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Estela vs Real Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-70
22-23 16-16 15-16 15-15
Position#17
Record15-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#3
Record21-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game68.2
SpainSegunda FEBRound 22
Other2018-19
Meetings · Estela v Real Murcia
08 Apr 2020
ESTE v REAL
upcoming
11 May 2019
ESTE68
REAL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A02/03
Segunda FEB
Villarrobledo
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H09/03
Segunda FEB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A16/03
Segunda FEB
Almansa
#2
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H23/03
Segunda FEB
Real Murcia
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A30/03
Segunda FEB
Azuqueca
#21
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A06/04
Segunda FEB
Alicante
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H14/04
Segunda FEB
Villarrobledo
#5
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A20/04
Segunda FEB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H27/04
Segunda FEB
Almansa
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A04/05
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
19-14
21-18
10-34
16-15
14-21
13-26
15-13
20-16
8-15
14-19
21-16
22-30
21-17
15-19
26-24
24-20
15-19
16-26
14-18
27-17
25-17
21-15
19-28
18-27
19-19
18-18
13-12
13-16
19-25
18-24
16-20
26-18
17-22
19-30
12-11
16-24
25-18
15-20
21-21
151.3Avg total
71.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.074.3148.3-0.345%
Season at home (16)73.372.9146.2+0.450%
Season away (17)74.675.6150.2-1.041%
Last 10 (10)71.679.7151.3-8.110%
Last 5 (5)75.480.4155.8-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.682.6155.2-10.00%
vs Similar (23)73.972.0145.9+1.857%
vs Weaker (2)82.576.0158.5+6.550%
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#7
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H03/03
Segunda FEB
Navarra
#4
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A08/03
Segunda FEB
Peixegalego
#6
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H16/03
Segunda FEB
Taldea
#15
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A23/03
Segunda FEB
Estela
#17
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H30/03
Segunda FEB
Zamora
#11
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H06/04
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#7
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A14/04
Segunda FEB
Navarra
#4
W
101-72
101
72
+29
H20/04
Segunda FEB
Peixegalego
#6
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A27/04
Segunda FEB
Taldea
#15
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H04/05
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-9
9-16
23-14
19-18
12-17
16-24
13-21
10-15
9-10
13-15
7-15
23-24
14-8
16-17
10-23
19-20
20-24
19-15
26-16
18-14
14-19
19-14
29-23
19-11
27-17
15-14
21-19
15-21
28-15
18-17
26-21
29-19
14-16
16-11
12-24
29-22
26-11
21-19
26-11
19-26
141.9Avg total
73.4Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.568.2142.8+6.364%
Season at home (17)76.066.8142.8+9.276%
Season away (16)73.069.7142.7+3.350%
Last 10 (10)73.468.5141.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)84.670.0154.6+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.571.5144.0+1.050%
vs Similar (6)73.266.2139.3+7.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)74.669.9144.5+4.755%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
EstelaReal Murcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#1
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A02/03
Segunda FEB
Villarrobledo
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H09/03
Segunda FEB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A16/03
Segunda FEB
Almansa
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H23/03
Segunda FEB
Real Murcia
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A30/03
Segunda FEB
Azuqueca
#21
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A06/04
Segunda FEB
Alicante
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H14/04
Segunda FEB
Villarrobledo
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A20/04
Segunda FEB
Basquet Girona
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H27/04
Segunda FEB
Almansa
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A04/05
Segunda FEB
76.4Avg total
37.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.975.3+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.136.773.8+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.737.176.8+2.747%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.576.4-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.681.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.840.679.4-1.820%-
vs Similar (23)38.035.973.9+2.152%-
vs Weaker (2)42.039.081.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#7
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H03/03
Segunda FEB
Navarra
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A08/03
Segunda FEB
Peixegalego
#6
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H16/03
Segunda FEB
Taldea
#15
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A23/03
Segunda FEB
Estela
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H30/03
Segunda FEB
Zamora
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H06/04
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#7
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A14/04
Segunda FEB
Navarra
#4
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H20/04
Segunda FEB
Peixegalego
#6
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A27/04
Segunda FEB
Taldea
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/05
Segunda FEB
64.9Avg total
34.1Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.732.468.1+3.355%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.832.669.3+4.250%-
Last 30 away (13)34.432.266.6+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)34.130.864.9+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.630.670.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.030.566.5+5.5100%-
vs Similar (6)35.732.868.5+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)35.732.568.1+3.252%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estela wins
1
Real Murcia wins
DateGameScore
30/03/19Real Murcia v Estela83-69
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/19AAlmansa77-83
27/04/19HBasquet Girona74-81
20/04/19AVillarrobledo66-85
14/04/19HAlicante68-76
06/04/19AAzuqueca92-77
30/03/19AReal Murcia69-83
23/03/19HAlmansa84-90
16/03/19ABasquet Girona63-66
09/03/19HVillarrobledo58-75
02/03/19AAlicante65-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/19HTaldea92-67
27/04/19APeixegalego71-73
20/04/19HNavarra101-72
14/04/19AIraurgi SB78-71
06/04/19HZamora81-67
30/03/19HEstela83-69
23/03/19ATaldea59-68
16/03/19HPeixegalego52-64
08/03/19ANavarra51-77
03/03/19HIraurgi SB66-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Segunda FEB 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL45%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLLWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %45%50%41%
Points / game74.073.374.6
Allowed / game74.372.975.6
Point differential-0.3+0.4-1.0
Avg total148.3146.2150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Real Murcia
Segunda FEB 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeLWWWW76%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %64%76%50%
Points / game74.576.073.0
Allowed / game68.266.869.7
Point differential+6.3+9.2+3.3
Avg total142.8142.8142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%53%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)67% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante3328585%76.365.5+10.8
2 Almansa33231070%76.872.5+4.3
3 Villarrobledo33221167%74.571.3+3.2
4 Real Murcia33211264%74.568.2+6.3
5 Navarra33211264%74.472.9+1.5
6 Iraurgi SB33181555%71.868.7+3.2
7 Peixegalego33181555%73.373.5-0.2
8 Basquet Girona33181555%70.671.5-0.9
9 Clavijo33171652%76.675.2+1.4
10 Vive Menorca33171652%71.770.5+1.2
11 Zamora33171652%72.772.8-0.1
12 Albacete33171652%70.074.4-4.4
13 Plasencia33151845%71.870.2+1.6
14 Moron33151845%69.068.6+0.3
15 Estela33151845%74.074.3-0.3
16 L'Hospitalet33151845%72.473.8-1.4
17 Taldea33151845%74.277.1-2.9
18 Gijon33141942%75.373.7+1.6
19 Avila33141942%70.772.6-2.0
20 Baskonia B33141942%73.575.6-2.2
21 Azuqueca33132039%72.275.0-2.8
22 Vic33112233%76.381.5-5.2
23 La Roda33102330%71.575.7-4.2
24 Tormes3382524%68.677.3-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela2216151568
Real Murcia2316161570
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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