorn State	72-64
09/11/25	H	Grambling St.	70-73
07/11/25	H	Dist. of Columbia	103-71
04/11/25	H	Missouri	67-88
13/03/25	H	Morgan State	90-91
07/03/25	H	Norfolk State	69-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mount St. Mary's

NCAA 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	14%
Home	L	0%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	1	6
Win %	14%	0%	17%
Points / game	65.0	62.0	65.5
Allowed / game	81.7	73.0	83.2
Point differential	-16.7	-11.0	-17.7
Avg total	146.7	135.0	148.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	14%	0%	17%

Howard

NCAA 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	50%
Home	WLWWW	67%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	6	2
Win %	50%	67%	0%
Points / game	77.9	84.5	58.0
Allowed / game	73.0	71.2	78.5
Point differential	+4.9	+13.3	-20.5
Avg total	150.9	155.7	136.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	7	5	2	71%	70.7	64.9	+5.9
2	Iona	7	5	2	71%	84.6	80.6	+4.0
3	Marist	6	4	2	67%	73.0	59.8	+13.2
4	Quinnipiac	7	4	3	57%	80.1	78.1	+2.0
5	Fairfield	7	4	3	57%	76.1	79.0	-2.9
6	Canisius	7	4	3	57%	63.6	70.1	-6.6
7	Manhattan	8	3	5	38%	83.8	87.5	-3.8
8	Sacred Heart	6	2	4	33%	82.0	81.2	+0.8
9	St. Peters	6	2	4	33%	67.2	78.7	-11.5
10	Niagara	7	2	5	29%	63.4	74.7	-11.3
11	Merrimack Warriors	8	2	6	25%	64.5	78.1	-13.6
12	Rider	6	1	5	17%	61.2	80.0	-18.8
13	Mount St. Mary's	7	1	6	14%	65.0	81.7	-16.7

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Mid-Eastern Athletic conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Norfolk State	8	4	4	50%	82.2	67.1	+15.1
2	Howard	8	4	4	50%	77.9	73.0	+4.9
3	N. Carolina Central	9	3	6	33%	74.0	79.2	-5.2
4	Md.-East. Shore	9	3	6	33%	61.2	70.0	-8.8
5	Coppin State	9	3	6	33%	66.7	80.7	-14.0
6	Delaware State	9	2	7	22%	58.6	73.7	-15.1
7	Morgan State	7	1	6	14%	73.9	81.3	-7.4
8	South Carolina St	7	0	7	0%	64.7	88.1	-23.4