Rakvere Tarvas vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 76-59

18-15 22-16 20-15 16-13

Position#2

Record2-0

FormWWWLW

Points / game110.5

Allowed / game66.5

Rakvere Tarvas 🏆

Rapla

Position#4

Record2-0

FormWWLLL

Points / game99.5

Allowed / game73.5

Estonia CupEstonia Cup - Quarter-finals

Other2014

Meetings · Rakvere Tarvas v Rapla

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rakvere Tarvas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rapla winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rakvere Tarvas Estonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

70-53

+17

A11/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

#17

90-95 OT

-5

A14/10

Baltic League

Parnu

79-91 OT

-12

A19/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

75-71

H25/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

79-89

-10

H31/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Liepaja

89-65

+24

H05/11

Baltic League

Rapla

68-61

A08/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Nevezis

#21

76-70

A11/11

Baltic League

Juventus

63-91

-28

A12/11

Baltic League

Tallinna Kalev

89-67

+22

H14/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

13-21

21-12

17-7

19-13

13-20

27-24

21-15

20-22

28-20

19-17

13-16

14-21

17-22

20-17

14-17

24-15

19-25

12-25

23-21

25-18

20-14

25-14

22-19

22-18

18-11

18-15

16-19

16-16

18-19

13-17

21-21

24-13

17-18

9-29

18-19

19-25

23-15

21-21

20-8

25-23

153.1Avg total

77.8Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	110.5	66.5	177.0	+44.0	100%
Season at home (1)	112.0	72.0	184.0	+40.0	100%
Season away (1)	109.0	61.0	170.0	+48.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	75.3	153.1	+2.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	70.8	147.8	+6.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	75.0	85.4	160.4	-10.4	25%
vs Similar (1)	68.0	61.0	129.0	+7.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	84.8	72.0	156.8	+12.7	76%

This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rapla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rakvere Tarvas

#13

95-90 OT

H14/10

Baltic League

Tallinna Kalev

68-54

+14

A18/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

89-71 OT

+18

H25/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Nevezis

#21

71-70

A28/10

Baltic League

Juventus

67-88

-21

A29/10

Baltic League

Valga

83-68

+15

A01/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tamsalu

#12

104-81

104

+23

A02/11

Estonia Cup

BK Liepaja

72-76

-4

H04/11

Baltic League

Rakvere Tarvas

61-68

-7

H08/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

69-96

-27

H13/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

20-13

24-27

15-21

22-20

18-14

16-24

18-12

16-4

17-16

15-15

16-27

23-13

10-26

20-10

15-15

26-19

12-27

19-21

12-24

24-16

23-20

20-16

20-20

20-12

21-32

25-18

26-9

32-22

18-21

22-20

18-26

14-9

11-18

15-18

19-16

16-16

15-16

18-27

19-23

17-30

154.1Avg total

77.9Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	99.5	73.5	173.0	+26.0	100%
Season at home (1)	95.0	66.0	161.0	+29.0	100%
Season away (1)	104.0	81.0	185.0	+23.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	76.2	154.1	+1.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	77.8	155.6	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	66.1	80.7	146.8	-14.6	19%
vs Similar (5)	65.4	69.8	135.2	-4.4	40%
vs Weaker (9)	85.7	72.3	158.0	+13.3	78%

This opponent (Rakvere Tarvas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Rakvere TarvasRapla

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	19.8	39.3	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	19.6	39.5	+0.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	15.4	34.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.8	23.4	40.1	-6.6	12%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	11.0	29.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.9	18.6	39.6	+2.3	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	20.5	37.2	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.5	21.9	37.5	-6.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	20.3	36.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.3	20.4	35.8	-5.1	19%	-
vs Similar (5)	14.4	19.4	33.8	-5.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.4	21.1	41.6	-0.7	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	17.9	38.7	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.0	16.9	39.9	+6.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.1	16.9	39.0	+5.2	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.5	35.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.1	19.2	36.3	-2.1	31%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	15.8	33.2	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.8	17.1	37.9	+3.7	67%	-

Rakvere TarvasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

34-33

A11/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

#17

40-44

-4

A14/10

Baltic League

Parnu

47-37

+10

A19/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

37-39

-2

H25/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

31-50

-19

H31/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Liepaja

45-28

+17

H05/11

Baltic League

Rapla

36-26

+10

A08/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Nevezis

#21

31-36

-5

A11/11

Baltic League

Juventus

26-47

-21

A12/11

Baltic League

Tallinna Kalev

44-36

H14/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

74.7Avg total

37.1Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.5	37.6	78.1	+2.9	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	36.7	79.2	+5.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.9	38.7	76.6	-0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	37.6	74.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	34.6	71.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.8	44.1	78.9	-9.4	12%	-
vs Similar (1)	36.0	26.0	62.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.0	35.5	78.5	+7.5	75%	-

This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rakvere Tarvas

#13

44-40

H14/10

Baltic League

Tallinna Kalev

34-38

-4

A18/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tal Tech

32-31

H25/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Nevezis

#21

30-36

-6

A28/10

Baltic League

Juventus

31-48

-17

A29/10

Baltic League

Valga

43-36

A01/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tamsalu

#12

46-50

-4

A02/11

Estonia Cup

BK Liepaja

40-41

-1

H04/11

Baltic League

Rakvere Tarvas

26-36

-10

H08/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

33-43

-10

H13/11

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

75.8Avg total

35.9Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.0	38.5	73.4	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	37.5	73.8	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.7	39.4	73.1	-5.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	39.9	75.8	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	41.2	78.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	32.4	39.6	72.1	-7.2	12%	-
vs Similar (5)	31.8	35.2	67.0	-3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.2	38.2	79.4	+3.0	67%	-

This opponent (Rakvere Tarvas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	16.7	38.1	+4.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.6	18.8	34.4	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.2	34.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	62%	-
vs Similar (1)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.3	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	18.9	36.0	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.5	19.3	35.8	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.6	36.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.3	37.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.2	20.7	35.9	-5.4	31%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.8	16.6	32.4	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.9	17.1	38.0	+3.8	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	19.5	37.6	-1.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	16.0	16.0	32.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.1	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.7	37.4	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	18.5	36.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	16.1	37.1	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.5	19.8	37.3	-2.3	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.7	37.1	76.8	+2.6	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.5	36.1	80.6	+8.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (13)	33.8	38.2	72.0	-4.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	34.6	73.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.2	76.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.2	41.2	81.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	32.0	35.0	67.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	39.9	35.5	75.3	+4.4	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	37.6	73.4	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	38.1	74.6	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	37.1	72.2	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	35.4	74.2	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	36.6	76.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	32.8	40.5	73.2	-7.8	12%	-
vs Similar (5)	33.6	34.6	68.2	-1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.4	34.1	76.6	+8.3	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rakvere Tarvas wins

Rapla wins

Date	Game	Score
08/11/14	Rapla v Rakvere Tarvas	61-68
14/10/14	Rapla v Rakvere Tarvas	95-90 OT
22/03/14	Rapla v Rakvere Tarvas	67-66
21/02/14	Rakvere Tarvas v Rapla	80-68
20/01/14	Rapla v Rakvere Tarvas	76-70
07/12/13	Rapla v Rakvere Tarvas	59-86
14/11/13	Rakvere Tarvas v Rapla	81-61
02/11/13	Rakvere Tarvas v Rapla	73-69
12/05/13	Rakvere Tarvas v Rapla	75-57
08/05/13	Rakvere Tarvas v Rapla	61-83

Rakvere Tarvaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/14	H	Tallinna Kalev	89-67
12/11/14	A	Juventus	63-91
11/11/14	A	Nevezis	76-70
08/11/14	A	Rapla	68-61
05/11/14	H	BK Liepaja	89-65
31/10/14	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	79-89
25/10/14	H	Tartu Ulikool	75-71
19/10/14	A	Parnu	79-91 OT
14/10/14	A	Rapla	90-95 OT
11/10/14	A	Tal Tech	70-53

Raplalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/14	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	69-96
08/11/14	H	Rakvere Tarvas	61-68
04/11/14	H	BK Liepaja	72-76
02/11/14	A	Tamsalu	104-81
01/11/14	A	Valga	83-68
29/10/14	A	Juventus	67-88
28/10/14	A	Nevezis	71-70
25/10/14	H	Tal Tech	89-71 OT
18/10/14	A	Tallinna Kalev	68-54
14/10/14	H	Rakvere Tarvas	95-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rakvere Tarvas

Estonia Cup 2014

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	110.5	112.0	109.0
Allowed / game	66.5	72.0	61.0
Point differential	+44.0	+40.0	+48.0
Avg total	177.0	184.0	170.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Rapla

Estonia Cup 2014

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	99.5	95.0	104.0
Allowed / game	73.5	66.0	81.0
Point differential	+26.0	+29.0	+23.0
Avg total	173.0	161.0	185.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rakvere Tarvas	2	2	0	100%	110.5	66.5	+44.0
2	Tal Tech	3	3	0	100%	102.7	64.3	+38.3
3	BC Kalev/Cramo	1	1	0	100%	96.0	63.0	+33.0
4	Rapla	2	2	0	100%	99.5	73.5	+26.0
5	Tartu Ulikool	1	1	0	100%	76.0	55.0	+21.0
6	Tallinna Kalev	3	2	1	67%	78.3	77.3	+1.0
7	Audentese II	2	1	1	50%	88.5	98.0	-9.5
8	Rapina Kotkad	2	1	1	50%	71.5	85.0	-13.5
9	Valga	3	1	2	33%	86.3	85.7	+0.7
10	Parnu	3	1	2	33%	77.7	79.7	-2.0
11	Tartu Palliklubi	2	0	2	0%	78.0	90.0	-12.0
12	Tamsalu	2	0	2	0%	73.5	99.5	-26.0
13	Ambla	2	0	2	0%	66.5	110.5	-44.0
14	Rae Koss	2	0	2	0%	65.0	114.0	-49.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rakvere Tarvas	18	22	20	16	76
Rapla	15	16	15	13	59

← all games of the day

Rakvere Tarvas vs Rapla Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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