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Randers vs Horsens Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Projected 88-86
Projected total 174.7
Scheduled
Position#5
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game86.0
Vs
58%
42%
■ RAND 58%■ HORS 42%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game77.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Randers
Other2026-27
Meetings · Randers v Horsens
18 Nov 2026
RAND v HORS
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
RAND82
HORS77
06 Nov 2025
RAND89
HORS76
17 Mar 2025
RAND84
HORS77
09 Jan 2025
RAND89
HORS84
25 Mar 2024
RAND84
HORS98
21 Jan 2024
RAND79
HORS74
14 Dec 2023
RAND77
HORS91
11 May 2023
RAND100
HORS85
20 Apr 2023
RAND84
HORS72
16 Feb 2023
RAND82
HORS61
03 Apr 2022
RAND87
HORS75
17 Feb 2022
RAND91
HORS101
03 May 2021
RAND101
HORS93
26 Apr 2021
RAND100
HORS92
13 Feb 2021
RAND107
HORS112
06 Dec 2020
RAND77
HORS85
18 Mar 2020
RAND v HORS
upcoming
14 Nov 2019
RAND96
HORS91
14 Mar 2019
RAND94
HORS103
02 Oct 2018
RAND81
HORS95
16 Apr 2018
RAND85
HORS81
09 Apr 2018
RAND79
HORS81
04 Mar 2018
RAND85
HORS93
23 Mar 2017
RAND82
HORS105
10 Jan 2017
RAND69
HORS102
19 Oct 2016
RAND77
HORS94
11 Feb 2016
RAND54
HORS97
19 Nov 2015
RAND81
HORS105
26 Feb 2015
RAND70
HORS108
18 Jan 2015
RAND62
HORS100
30 Dec 2014
RAND72
HORS81
30 Jan 2014
RAND86
HORS90
28 Feb 2013
RAND97
HORS79
07 Nov 2012
RAND86
HORS89
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Randers will host Horsens on 18 November 2026 in the Basketligaen, with the Pythia model favouring Randers at 58% to 42% and projecting a close 88-86 finish for a total of 174.7 points. Randers enters the game with a 7-3 record, averaging 95.6 points scored and 86.0 points allowed, and sits fifth in the league; at home they are 4-1, averaging 100.2 points and 80.8 allowed, and have won four of their last five games. Their recent victories include a 98-84 win over Team FOG Naestved at home on 12 November, a 96-90 win against Copenhagen away on 7 November, and a 110-80 win over Gladsaxe at home on 30 October. Horsens, meanwhile, holds an 8-2 record, scoring 89.2 points and conceding 77.6, and is third in the standings; on the road they are 4-1, averaging 86.2 points and 74.4 allowed, and have won all five of their most recent outings. Their recent wins feature a 98-57 triumph over BMS Herlev at home on 8 November, a 93-84 win against Bears Academy away on 4 November, and a 102-66 win over Vejen away on 28 October. In head-to-head play, Randers leads 7-3, though Horsens last beat them 94-84 on 23 October. The model estimates a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Randers win
57.7%fair 1.73
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens win
42.3%fair 2.37
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-84
100
84
+16
97avg 90
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
75avg 90
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
87avg 90
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
117-73
117
73
+44
123avg 90
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
75avg 90
A10/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
93-71
93
71
+22
94avg 90
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
84-94
84
94
-10
73avg 90
A23/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
110-80
110
80
+30
109avg 90
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
96-90
96
90
+6
no box
A07/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
W
98-84
98
84
+14
no box
H12/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
33-32
26-12
20-18
22-10
15-33
25-29
21-24
13-16
23-20
25-14
12-23
21-16
24-22
38-15
34-20
27-27
14-27
25-25
20-24
18-22
31-14
19-23
25-12
25-28
21-18
20-22
18-26
30-16
27-17
17-27
36-20
29-22
21-22
25-15
21-31
24-25
23-19
28-14
23-26
181.6Avg total
95.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.686.0181.6+9.670%
Season at home (5)100.280.8181.0+19.480%
Season away (5)91.091.2182.2-0.260%
Last 10 (10)95.686.0181.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)96.283.8180.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)87.391.9179.2-4.644%
vs Similar ◀ (8)91.693.1184.8-1.538%
vs Weaker (13)100.080.4180.4+19.692%
This opponent (Horsens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
W
92-70
92
70
+22
86avg 77
A17/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 77
A24/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
73-101
73
101
-28
66avg 77
H27/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 77
H02/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 77
A10/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
97-83
97
83
+14
92avg 77
H15/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
94-84
94
84
+10
92avg 77
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
102-66
102
66
+36
105avg 77
A28/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
93-84
93
84
+9
no box
A04/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
98-57
98
57
+41
no box
H08/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
16-25
23-13
29-19
13-27
21-19
21-10
9-27
15-31
21-28
15-24
22-18
20-25
26-16
21-21
32-17
16-22
21-20
27-13
16-14
23-18
43-24
0-0
31-41
28-25
18-21
22-20
26-18
30-21
26-17
19-13
27-15
25-21
22-12
19-21
27-30
28-11
24-12
26-17
20-17
166.8Avg total
89.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.277.6166.8+11.680%
Season at home (5)92.280.8173.0+11.480%
Season away (5)86.274.4160.6+11.880%
Last 10 (10)89.277.6166.8+11.680%
Last 5 (5)96.874.8171.6+22.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.190.4171.5-9.333%
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.279.2164.4+6.060%
vs Weaker (10)94.677.5172.1+17.190%
This opponent (Randers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
70.2%
Under 165.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5
Over 170.5
59.0%
Under 170.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 175.5
Over 175.5
47.0%
Under 175.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Randers total 82
Over 82
73.9%
Under 82
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers total 86
Over 86
59.4%
Under 86
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers total 90
Over 90
43.4%
Under 90
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Horsens total 80.5
Over 80.5
70.6%
Under 80.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Horsens total 84.5
Over 84.5
56.1%
Under 84.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Horsens total 88.5
Over 88.5
40.9%
Under 88.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Randers -3
RAND -3
48.7%
HORS +3
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
RAND
No market prices yet.
HORS
No market prices yet.
Spread Randers 0
RAND 0
57.7%
HORS 0
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
RAND
No market prices yet.
HORS
No market prices yet.
Spread Randers +3
RAND +3
66.6%
HORS -3
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
RAND
No market prices yet.
HORS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
RandersHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A10/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H12/11
Basketligaen
89.0Avg total
46.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.442.890.2+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.242.792.9+7.580%-
Last 30 away (15)44.542.987.5+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.889.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)49.840.690.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.948.692.4-4.756%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.542.989.4+3.650%-
vs Weaker (13)50.338.889.2+11.585%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A24/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H27/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H02/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A10/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
66-42
66
42
+24
H15/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A28/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A04/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H08/11
Basketligaen
86.8Avg total
46.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.686.4+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.840.186.9+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.285.9-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)46.040.886.8+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)53.436.489.8+17.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.246.387.5-5.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.839.679.4+0.240%-
vs Weaker (10)49.538.688.1+10.980%-
This opponent (Randers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.3
57.1%
55.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
31.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.918.5
80.8%
68.0%18.5
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.5
56.6%
55.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
31.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.214.8
61.2%
68.0%14.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Randers
WWWLWLWWLW
Horsens
WWWWWWWLLW
#5
League position
#3
+12.8
Net rating
+0.4
97.8
Offensive rating
95.0
85.1
Defensive rating
94.6
55.7%
Effective FG%
54.5%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.8%
3-point %
34.4%
65.2%
Assist %
65.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 95.0Defence85.1 · 94.6Shooting55.7% · 54.5%3-point %35.8% · 34.4%Ball care18.6% · 16.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Randers   ■ Horsens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Randers wins
3
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
23/10/26Horsens v Randers94-84
10/04/26Horsens v Randers87-82
23/03/26Randers v Horsens82-77
06/02/26Horsens v Randers76-78
06/11/25Randers v Horsens89-76
12/05/25Horsens v Randers62-83
24/03/25Horsens v Randers83-81
17/03/25Randers v Horsens84-77
09/01/25Randers v Horsens89-84
17/10/24Horsens v Randers82-90
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HTeam FOG Naestved98-84
07/11/26ACopenhagen96-90
30/10/26HGladsaxe110-80
23/10/26AHorsens84-94
18/10/26HBMS Herlev93-71
10/10/26ABakken Bears86-103
03/10/26HBears Academy117-73
27/09/26AVaerlose89-85 OT
23/09/26HSvendborg83-96
17/09/26AHolbaek-Stenhus100-84
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBMS Herlev98-57
04/11/26ABears Academy93-84
28/10/26AVejen102-66
23/10/26HRanders94-84
15/10/26HHolbaek-Stenhus97-83
10/10/26ACopenhagen80-69
02/10/26HVaerlose99-79
27/09/26HTeam FOG Naestved73-101
24/09/26ABakken Bears64-83
17/09/26ASvendborg92-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Randers
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game95.6100.291.0
Allowed / game86.080.891.2
Point differential+9.6+19.4-0.2
Avg total181.6181.0182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game89.292.286.2
Allowed / game77.680.874.4
Point differential+11.6+11.4+11.8
Avg total166.8173.0160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears98189%104.774.9+29.8
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen105550%83.082.3+0.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus115645%78.286.2-8.0
8 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
9 Vejen103730%78.996.8-17.9
10 Bears Academy112918%79.591.1-11.6
11 Vaerlose112918%77.891.2-13.4
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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