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Real Murcia vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-78
27-14 21-17 11-22 28-25
Position#2
Record17-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#11
Record13-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game73.9
SpainSegunda FEBRound 2
Other2019-20
Meetings · Real Murcia v Estela
04 Mar 2020
REAL87
ESTE78
30 Mar 2019
REAL83
ESTE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pardinyes
#15
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H14/12
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#14
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A21/12
Segunda FEB
La Roda
#23
W
109-73
109
73
+36
H05/01
Segunda FEB
Barcelona B
#6
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A11/01
Segunda FEB
Villarrobledo
#22
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H18/01
Segunda FEB
Basquet Girona
#1
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A26/01
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#3
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A01/02
Segunda FEB
Vive Menorca
#5
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H08/02
Segunda FEB
Benicarlo
#24
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A15/02
Segunda FEB
Tizona Burgos
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A29/02
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
16-25
14-11
18-17
–
–
–
–
27-18
34-13
29-14
19-28
18-10
21-16
15-17
9-18
24-17
14-22
19-17
19-14
14-17
12-20
20-10
24-14
15-11
10-16
19-15
15-21
22-11
21-31
18-16
22-21
24-19
12-21
11-20
24-19
17-21
21-21
25-14
23-17
148.5Avg total
78.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.672.3151.8+7.374%
Season at home (11)83.570.7154.2+12.791%
Season away (12)76.073.7149.7+2.358%
Last 10 (10)78.270.3148.5+7.980%
Last 5 (5)73.871.0144.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)75.869.7145.5+6.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.571.9152.4+8.771%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clavijo
#17
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H15/12
Segunda FEB
Algeciras
#10
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A21/12
Segunda FEB
Tizona Burgos
#4
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H05/01
Segunda FEB
Taldea
#20
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A11/01
Segunda FEB
Marbella
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H19/01
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#7
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A26/01
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#21
L
78-100
78
100
-22
H02/02
Segunda FEB
Ponferrada
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A08/02
Segunda FEB
Navarra
#16
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H15/02
Segunda FEB
Basquet Girona
#1
L
54-74
54
74
-20
H29/02
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
25-32
17-16
16-17
10-19
11-22
21-16
22-16
24-15
19-19
14-21
18-14
17-17
10-16
26-19
21-19
23-17
15-19
10-18
15-12
29-16
21-26
19-23
26-25
16-23
11-26
23-22
28-29
19-17
18-21
11-15
21-21
21-16
15-18
21-11
16-17
16-32
9-17
13-14
16-11
148.2Avg total
72.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.373.9148.2+0.557%
Season at home (12)74.875.8150.6-0.958%
Season away (11)73.871.8145.6+2.055%
Last 10 (10)72.076.2148.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)73.880.0153.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.277.2144.4-10.00%
vs Similar (25)75.574.7150.2+0.856%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
Real MurciaEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pardinyes
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/12
Segunda FEB
La Roda
#23
W
61-31
61
31
+30
H05/01
Segunda FEB
Barcelona B
#6
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A11/01
Segunda FEB
Villarrobledo
#22
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H18/01
Segunda FEB
Basquet Girona
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A26/01
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#3
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A01/02
Segunda FEB
Vive Menorca
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/02
Segunda FEB
Benicarlo
#24
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A15/02
Segunda FEB
Tizona Burgos
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A29/02
Segunda FEB
73.8Avg total
38.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.835.374.2+3.555%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.436.377.7+5.160%-
Last 30 away (14)36.134.470.4+1.750%-
Last 10 (9)38.335.473.8+2.944%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.671.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)38.836.575.3+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)38.835.073.9+3.852%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clavijo
#17
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H15/12
Segunda FEB
Algeciras
#10
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A21/12
Segunda FEB
Tizona Burgos
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H05/01
Segunda FEB
Taldea
#20
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A11/01
Segunda FEB
Marbella
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H19/01
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A26/01
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#21
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H02/02
Segunda FEB
Ponferrada
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A08/02
Segunda FEB
Navarra
#16
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H15/02
Segunda FEB
Basquet Girona
#1
L
25-49
25
49
-24
H29/02
Segunda FEB
75.2Avg total
34.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.237.974.1-1.738%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.439.075.4-2.643%-
Last 30 away (15)36.136.973.0-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)34.640.675.2-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.477.4-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (24)36.236.973.1-0.646%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Real Murcia wins
0
Estela wins
DateGameScore
11/05/19Estela v Real Murcia68-70
30/03/19Real Murcia v Estela83-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20ATizona Burgos86-73
15/02/20ABenicarlo71-79
08/02/20HVive Menorca83-79
01/02/20APrat Joventut59-63
26/01/20ABasquet Girona70-61
18/01/20HVillarrobledo76-70
11/01/20ABarcelona B63-61
05/01/20HLa Roda109-73
21/12/19AAlbacete94-81
14/12/19HPardinyes71-63
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20HBasquet Girona54-74
15/02/20HNavarra73-62
08/02/20APonferrada69-74
02/02/20HGijon78-100
26/01/20AIraurgi SB95-90
19/01/20HMarbella63-66
11/01/20ATaldea74-71
05/01/20HTizona Burgos75-69
21/12/19AAlgeciras64-73
15/12/19HClavijo75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Murcia
Segunda FEB 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW74%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%91%58%
Points / game79.683.576.0
Allowed / game72.370.773.7
Point differential+7.3+12.7+2.3
Avg total151.8154.2149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %13%9%17%
Estela
Segunda FEB 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWLLWL58%
AwayWLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%58%55%
Points / game74.374.873.8
Allowed / game73.975.871.8
Point differential+0.5-0.9+2.0
Avg total148.2150.6145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basquet Girona2418675%79.170.2+8.9
2 Real Murcia2317674%79.672.3+7.3
3 Prat Joventut2416867%79.577.7+1.9
4 Tizona Burgos2315865%79.379.2+0.1
5 Vive Menorca2415962%78.272.9+5.3
6 Iraurgi SB24141058%77.574.0+3.6
7 Estela23131057%74.373.9+0.5
8 Zamora23131057%78.077.9+0.0
9 Marbella24131154%70.270.9-0.7
10 Barcelona B23121152%76.773.3+3.3
11 Algeciras24121250%72.670.5+2.1
12 Ponferrada24121250%77.277.9-0.7
13 Gran Canaria B23111248%81.981.9+0.0
14 L'Hospitalet23111248%77.277.8-0.7
15 Albacete23111248%79.080.7-1.7
16 Pardinyes24111346%76.778.0-1.3
17 Clavijo23101343%71.472.4-1.0
18 Moron23101343%74.776.6-1.9
19 Navarra24101442%78.878.3+0.5
20 Gijon2381535%74.978.9-4.0
21 La Roda2381535%70.378.4-8.1
22 Taldea2371630%73.375.3-2.0
23 Villarrobledo2371630%76.781.3-4.5
24 Benicarlo2471729%70.678.0-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Murcia2721112887
Estela1417222578
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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