Rakvere Tarvas vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 71-97

16-18 20-25 14-29 21-25

Position#16

Record2-24

FormWLLLL

Points / game70.7

Allowed / game94.0

Rakvere Tarvas

VEF Riga 🏆

Position#2

Record21-6

FormLLWWL

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game69.2

Latvia-Estonian League

Other2022

Meetings · Rakvere Tarvas v VEF Riga

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rakvere Tarvas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

VEF Riga winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rakvere TarvasLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#13

76-78

-2

H15/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Ventspils

59-98

-39

A20/01

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Liepaja

#11

69-70

-1

A21/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#14

59-92

-33

A25/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

80-103

103

-23

A01/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

81-75

H03/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rapla

59-102

102

-43

H11/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

73-85

-12

H17/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

66-93

-27

A04/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

87-99

-12

H11/03

Latvia-Estonian League

20-16

17-25

19-14

20-23

21-26

10-15

16-31

12-26

18-24

12-10

24-15

15-21

12-13

10-24

19-33

18-22

19-26

15-28

21-21

25-28

18-16

22-25

20-9

21-25

14-33

21-21

11-33

13-15

18-19

16-23

20-27

19-16

22-24

14-25

19-23

11-21

23-24

17-33

19-21

28-21

160.4Avg total

70.9Scored

89.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	70.7	94.0	164.7	-23.3	8%
Season at home (12)	77.1	91.3	168.4	-14.2	17%
Season away (14)	65.2	96.4	161.6	-31.1	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.9	89.5	160.4	-18.6	10%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	90.8	164.0	-17.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	71.1	94.7	165.8	-23.6	7%
vs Similar (1)	79.0	87.0	166.0	-8.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera Glass Via

#15

102-60

102

+42

A06/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Keila KK

#12

95-48

+47

H09/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

85-41

+44

H14/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Rapla

74-71

A17/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#14

67-61

A21/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Viimsi

65-72

-7

H25/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Prometey

73-92

-19

H11/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

#13

79-56

+23

A01/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tal Tech

#10

75-69

H08/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Ventspils

92-99

-7

A11/03

Latvia-Estonian League

31-20

26-21

24-6

21-13

23-12

21-5

29-20

22-11

29-10

14-7

24-15

18-9

12-22

20-13

23-18

19-18

22-20

17-9

11-14

17-18

18-19

16-16

14-22

17-15

19-25

29-18

18-17

7-32

24-18

19-9

14-17

22-12

18-14

20-23

14-12

23-20

26-25

20-26

17-21

29-27

147.6Avg total

80.7Scored

66.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	83.2	69.2	152.4	+14.0	78%
Season at home (14)	85.9	65.4	151.3	+20.6	86%
Season away (13)	80.2	73.3	153.5	+6.9	69%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	66.9	147.6	+13.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	77.6	154.4	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	68.3	79.7	148.0	-11.4	14%
vs Similar (2)	78.5	72.5	151.0	+6.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	83.4	65.3	148.7	+18.1	90%

This opponent (Rakvere Tarvas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Rakvere TarvasVEF Riga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	24.6	43.5	-5.7	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	24.3	45.0	-3.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	24.9	41.9	-7.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.1	40.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.2	42.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	19.1	24.4	43.5	-5.3	17%	-
vs Similar (1)	12.0	30.0	42.0	-18.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	15.3	35.3	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	18.5	40.7	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	14%	-
vs Similar (2)	26.0	21.5	47.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.1	16.3	37.5	+4.8	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	24.5	41.6	-7.4	10%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	24.7	44.7	-4.7	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.2	24.2	38.4	-10.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	22.9	38.3	-7.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	25.4	43.4	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	17.2	24.7	41.9	-7.5	10%	-
vs Similar (1)	14.0	17.0	31.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	16.9	37.9	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	15.9	38.9	+7.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	17.9	36.9	+1.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	14.7	34.9	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	57%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	16.5	33.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.1	15.9	38.0	+6.2	81%	-

Rakvere TarvasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#13

37-41

-4

H15/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Ventspils

31-41

-10

A20/01

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Liepaja

#11

30-34

-4

A21/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#14

22-37

-15

A25/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

34-54

-20

A01/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

40-41

-1

H03/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rapla

35-54

-19

H11/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

34-42

-8

H17/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

36-49

-13

A04/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

40-57

-17

H11/03

Latvia-Estonian League

78.9Avg total

33.9Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	49.1	85.0	-13.1	7%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	49.1	89.7	-8.4	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	31.3	49.1	80.3	-17.8	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.9	45.0	78.9	-11.1	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	48.6	85.6	-11.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	36.3	49.1	85.4	-12.8	7%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	47.0	73.0	-21.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera Glass Via

#15

57-41

+16

A06/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Keila KK

#12

44-17

+27

H09/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

43-17

+26

H14/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Rapla

32-35

-3

A17/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#14

39-29

+10

A21/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Viimsi

34-35

-1

H25/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Prometey

48-43

H11/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

#13

43-27

+16

A01/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tal Tech

#10

38-37

H08/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Ventspils

46-51

-5

A11/03

Latvia-Estonian League

75.6Avg total

42.4Scored

33.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	34.9	76.6	+6.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	31.2	74.3	+11.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	38.6	78.9	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	33.2	75.6	+9.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	38.6	80.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.6	42.0	78.6	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	43.3	32.2	75.5	+11.0	81%	-

This opponent (Rakvere Tarvas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	23.4	41.0	-5.7	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	22.8	40.1	-5.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	23.9	41.9	-5.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.7	41.5	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.6	40.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	17.4	23.8	41.2	-6.4	14%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	11.0	37.0	+15.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.2	37.9	+3.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	18.2	34.3	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	17.8	33.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.4	18.9	36.3	-1.4	43%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	14.5	34.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	18.7	17.6	36.3	+1.0	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	21.5	38.9	-4.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	21.7	37.4	-6.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	17.4	21.8	39.1	-4.4	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	13.0	32.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	16.5	36.0	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	16.1	35.9	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	17.0	36.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	14.3	18.9	33.1	-4.6	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.5	15.4	36.9	+6.0	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	44.8	79.9	-9.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	44.0	80.5	-7.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.7	45.7	79.3	-12.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	44.5	81.5	-7.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	42.2	78.4	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	34.8	45.6	80.3	-10.8	28%	-
vs Similar (1)	45.0	24.0	69.0	+21.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	34.2	72.1	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	33.3	73.8	+7.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.2	35.2	70.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	33.7	72.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.0	74.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	31.7	37.7	69.4	-6.0	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	35.5	34.5	70.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	40.1	33.0	73.2	+7.1	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Rakvere Tarvastheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 68.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀39%

🏀🏀🏀45%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game

51%

31%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	27.0	13.5	50.0%	53.0%	27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.3	34.0%	32.1%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	15.5	11.0	71.0%	69.4%	11.0

They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	19.6	51.7%	53.0%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.0	36.6%	32.1%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	15.2	10.8	71.1%	69.4%	10.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.2	15.4	49.3%	53.0%	30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	9.9	34.5%	32.1%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	15.1	10.6	70.2%	69.4%	10.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	19.1	49.6%	53.0%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	8.8	36.8%	32.1%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.4	72.5%	69.4%	11.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rakvere Tarvas wins

VEF Riga wins

Date	Game	Score
30/11/22	VEF Riga v Rakvere Tarvas	104-47
11/02/22	Rakvere Tarvas v VEF Riga	58-110
03/02/22	VEF Riga v Rakvere Tarvas	94-52

Rakvere Tarvaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/23	H	Tartu Ulikool	87-99
04/03/23	A	BK Ogre	66-93
17/02/23	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	73-85
11/02/23	H	Rapla	59-102
03/02/23	H	BK Ogre	81-75
01/02/23	A	Parnu	80-103
25/01/23	A	Tallinna Kalev	59-92
21/01/23	A	BK Liepaja	69-70
20/01/23	A	Ventspils	59-98
15/01/23	H	Latvijas Universitate	76-78

VEF Rigalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/23	A	Ventspils	92-99
08/03/23	H	Tal Tech	75-69
01/03/23	A	Latvijas Universitate	79-56
11/02/23	H	Prometey	73-92
25/01/23	H	Viimsi	65-72
21/01/23	A	Tallinna Kalev	67-61
17/01/23	A	Rapla	74-71
14/01/23	H	Parnu	85-41
09/01/23	H	Keila KK	95-48
06/01/23	A	Valmiera Glass Via	102-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rakvere Tarvas

Latvia-Estonian League 2022

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	8%
Home	LWLLL	17%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	8%	17%	0%
Points / game	70.7	77.1	65.2
Allowed / game	94.0	91.3	96.4
Point differential	-23.3	-14.2	-31.1
Avg total	164.7	168.4	161.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

VEF Riga

Latvia-Estonian League 2022

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	78%
Home	WWLLW	86%
Away	WWWWL	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	78%	86%	69%
Points / game	83.2	85.9	80.2
Allowed / game	69.2	65.4	73.3
Point differential	+14.0	+20.6	+6.9
Avg total	152.4	151.3	153.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	71%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Prometey	29	28	1	97%	95.1	71.0	+24.1
2	BC Kalev/Cramo	27	22	5	81%	86.5	72.8	+13.7
3	VEF Riga	27	21	6	78%	83.2	69.2	+14.0
4	Ventspils	28	19	9	68%	86.5	79.6	+6.9
5	Tartu Ulikool	29	19	10	66%	80.7	75.6	+5.1
6	Rapla	29	17	12	59%	79.2	75.1	+4.2
7	BK Ogre	29	17	12	59%	79.4	77.6	+1.9
8	Viimsi	28	15	13	54%	80.7	80.2	+0.4
9	Parnu	28	12	16	43%	78.9	78.8	+0.1
10	BK Liepaja	29	12	17	41%	78.3	84.7	-6.4
11	Tal Tech	28	11	17	39%	76.8	79.5	-2.7
12	Keila KK	29	10	19	34%	78.4	87.7	-9.3
13	Latvijas Universitate	28	9	19	32%	72.8	77.3	-4.5
14	Tallinna Kalev	27	5	22	19%	75.3	81.0	-5.6
15	Valmiera Glass Via	27	5	22	19%	71.9	92.8	-20.9
16	Rakvere Tarvas	26	2	24	8%	70.7	94.0	-23.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rakvere Tarvas	16	20	14	21	71
VEF Riga	18	25	29	25	97

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Rakvere Tarvas vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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