PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Radnicki vs BKK Radnicki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 88-81
Projected total 169.3
Final 97-80
18-25 33-17 24-21 22-17
Position#7
Record3-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game91.0
Vs
74%
26%
■ RAD 74%■ BKK 26%
Pythia win probability
Position#16
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game82.2
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 7· Jezero Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Radnicki v BKK Radnicki
14 Nov 2026
RAD97
BKK 80
25 Jan 2026
RAD76
BKK 79
26 Mar 2025
RAD82
BKK 74
28 Mar 2012
RAD70
BKK 81
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Radnicki face BKK Radnicki on 14 November 2026 in the First League, with the model designating Radnicki as the favourite and forecasting a decisive win; the Pythia model projects a 74% chance of a Radnicki victory and a 26% chance for BKK Radnicki, with a projected score of 88-81 and a total of 169.3 points. Radnicki have gone 3-3 this season, averaging 84.3 points and conceding 91.0, while BKK Radnicki are 0-6, scoring 67.3 and allowing 82.2. In home-only play Radnicki are 2-1, averaging 88.7 points and 87.0 allowed, and their last five games include two wins and three losses, with recent defeats to Vojvodina Novi Sad, KK Metalac and Mladost Zemun. BKK Radnicki's road record is 0-2, averaging 62.5 points and 77.0 allowed, and their last five games were all losses, including defeats to Dynamic, Cacak and Vojvodina Novi Sad. Historically, BKK Radnicki have won four of the six meetings, most recently beating Radnicki 79-76 on 25 January 2026. The spread is set at -7.5 for Radnicki with a 49% chance of covering, the over line is 165.5 with a 58% probability of the total exceeding it, and there is a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radnicki winWon
73.8%fair 1.36
Best odds1.30
Implied73.5%
Edge+0.3pp
BKK Radnicki winLost
26.2%fair 3.82
Best odds3.50
Implied26.5%
Edge-0.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RadnickiSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRadnicki
Date
Competition
OKK Beograd
#7
L
97-108
97
108
-11
88avg 79
A04/04
First League
Sloboda
#2
W
103-90
103
90
+13
98avg 79
H13/04
First League
Dynamic
#13
L
87-100
87
100
-13
83avg 79
A19/04
First League
Sombor BC
#16
W
116-81
116
81
+35
no box
H23/04
First League
Zlatibor
#8
W
93-88
93
88
+5
96avg 79
H04/10
First League
OKK Beograd
#15
W
87-85
87
85
+2
78avg 79
A11/10
First League
Kolubara
#4
W
93-88
93
88
+5
78avg 79
H17/10
First League
Mladost Zemun
#9
L
84-99
84
99
-15
no box
A26/10
First League
KK Metalac
#13
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
H31/10
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
69-101
69
101
-32
no box
A06/11
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-36
24-25
23-19
26-28
22-23
32-20
24-25
25-22
28-21
23-27
12-31
24-21
21-15
32-26
30-22
33-18
31-26
19-20
24-19
19-23
18-28
18-23
27-16
24-18
28-25
16-23
25-24
24-16
14-33
26-23
25-19
19-24
17-19
26-30
19-18
18-18
20-25
14-23
22-31
13-22
183.4Avg total
90.9Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.391.0175.3-6.750%
Season at home (3)88.787.0175.7+1.767%
Season away (3)80.095.0175.0-15.033%
Last 10 (10)90.992.5183.4-1.650%
Last 5 (5)82.691.6174.2-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)87.193.4180.5-6.338%
vs Similar (14)85.991.6177.6-5.721%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)97.085.0182.0+12.067%
This opponent (BKK Radnicki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BKK RadnickiSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRadnicki
Date
Competition
Sloboda
#2
L
65-74
65
74
-9
63avg 75
A03/04
First League
Dynamic
#13
W
96-88
96
88
+8
95avg 75
H11/04
First League
Sombor BC
#16
W
95-79
95
79
+16
103avg 75
A18/04
First League
KK Metalac
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 75
H25/04
First League
Kolubara
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 75
H04/10
First League
Mladost Zemun
#9
L
71-80
71
80
-9
no box
A10/10
First League
KK Metalac
#13
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 75
H18/10
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
54-74
54
74
-20
45avg 75
A23/10
First League
Cacak 94
#6
L
83-100
83
100
-17
no box
H30/10
First League
Dynamic
#3
L
51-76
51
76
-25
no box
H08/11
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
22-16
19-12
10-21
24-30
22-18
25-21
25-19
33-11
19-30
22-19
21-19
26-17
21-17
12-28
28-13
20-22
23-18
13-20
19-17
18-21
16-25
17-17
20-17
12-29
24-18
19-18
15-21
17-18
15-16
7-26
15-14
26-30
18-21
17-27
22-22
13-15
20-19
13-22
5-20
155.6Avg total
74.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)67.382.2149.5-14.80%
Season at home (4)69.884.8154.5-15.00%
Season away (2)62.577.0139.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)74.780.9155.6-6.230%
Last 5 (5)65.883.2149.0-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.086.7161.7-11.715%
vs Similar (11)81.981.1163.0+0.845%
vs Weaker (6)90.883.3174.2+7.567%
This opponent (Radnicki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Over 160.5
Over 160.5
69.7%
Under 160.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.75 · main lineActual: Over 165.75
Over 165.75
no forecast
@ 1.79
Under 165.75
no forecast
@ 1.79
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Over 170.5
Over 170.5
46.3%
Under 170.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Radnicki total 82.5Actual: Radnicki over 82.5
Over 82.5
71.4%
@ 1.39+8.5pp
Under 82.5
28.6%
@ 2.36-8.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.36
Radnicki total 86.5 · main lineActual: Radnicki over 86.5
Over 86.5
56.8%
@ 1.85+7.1pp
Under 86.5
43.2%
@ 1.83-7.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.73
Under
Betano
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.71
Radnicki total 90.5Actual: Radnicki over 90.5
Over 90.5
41.1%
@ 2.40+4.6pp
Under 90.5
58.9%
@ 1.38-4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.38
BKK Radnicki total 75Actual: BKK Radnicki over 75
Over 75
72.4%
Under 75
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKK Radnicki total 79 · main lineActual: BKK Radnicki over 79
Over 79
57.4%
@ 1.73+7.7pp
Under 79
42.6%
@ 1.71-7.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.73
Under
1xBet
1.71
BKK Radnicki total 83Actual: BKK Radnicki under 83
Over 83
41.5%
Under 83
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Radnicki -10.5Actual: Radnicki -10.5
RAD -10.5
38.4%
@ 2.25-0.9pp
BKK +10.5
61.6%
@ 1.46+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
RAD
1xBet
2.25
BKK
1xBet
1.46
Spread Radnicki -7.5 · main lineActual: Radnicki -7.5
RAD -7.5
49.3%
@ 1.86-1.0pp
BKK +7.5
50.7%
@ 1.88+1.0pp
Best 5 market prices
RAD
Pinnacle
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
SBO
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
BKK
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Spread Radnicki -4.5Actual: Radnicki -4.5
RAD -4.5
60.6%
@ 1.46+0.1pp
BKK +4.5
39.4%
@ 2.24-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
RAD
1xBet
1.46
BKK
1xBet
2.24

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
RadnickiBKK Radnicki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RadnickiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OKK Beograd
#7
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A04/04
First League
Sloboda
#2
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H13/04
First League
Dynamic
#13
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A19/04
First League
Sombor BC
#16
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H23/04
First League
Zlatibor
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H04/10
First League
OKK Beograd
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A11/10
First League
Kolubara
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H17/10
First League
Mladost Zemun
#9
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A26/10
First League
KK Metalac
#13
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H31/10
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A06/11
First League
94.4Avg total
45.3Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (30)44.846.291.0-1.540%87%
Last 30 at home (14)46.345.992.1+0.450%86%
Last 30 away (16)43.446.690.0-3.131%88%
Last 10 (10)45.349.194.4-3.840%100%
Last 5 (5)39.450.489.8-11.00%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)44.447.291.5-2.838%92%
vs Similar (14)45.244.990.1+0.343%79%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.348.392.7-4.033%100%
This opponent (BKK Radnicki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BKK RadnickiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloboda
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/04
First League
Dynamic
#13
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H11/04
First League
Sombor BC
#16
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A18/04
First League
KK Metalac
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/04
First League
Kolubara
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H04/10
First League
Mladost Zemun
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A10/10
First League
KK Metalac
#13
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H18/10
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A23/10
First League
Cacak 94
#6
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H30/10
First League
Dynamic
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H08/11
First League
81.9Avg total
40.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (30)41.241.282.5+0.043%53%
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.382.7+2.147%53%
Last 30 away (15)40.142.282.3-2.140%53%
Last 10 (10)40.341.681.9-1.330%50%
Last 5 (5)35.842.478.2-6.60%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.942.681.5-3.723%54%
vs Similar (11)42.040.182.1+1.955%55%
vs Weaker (6)44.840.385.2+4.567%50%
This opponent (Radnicki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Radnicki win
RAD win
no forecast
@ 1.44
BKK win
no forecast
@ 2.75
1st half Spread Radnicki -3.5 · main lineActual: Radnicki -3.5
RAD -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
BKK +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Over 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Radnicki 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Radnicki over 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
BKK Radnicki 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: BKK Radnicki over 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Radnicki -4.5Actual: Radnicki -4.5
RAD -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
BKK +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Radnicki 0Actual: Radnicki 0
RAD 0
no forecast
@ 1.40
BKK 0
no forecast
@ 2.75
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Radnicki (regulation)
RAD
no forecast
@ 1.44
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
BKK
no forecast
@ 2.95

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
RAD win + total 165.5
🔒 Pro
BKK win + total 165.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: RAD leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Radnicki over 82.571.4%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+8.5ppWon
Radnicki over 81.574.7%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+8.4ppWon
Radnicki over 80.577.7%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+8.4ppWon
BKK Radnicki over 73.576.5%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+8.3ppWon
BKK Radnicki over 74.573.3%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+8.3ppWon
Radnicki (regulation)71.3%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+5.6ppWon
Overtime: no95.6%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+3.9ppWon
Radnicki win73.8%1.27
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.26
Betfair
1.25
+0.3ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Radnickitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Radnicki: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.824.4
61.3%
55.7%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.2
35.8%
31.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.215.0
67.6%
70.0%15.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BKK Radnickitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BKK Radnicki: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.6
52.1%
55.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.7
30.6%
31.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.218.7
74.2%
70.0%18.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Radnicki
LLLWWWWLWL
BKK Radnicki
LLLLLLWWWL
#7
League position
#16
-0.6
Net rating
-3.7
102.4
Offensive rating
91.9
103.0
Defensive rating
95.6
58.3%
Effective FG%
49.4%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.8%
3-point %
30.6%
54.5%
Assist %
76.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 91.9Defence103.0 · 95.6Shooting58.3% · 49.4%3-point %35.8% · 30.6%Ball care14.2% · 16.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Radnicki   ■ BKK Radnicki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Radnicki wins
4
BKK Radnicki wins
Radnickilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AVojvodina Novi Sad69-101
31/10/26HKK Metalac80-85
26/10/26AMladost Zemun84-99
17/10/26HKolubara93-88
11/10/26AOKK Beograd87-85
04/10/26HZlatibor93-88
23/04/26HSombor BC116-81
19/04/26ADynamic87-100
13/04/26HSloboda103-90
04/04/26AOKK Beograd97-108
BKK Radnickilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HDynamic51-76
30/10/26HCacak 9483-100
23/10/26AVojvodina Novi Sad54-74
18/10/26HKK Metalac70-86
10/10/26AMladost Zemun71-80
04/10/26HKolubara75-77
25/04/26HKK Metalac87-75
18/04/26ASombor BC95-79
11/04/26HDynamic96-88
03/04/26ASloboda65-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Radnicki
First League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game84.388.780.0
Allowed / game91.087.095.0
Point differential-6.7+1.7-15.0
Avg total175.3175.7175.0
Over 165.7583%67%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BKK Radnicki
First League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.369.862.5
Allowed / game82.284.877.0
Point differential-14.8-15.0-14.5
Avg total149.5154.5139.5
Over 165.7517%25%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloboda Uzice660100%88.077.0+11.0
2 Vojvodina Novi Sad76186%80.771.1+9.6
3 Cacak 9464267%88.386.0+2.3
4 Kolubara74357%81.480.4+1.0
5 KK Nis74357%76.977.1-0.3
6 Zlatibor63350%93.586.3+7.2
7 Dynamic63350%76.573.8+2.7
8 Mladost Zemun63350%80.878.5+2.3
9 Hercegovac63350%80.780.2+0.5
10 KK Metalac63350%77.578.0-0.5
11 Tamis63350%93.795.5-1.8
12 Radnicki63350%84.391.0-6.7
13 Borac Zemun73443%85.983.7+2.1
14 Sloga62433%88.293.5-5.3
15 OKK Beograd6060%87.598.8-11.3
16 BKK Radnicki6060%67.382.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Radnicki1833242297
BKK Radnicki2517211780
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.