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Real Esteli vs Halcones de Xalapa Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:10
Final 79-104
22-33 21-25 16-14 20-32
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#4
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeChampions League Americas· Gimnasio Luis Ramos
Other2023-24
Meetings · Real Esteli v Halcones de Xalapa
22 Jan 2024
REAL79
HALC104
17 Dec 2023
REAL80
HALC70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Esteli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Halcones de Xalapa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real EsteliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsteli
Date
Competition
Libertadores
#4
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Libertadores
#4
W
98-84
98
84
+14
no box
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
109-93
109
93
+16
no box
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
99-93
99
93
+6
no box
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Libertadores
#4
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
67-103
67
103
-36
no box
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
80-70
80
70
+10
75avg 70
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
85avg 70
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
50avg 70
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
23-32
22-22
26-18
20-18
24-17
27-19
27-30
26-13
28-33
28-18
27-29
33-18
25-24
20-27
21-24
21-30
29-24
19-23
21-24
20-28
13-28
22-14
31-24
13-31
14-26
22-29
18-17
15-18
22-15
16-20
27-17
19-16
29-26
20-27
18-17
18-21
16-16
22-14
7-20
177.5Avg total
87.6Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.077.7157.7+2.367%
Season at home (2)88.581.0169.5+7.5100%
Season away (1)63.071.0134.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)87.689.9177.5-2.350%
Last 5 (5)78.686.0164.6-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.987.2169.1-5.330%
vs Similar (10)82.081.8163.8+0.270%
vs Weaker (7)92.183.7175.9+8.471%
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de XalapaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXalapa
Date
Competition
Astros
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A28/10
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
A04/11
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A05/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
A10/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
no box
A11/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
no box
H14/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H15/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H17/11
LNBP
Real Esteli
#8
L
70-80
70
80
-10
66avg 69
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 69
H18/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
16-23
14-18
26-22
22-22
25-28
17-19
19-13
19-23
19-17
19-12
19-27
22-19
15-14
14-26
13-16
16-23
19-19
19-25
13-18
32-21
12-25
31-23
16-22
16-24
20-18
30-25
17-23
20-20
25-23
23-29
17-16
18-15
15-22
20-16
17-27
17-22
22-21
15-18
22-21
163.1Avg total
78.3Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
Season away (1)70.080.0150.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)78.384.8163.1-6.520%
Last 5 (5)83.087.6170.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.388.4165.7-11.123%
vs Similar (11)88.685.5174.2+3.173%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.382.7168.0+2.750%
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
Real EsteliHalcones de Xalapa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real EsteliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertadores
#4
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Libertadores
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Libertadores
#4
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A21/01
Champions League Americas
88.4Avg total
42.4Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)39.743.483.0-3.741%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.142.583.7-1.447%-
Last 30 away (12)37.844.482.2-6.633%-
Last 10 (10)42.446.088.4-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.845.080.8-9.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.645.883.4-8.230%-
vs Similar (10)40.141.381.4-1.250%-
vs Weaker (7)42.042.984.9-0.943%-
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de XalapaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A28/10
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A04/11
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A11/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H14/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H15/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H17/11
LNBP
Real Esteli
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H18/12
Champions League Americas
81.7Avg total
39.2Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.845.387.1-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.544.690.1+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)38.046.084.0-8.013%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.581.7-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.281.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.445.881.2-10.515%-
vs Similar (11)48.344.292.5+4.173%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.746.289.8-2.517%-
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Estelitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Esteli: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.7 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.323.3
52.6%
52.9%46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.0
28.1%
33.2%18.0
🏀 Free throws27.714.7
53.0%
73.9%14.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Halcones de Xalapatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Xalapa: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.516.0
56.1%
52.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.0
27.6%
33.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws25.016.0
64.0%
73.9%16.0
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/2 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Esteli
LWWLLLWWWL
Halcones de Xalapa
LLLLWLLLWL
#8
League position
#4
+3.8
Net rating
-10.1
99.3
Offensive rating
91.1
95.6
Defensive rating
101.2
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.7%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
24.4%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.43
28.1%
3-point %
27.6%
56.8%
Assist %
75.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 91.1Defence95.6 · 101.2Shooting49.2% · 48.7%3-point %28.1% · 27.6%Ball care14.7% · 24.4%Off. rebounds24.6% · 25.3%Free throws0.42 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Real Esteli   ■ Halcones de Xalapa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Real Esteli wins
0
Halcones de Xalapa wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Real Esteli v Halcones de Xalapa80-70
Real Estelilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AGladiadores63-71
19/12/23HGladiadores97-92 OT
17/12/23HHalcones de Xalapa80-70
11/03/23AQuimsa67-103
07/03/23HQuimsa86-94
09/02/23HLibertadores90-101
08/02/23ABrampton Honey Badgers99-93
19/01/23HBrampton Honey Badgers109-93
17/01/23HLibertadores98-84
12/12/22ALibertadores87-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23HGladiadores76-82
17/12/23AReal Esteli70-80
17/11/23HFuerza Regia85-88
15/11/23HFuerza Regia83-90
14/11/23HFuerza Regia101-98 OT
11/11/23AFuerza Regia67-85
10/11/23AFuerza Regia64-75
05/11/23AHalcones Rojos76-79
04/11/23AHalcones Rojos83-82
28/10/23AAstros78-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Esteli
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game80.088.563.0
Allowed / game77.781.071.0
Point differential+2.3+7.5-8.0
Avg total157.7169.5134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
Halcones de Xalapa
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.076.070.0
Allowed / game81.082.080.0
Point differential-8.0-6.0-10.0
Avg total154.0158.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa220100%99.071.5+27.5
2 Franca330100%96.780.0+16.7
3 Flamengo43175%74.273.5+0.8
4 Gladiadores32167%81.778.7+3.0
5 Real Esteli32167%80.077.7+2.3
6 Obras Sanitarias42250%92.588.5+4.0
7 Hebraica y Macabi42250%75.874.0+1.8
8 Nacional21150%83.585.0-1.5
9 Boca Juniors41325%67.069.5-2.5
10 Halcones de Xalapa2020%73.081.0-8.0
11 U. De Concepcion3030%67.089.0-22.0
12 Sao Paulo2020%74.5100.5-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Esteli2221162079
Halcones de Xalapa33251432104
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