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VEF Riga vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 85-41
29-10 14-7 24-15 18-9
Position#2
Record16-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game68.8
VEF Riga 🏆
vs
Parnu
Position#9
Record7-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League
Other2022
Meetings · VEF Riga v Parnu
17 Oct 2026
VRI89
PAR72
13 Dec 2025
VRI90
PAR80
02 Nov 2024
VRI75
PAR70
11 Oct 2023
VRI80
PAR64
14 Jan 2023
VRI85
PAR41
16 Oct 2021
VRI92
PAR95
26 Dec 2018
VRI91
PAR56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
88-76
88
76
+12
no box
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Benfica
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 65
A06/12
Champions League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
91-67
91
67
+24
no box
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
93-60
93
60
+33
no box
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Manresa
#14
L
80-82
80
82
-2
77avg 65
H20/12
Champions League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
102-60
102
60
+42
no box
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
95-48
95
48
+47
no box
H09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
24-20
22-21
22-13
22-27
16-15
17-19
16-23
31-19
22-11
19-17
19-20
19-13
24-18
23-15
27-14
17-20
17-15
27-15
21-20
16-21
20-25
28-20
16-16
19-17
24-16
13-20
21-17
17-14
36-23
16-17
12-22
31-20
26-21
24-6
21-13
23-12
21-5
29-20
22-11
155.3Avg total
86.0Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.168.8154.9+17.384%
Season at home (10)90.564.1154.6+26.4100%
Season away (9)81.274.0155.2+7.267%
Last 10 (10)86.069.3155.3+16.780%
Last 5 (5)87.067.2154.2+19.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.779.3148.0-10.614%
vs Similar (2)78.572.5151.0+6.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.070.7159.8+18.390%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#26
W
75-67
75
67
+8
no box
H23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapla
#6
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
H26/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
L
94-99
94
99
-5
no box
H30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
no box
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
90-58
90
58
+32
no box
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
114-84
114
84
+30
no box
A14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
97-62
97
62
+35
no box
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
A07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
17-20
9-15
23-14
15-27
19-9
15-17
17-28
25-23
25-25
25-24
19-27
16-19
29-14
15-20
21-22
19-20
14-19
16-15
18-13
25-22
27-15
19-12
19-9
25-22
33-23
34-15
22-24
26-18
24-20
24-12
23-12
15-20
22-17
18-21
23-25
16-19
18-18
24-23
12-21
163.2Avg total
85.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.477.7159.1+3.747%
Season at home (9)78.677.0155.6+1.644%
Season away (6)85.778.8164.5+6.850%
Last 10 (10)85.178.1163.2+7.050%
Last 5 (5)89.873.6163.4+16.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.680.5157.1-3.938%
vs Similar (5)75.078.8153.8-3.840%
vs Weaker (8)88.874.1162.9+14.688%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
VEF RigaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Benfica
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/12
Champions League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Manresa
#14
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H20/12
Champions League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
44-17
44
17
+27
H09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
79.9Avg total
44.5Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.680.3+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.234.478.6+9.875%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.382.4-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.535.479.9+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.634.881.4+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.141.977.0-6.714%-
vs Similar (2)43.038.081.0+5.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.236.181.4+9.181%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#26
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapla
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H26/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#18
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
82.4Avg total
43.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.079.9-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.040.082.0+2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)37.540.077.5-2.536%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.882.4+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.885.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.240.277.4-3.038%-
vs Similar (5)38.038.476.4-0.420%-
vs Weaker (8)46.540.987.4+5.662%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.013.5
50.0%
53.0%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
32.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.511.0
71.0%
69.4%11.0
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.021.0
46.7%
53.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.09.0
45.0%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws11.09.0
81.8%
69.4%9.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WWWWLWWWLW
Parnu
LLWWWLWLLW
#2
League position
#9
-11.5
Net rating
-5.6
98.1
Offensive rating
108.5
109.6
Defensive rating
114.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
62.7%
24.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.17
34.0%
3-point %
45.0%
72.3%
Assist %
83.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 108.5Defence109.6 · 114.1Shooting50.5% · 53.1%3-point %34.0% · 45.0%Ball care24.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds32.1% · 26.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
VEF Riga wins
1
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
05/11/22Parnu v VEF Riga63-71
20/11/21Parnu v VEF Riga77-80
16/10/21VEF Riga v Parnu92-95
26/12/18VEF Riga v Parnu91-56
08/11/18Parnu v VEF Riga72-76
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/23HKeila KK95-48
06/01/23AValmiera Glass Via102-60
27/12/22HBK Liepaja81-76
23/12/22ATartu Ulikool77-70
20/12/22HManresa80-82
15/12/22HLatvijas Universitate82-70
13/12/22HTallinna Kalev93-60
10/12/22HBC Kalev/Cramo91-67
06/12/22ABenfica71-84
02/12/22AKeila KK88-76
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ABC Kalev/Cramo70-81
28/12/22HTal Tech78-83
21/12/22ATallinna Kalev97-62
14/12/22ARakvere Tarvas114-84
10/12/22HBK Liepaja90-58
07/12/22HTartu Ulikool86-91 OT
03/12/22HVentspils81-75
30/11/22HFribourg Olympic94-99
26/11/22HRapla66-81
23/11/22HDen Bosch75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %84%100%67%
Points / game86.190.581.2
Allowed / game68.864.174.0
Point differential+17.3+26.4+7.2
Avg total154.9154.6155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%90%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL47%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game81.478.685.7
Allowed / game77.777.078.8
Point differential+3.7+1.6+6.8
Avg total159.1155.6164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey1817194%96.472.0+24.4
2 VEF Riga1916384%86.168.8+17.3
3 BC Kalev/Cramo1512380%88.173.5+14.6
4 Tartu Ulikool1813572%82.377.4+4.9
5 Ventspils1912763%84.379.4+4.9
6 Rapla2012860%76.875.3+1.4
7 Viimsi1710759%81.579.9+1.5
8 BK Ogre2011955%77.778.5-0.8
9 Parnu157847%81.477.7+3.7
10 BK Liepaja2081240%79.383.7-4.3
11 Latvijas Universitate1971237%75.876.6-0.8
12 Keila KK1861233%79.887.4-7.6
13 Tal Tech1751229%76.382.0-5.7
14 Valmiera Glass Via1731418%73.695.1-21.5
15 Tallinna Kalev1831517%73.381.1-7.8
16 Rakvere Tarvas161156%70.696.9-26.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga2914241885
Parnu10715941
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